Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
921 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SEVERE STORM IN CRAWFORD COUNTY ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
RAPIDLY EAST AND WILL EXIT OUR FORECAST AREA IN ABOUT AN HOUR.
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALONG THE COLD FRONT THAT IS ACCELERATING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA. A SEVERE STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH
THIS ACTIVITY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT 2-4 HOURS.

HAVE UPDATED FIRST PERIOD POPS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS AND ALSO
LOWERED OVERNIGHT LOWS SLIGHTLY IN MOST PLACES.

UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....05

PLATE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
524 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
524 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A JAY TO HENRYETTA LINE.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A GROVE TO OKMULGEE LINE.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR MIAMI TO HENRYETTA AT 5 PM.
THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TO THE EAST AND BUILD SOUTH
ALONG THE FRONT AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. WIND PROFILES ARE
FAVORABLE FOR ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND FALLING HUMIDITY VALUES BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A LIMITED FIRE DANGER
INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT INTO
FRIDAY WITH COOLER CONDITIONS. ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL MOVE OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
ON SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY...BEHIND THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM...WILL AGAIN CREATE AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER THREAT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
932 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

ARZ019-020-029-040330-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
932 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     EASTERN CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     FRANKLIN AND NORTHERN SEBASTIAN

AT 932 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF CASS TO VAN BUREN...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN
CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3538 9370 3536 9372 3536 9375 3540 9380
      3532 9381 3539 9443 3576 9412 3576 9392
      3577 9391 3577 9369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 271DEG 30KT 3572 9381 3542 9429

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
937 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0923 PM     HAIL             VAN BUREN               35.44N 94.35W
04/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       CRAWFORD           AR   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA WITH PICTURE

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
938 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0916 PM     HAIL             RUDY                    35.53N 94.27W
04/03/2014  E0.75 INCH       CRAWFORD           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JDS

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