Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 482
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 31, 2014, 7:12 PM CDT for 31 counties in Iowa; 8 counties in Missouri; Nemaha County, Richardson County, Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 31, 2014, 7:12 PM CDT (00:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2014, 12:47 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 41 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO, Nemaha County, NE, Richardson County, NE
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Pocahontas, Sac, Webster | 46 min |
| Aug 31, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Calhoun, Carroll, Greene, Guthrie | 42 min |
| Aug 31, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Humboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Webster | 46 min |
| Aug 31, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills | 28 min |
| Aug 31, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie | 58 min |
| Aug 31, 8:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont | 27 min |
| Aug 31, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Greene, Hamilton, Webster | 54 min |
| Aug 31, 8:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Hancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Webster, Wright | 52 min |
| Aug 31, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Page | 26 min |
| Aug 31, 8:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Hamilton, Webster | 33 min |
| Aug 31, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Page | 31 min |
| Aug 31, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Dallas, Polk, Story | 59 min |
| Aug 31, 8:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Story | 57 min |
| Aug 31, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt | 53 min |
| Aug 31, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Franklin, Grundy, Hardin and 1 more | 48 min |
| Aug 31, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Marshall, Tama | 60 min |
| Aug 31, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Dallas, Polk | 44 min |
| Aug 31, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy, Tama | 50 min |
| Aug 31, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion, Warren | 51 min |
| Aug 31, 10:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Dallas, Polk | 6 hr |
| Aug 31, 10:54 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Madison, Marion, Warren | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1500 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -36 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1054 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 115 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 294 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.7
- Supercell composite
- 6.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
475
WWUS20 KWNS 010015
SEL2
SPC WW 010015
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-010700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH OF DES MOINES
IOWA TO 40 MILES EAST OF FALLS CITY NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 479...WW 480...WW 481...
DISCUSSION...MESSY MIX OF SUPERCELLS...MULTICELLS AND QUASI-LINEAR
TSTM SEGMENTS SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY W-E ACROSS WW AREA THIS
EVENING...OFFERING SOME RISK FOR EACH SEVERE HAZARD. RELATIVELY
MAXIMIZED TORNADO POTENTIAL...WHETHER FROM SUPERCELLS OR QLCS
CIRCULATIONS...WOULD BE OVER PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL IA...NEAR AND N OF
OLD OUTFLOW/DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING BOUNDARY -- WHERE RELATIVELY BACKED
FLOW...RELATED HODOGRAPH ENHANCEMENT...RICH BOUNDARY-LAYER
MOISTURE...AND LOW LCL ARE EXPECTED FOR A FEW HOURS BENEATH
STRENGTHENING LLJ.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...EDWARDSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 9:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan and 39 more | 96 min |
| Aug 31, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Buchanan, Cedar and 27 more | 4 hr |
| Aug 31, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 23 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 31, 9:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 11 more | 96 min |
| Sep 1, 3:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 34 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 1, 5:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 49 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 1, 2:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Box Butte, Cherry, Dawes, Keya Paha, Sheridan, Sioux | 88 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.