Alert archive / Florida / Flash Flood Warnings in 2014

Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Tallahassee, FL

April 30, 2014Jackson County, Washington County, Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this flash flood warning at Apr 30, 2014, 11:21 AM CDT for Jackson County, Washington County, Florida. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 30, 2014, 11:21 AM CDT (16:21 UTC)
Expired: Apr 30, 2014, 3:15 PM CDT
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Jackson County, FL, Washington County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 304 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 615 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 391 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

935 
WGUS52 KTAE 301621
FFWTAE
FLC063-133-302015-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FF.W.0025.140430T1621Z-140430T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1121 AM CDT WED APR 30 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MARIANNA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...VERNON...CHIPLEY...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 1115 AM CDT...RADAR DETECTED AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH 
  WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS WASHINGTON AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
  MANY ROADS REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. RAINFALL ESTIMATES THAT 
  4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THESE AREAS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 
  2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN 
  WILL ONLY FURTHER ADD TO THE FLOODING THAT IS ALREADY OCCURRING.  

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO NEW HOPE...
  MILLERS FERRY...HOLMES VALLEY...SYLVANIA...SMYRNA...WHITEHEAD
  CROSSROADS...BAHOMA...SILLS...ELLAVILLE...BUENA VISTA...BLUE
  SPRING...COTTONDALE AIRPORT...TWO EGG...RICHTER CROSSROADS...RED
  HEAD...MARIANNA MUNICIPAL A/P...MALONE...LOVEDALE...JACOBS...
  GREENWOOD...FIVE POINTS...DELLWOOD...COTTONDALE...CHIPOLA
  TERRACE...CHIPLEY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...CAMPBELLTON...BROWNTOWN...
  BASCOM AND LIVE OAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE AWAY FROM RISING WATER TO HIGHER GROUND! MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR
IN VEHICLES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS.
REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3074 8578 3073 8560 3086 8557 3098 8549
      3099 8503 3087 8497 3075 8497 3069 8489
      3063 8494 3062 8518 3058 8519 3058 8550
      3046 8551 3046 8585 3058 8587 3068 8584

$$

22-BARRY

1 follow-up statement

502 
WGUS72 KTAE 301913
FFSTAE

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
213 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014

FLC063-133-301923-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-140430T2015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JACKSON FL-WASHINGTON FL-
213 PM CDT WED APR 30 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR WASHINGTON AND
JACKSON COUNTIES...

ALTHOUGH IT CONTINUES TO RAIN ACROSS THE COUNTY...NEW FLASH FLOODING 
IS NO LONGER IMMINENT. HOWEVER...STANDING WATER WILL BE VERY SLOW TO 
RECEDE AND SOME ROADS WILL REMAIN CLOSED UNTIL FLOOD WATERS SUBSIDE. 
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 3074 8578 3073 8560 3086 8557 3098 8549
      3099 8503 3087 8497 3075 8497 3069 8489
      3063 8494 3062 8518 3058 8519 3058 8550
      3046 8551 3046 8585 3058 8587 3068 8584

$$

18-WOOL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Apr 30, 7:13 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 7:13 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
813 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2014

.Near Term [Through Today]...

HEAVIEST RAINFALL FOR REMAINDER OF TODAY LOOKS TO BE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10 IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
AND FLOODING OCCURRED OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY IN WALTON AND BAY
COUNTIES. WILL BE WATCHING THE COASTAL COUNTIES AND SLIGHTLY
INLAND FROM FRANKLIN COUNTY WESTWARD FOR THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT REST OF TODAY WITH MINIMAL CHANCES ELSEWHERE. EXPECT
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH RAIN
DIMINISHING IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA COUNTIES MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 12Z Thursday]...
THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 00Z. RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AT ALL TERMINALS BETWEEN 00Z
AND 06Z EXCEPT AT KVLD WHERE SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH 12Z. IN THE WAKE OF PRECIPITATION EXPECT IFR/MVFR CIGS
WITH VSBY AOA 6SM.

&&

.Prev Discussion [417 AM EDT]...

.Short Term [Tonight Through Thursday Night]...
The closed mid-upper level slow moving low will finally eject to the
northeast and across the Great Lakes region on Thursday. Even so,
the local area will remain under deep southwest flow. The associated
surface cold front will move into our Ern zones tonight and slowly
push ESE of our CWFA on Thurs. Until then...rain chances will
continue and with saturated grounds..there will be an accompanying
flash flooding threat which is detailed below in the hydrology
section. Will go with 30-60% SW-NE POP gradient tonight...30-50%
NW-SE POP gradient on Thurs and 20-60% Thurs night

.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...
The stubborn surface low that has been stuck over the CONUS for
the past few days finally begins to lift into eastern Canada by
Friday. The associated trailing cold front will finally push
through our area for good bringing with it the chance for showers
on Friday afternoon. Behind the front ridging will settle in
place. Rain chances will be minimal and southerly flow at the end
of the period will bring sticky conditions with high temperatures
in the upper 80s and dewpoints near 60.

.Marine...
Strong and gusty onshore winds over the Panhandle waters justified a
Small Craft Advisory which should end soon after sunrise. Exercise
caution level winds are expected into this morning. After the
cold front passes thru this evening, offshore winds will prevail
through the weekend until high pressure builds in the Gulf on
Sunday switching our prevailing winds out of the east.

.Fire Weather...
No fire weather concerns.

.Hydrology...
Rainfall totals so far for this event are around 2 to 4 inches
across our area with higher totals around 5 to 7 inches in the
Florida Panhandle. Through the rest of the predawn hours, the
Panhandle, SE Alabama, and SW Georgia may see another 3-5 inches
of rainfall, with noticeably lower accumulations possible in the
Big Bend and in south central Georgia. With rain continuing thru
today, flash flooding will be possible.

Flooding continues on the Suwannee River in the eastern Big Bend,
but most other rivers have receded since our previous rainfall
event. However, rainfall totals will be sufficient to bring many
rivers into minor flood stage once again and many rivers have
already begun rising again. There is uncertainty about how much the
rivers will rise, since much of the rain hasn't fallen yet.

The most up-to-date river forecast information can always be found
on our AHPS page (below).

http:/water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tae.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   84  67  80  58  75 /  60  40  50  50  70
Panama City   78  63  76  59  70 /  70  40  40  50  60
Dothan        79  60  76  54  74 /  70  40  30  30  30
Albany        82  63  77  56  75 /  70  50  40  30  40
Valdosta      87  67  80  58  73 /  50  40  50  50  60
Cross City    85  69  82  63  75 /  40  30  50  60  70
Apalachicola  78  66  75  59  70 /  60  30  50  60  70

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Calhoun-Central
     Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal
     Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland
     Gulf-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-
     South Walton-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Baker-Ben Hill-
     Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-
     Lee-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-
     Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-
     Henry-Houston.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for Coastal
     waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...HOLLINGSWORTH
SHORT TERM...BLOCK
LONG TERM...BARRY
AVIATION...HOLLINGSWORTH
MARINE...BLOCK
FIRE WEATHER...HOLLINGSWORTH
HYDROLOGY...BLOCK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 30, 6:05 AM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
705 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PANAMA CITY AIRPORT     30.34N 85.80W
04/30/2014                   BAY                FL   911 CALL CENTER

            HARRISON AT 14TH STREET AND WILSON AT 12TH STREET
            INTERSECTIONS ARE FLOODED.

&&

WESTON

Local storm report, Apr 30, 6:06 AM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
706 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S BENNETT             30.37N 85.53W
04/30/2014                   BAY                FL   NEWSPAPER

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED INCLUDING CLEAR CREEK ROAD FROM
            TIMBER RUN ROAD TO ANN ELIZABETH LANE AND OAK TREE LANE.
            ONE STRETCH OF ROAD HAD A THREE FOOT WASHOUT.

&&

08-LAMERS

Local storm report, Apr 30, 6:39 AM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
739 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PANAMA CITY AIRPORT     30.34N 85.80W
04/30/2014                   BAY                FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            US HIGHWAY 98 IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

WESTON

Local storm report, Apr 30, 10:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1115 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 AM     HAIL             N SKIPPERVILLE          31.56N 85.55W
04/30/2014  E0.88 INCH       DALE               AL   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN SKIPPERVILLE, AL.

&&

EH

Local storm report, Apr 30, 10:39 AM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1139 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 AM     TORNADO          3 ESE JACOBS            30.88N 85.36W
04/30/2014                   JACKSON            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES SNAPPED IN HALF NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            HIGHWAY 231 AND COUNTY ROAD 162 EAST.

&&

EH

Local storm report, Apr 30, 10:58 AM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1158 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 AM     HAIL             ARITON                  31.60N 85.71W
04/30/2014  M1.00 INCH       DALE               AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FACEBOOK PICTURE WITH HAIL STONE AND A QUARTER.

&&

FOURNIER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 29, 8:27 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TAE	Wakulla	7 days
Apr 29, 10:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TAE	Walton	56 min
Apr 29, 10:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Walton	57 min
Apr 29, 10:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Walton	9 hr
Apr 29, 11:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Walton	44 min
Apr 29, 11:20 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	TAE	Walton	49 hr
Apr 29, 11:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Walton	63 min
Apr 30, 12:04 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		116 min
Apr 30, 12:15 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	TAE	Walton	14 hr
Apr 30, 12:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Holmes, Walton	58 min
Apr 30, 12:31 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TAE	Walton	29 min
Apr 30, 12:35 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Holmes	6 hr
Apr 30, 12:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Walton, Washington	44 min
Apr 30, 12:47 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TAE	Walton, Washington	28 min
Apr 30, 12:56 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		94 min
Apr 30, 1:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Holmes, Jackson, Walton	41 min
Apr 30, 1:15 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Holmes, Jackson, Washington	6 hr
Apr 30, 1:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Calhoun, Jackson, Washington	63 min
Apr 30, 1:45 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TAE	Jackson	30 min
Apr 30, 1:53 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TAE	Jackson	37 min
Apr 30, 1:57 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Jackson	6 hr
Apr 30, 2:06 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Bay	9 hr
Apr 30, 2:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Jackson	64 min
Apr 30, 2:29 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	TAE	Jackson	31 min
Apr 30, 2:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Calhoun	44 min
Apr 30, 3:03 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Calhoun, Gadsden, Jackson, Liberty	57 min
Apr 30, 3:08 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Calhoun	9 hr
Apr 30, 3:30 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		90 min
Apr 30, 3:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Walton	40 min
Apr 30, 3:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Gadsden	64 min
Apr 30, 3:58 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Gadsden, Liberty	6 hr
Apr 30, 5:02 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Bay, Calhoun	6 hr
Apr 30, 5:18 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		87 min
Apr 30, 6:21 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		114 min
Apr 30, 6:45 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		60 min
Apr 30, 8:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Gulf	40 min
Apr 30, 8:27 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	TAE		2 hr
Apr 30, 8:32 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TAE	Jackson	3 hr
Apr 30, 8:46 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TAE	Washington	3 hr
Apr 30, 8:55 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TAE	Jackson	3 days
Apr 30, 8:55 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TAE	Calhoun	8 days
Apr 30, 8:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Bay, Franklin, Gulf	34 min
Apr 30, 11:01 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Bay, Gulf	4 hr
Apr 30, 11:48 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TAE	Calhoun	3 hr
Apr 30, 12:05 PM CDT	Wind Advisory	TAE	Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 6 more	5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014 Every flash flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.