Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 14, 2014Haskell County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2014, 6:13 PM CDT for Haskell County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 14, 2014, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired: Jul 14, 2014, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Haskell County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 220 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 660 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -193 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1526 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 2:56 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:56 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
256 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY SLIPPING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. SCATTERED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING ALONG
THE FRONT AS IT CONTINUES SOUTHWARD. BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FIRST
PERIOD OF THE FORECAST... ALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
CONTAINED ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL END EARLY TUESDAY AS UNSEASONABLY COOL
AND DRY AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH. AS HAS BEEN ADVERTISED IN
RECENT FORECASTS... UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INHABIT
MUCH OF THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK... KEEPING BOTH
MINIMUM AND MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES A GOOD 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES.

LATER IN THE WEEK... A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND NORTHWEST TEXAS BY LATE WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE
TO A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL
QUICKLY PULL DEEP MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DRAMATICALLY INCREASE
THURSDAY ACROSS THIS AREA AS THE SURFACE LOW MIGRATES EASTWARD ALONG
A SURFACE FRONT... GENERALLY ALONG THE RED RIVER. MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHOW A VERY MOIST... TROPICAL-LIKE ATMOSPHERE... WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OVER 2 INCHES AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES. THE CURRENT
FORECAST CALLS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS LASTING MOST OF THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE A WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES IN AREAS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK... WITH
PERHAPS RECORD LOW MAXES AND MINS IN SOME LOCALES. A SLOW WARM-UP
WILL BEGIN FRIDAY... WITH TEMPERATURES RESUMING NORMAL JULY LEVELS
BY NEXT MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   62  81  59  76 /  10   0  10  40
FSM   66  82  61  78 /  20   0  10  20
MLC   65  84  59  78 /  20  10   0  30
BVO   59  81  55  76 /  10   0  10  40
FYV   61  78  52  76 /  20   0  10  20
BYV   59  76  53  76 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   63  81  57  76 /  10   0   0  30
MIO   59  79  55  76 /  10   0   0  20
F10   64  81  59  76 /  10   0  10  40
HHW   70  87  62  82 /  30  10   0  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM....06

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE KANSAS
BORDER ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND ALSO IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS ALONG A RESIDUAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS INTO EARLY
EVENING...WITH THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT GRADUALLY SHIFTING
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH THE REGION. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT A LIMITED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL NEAR
QUARTER SIZE WILL EXIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
AND AN AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO APPEAR LIKELY DURING
THIS TIME FRAME. CURRENTLY THE HEAVIEST RAINS LOOK TO OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...
AS A WARM FRONT RETURNS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
509 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

OKZ054-059-142315-
OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-
509 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE

AT 509 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 24 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FAIRFAX...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HOMINY...FAIRFAX...PAWNEE...
MARAMEC...BLACKBURN...SKEDEE AND RALSTON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

LAT...LON 3670 9704 3669 9695 3675 9689 3676 9682
      3639 9636 3616 9682 3624 9682 3624 9692
      3633 9693 3633 9703 3637 9704 3651 9704
      3656 9691 3658 9690 3659 9692 3659 9705
      3668 9707
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 327DEG 29KT 3678 9703

LACY

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:36 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
536 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

OKZ057-061-062-142300-
CRAIG OK-MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
536 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN CRAIG...NORTHERN MAYES AND NORTHEASTERN ROGERS

AT 536 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST
OF CHELSEA...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHELSEA...BIG CABIN...WHITE OAK...
PRYOR...STRANG...ADAIR...PENSACOLA...SNOWDALE STATE PARK AND SPAVINAW
STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

LAT...LON 3667 9530 3635 9504 3624 9534 3659 9548
      3660 9546 3660 9543 3661 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 338DEG 24KT 3657 9536

LACY

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:45 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
545 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

OKZ057-061-062-142315-
CRAIG OK-MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
545 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN CRAIG...NORTHERN MAYES AND NORTHEASTERN ROGERS

AT 545 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF BIG
CABIN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIG CABIN...PRYOR...STRANG...ADAIR
AND SNOWDALE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3635 9505 3624 9534 3658 9544 3663 9529
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 332DEG 19KT 3654 9534

LACY

Local storm report, Jul 14, 6:07 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
607 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     TSTM WND GST     ADAIR                   36.44N 95.27W
07/14/2014  E60.00 MPH       MAYES              OK   PUBLIC

0602 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ADAIR                   36.44N 95.27W
07/14/2014                   MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF. PRIVACY FENCES DOWNED. METAL
            ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING.

0602 PM     HAIL             ADAIR                   36.44N 95.27W
07/14/2014  E1.00 INCH       MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JDS

Local storm report, Jul 14, 6:09 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
609 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SW BIG CABIN          36.51N 95.26W
07/14/2014  E60 MPH          MAYES              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDS

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 6:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

OKZ074>076-142345-
HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
613 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN HASKELL...WESTERN LE FLORE AND NORTHEASTERN LATIMER

AT 613 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF
LEQUIRE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LEQUIRE...RED OAK AND FANSHAWE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3490 9488 3488 9515 3512 9512 3513 9494
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 357DEG 9KT 3508 9502

LACY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 13, 7:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	34 min
Jul 13, 7:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Ottawa	42 min
Jul 13, 7:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	23 min
Jul 13, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Ottawa	24 min
Jul 13, 7:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	28 min
Jul 13, 7:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	37 min
Jul 13, 7:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	33 min
Jul 13, 8:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	36 min
Jul 13, 8:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	33 min
Jul 13, 8:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	40 min
Jul 13, 8:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	32 min
Jul 13, 9:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Rogers, Tulsa	29 min
Jul 13, 9:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	33 min
Jul 13, 9:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	30 min
Jul 13, 9:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	30 min
Jul 13, 9:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	32 min
Jul 13, 10:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata	30 min
Jul 13, 11:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	54 min
Jul 14, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	43 min
Jul 14, 4:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata	23 min
Jul 14, 4:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Washington	32 min
Jul 14, 5:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	66 min
Jul 14, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	43 min
Jul 14, 5:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	24 min
Jul 14, 5:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	30 min
Jul 14, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	41 min
Jul 14, 6:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes, Wagoner	19 min
Jul 14, 6:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore	23 min
Jul 14, 1:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	39 min
Jul 14, 1:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Madison	49 min
Jul 14, 2:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	25 min
Jul 14, 3:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	24 min
Jul 14, 3:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Franklin, Madison	21 min
Jul 14, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin	38 min
Jul 14, 6:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	36 min
Jul 14, 6:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	49 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.