Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
AS A COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING... THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
OR TWO ALONG THE FRONT. VERY DRY AIR BEHIND THE FRONT/DRYLINE AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS TO CREATE AN
ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRES INTO THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
LATER IN THE EVENING AS TEMPERATURES COOL AND WINDS EASE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TONIGHT... STALL EARLY TUESDAY AND THEN LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AS A
WARM FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. DURING THE DAY TUESDAY... SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT... GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING AN INCREASING FIRE
DANGER.

THE WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL JUST NORTH OF THE REGION
WEDNESDAY... WHILE A DRYLINE SETS UP JUST TO THE WEST. INCREASING
MOISTURE AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY... INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT PUSHES BACK THROUGH THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT. DETAILS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REFINED... THOUGH ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER INCREASES
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AS DETAILS
AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS CONTINUE TO BE REFINED. A REVIEW OF YOUR
SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY AND ACTION PLANS IS RECOMMENDED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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