Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 361

June 27, 2014Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 27, 2014, 2:47 PM MDT for Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2014, 2:47 PM MDT (20:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2014, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Chase County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne46 min
Jun 27, 3:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDWallace41 min
Jun 27, 3:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson43 min
Jun 27, 3:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman, Wallace65 min
Jun 27, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins28 min
Jun 27, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma33 min
Jun 27, 4:46 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDSherman16 min
Jun 27, 4:47 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDThomas28 min
Jun 27, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins63 min
Jun 27, 5:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins42 min
Jun 27, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Thomas39 min
Jun 27, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Hayes, Perkins46 min
Jun 27, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDHitchcock46 min
Jun 27, 5:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Hayes, Lincoln39 min
Jun 27, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln, Logan, McPherson50 min
Jun 27, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Lincoln, Perkins45 min
Jun 27, 6:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Lincoln44 min
Jun 27, 6:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan52 min
Jun 27, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRed Willow35 min
Jun 27, 6:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson, Furnas, Gosper39 min
Jun 27, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson37 min
Jun 27, 7:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley, Wallace, Wichita43 min
Jun 27, 7:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHooker, Lincoln, Logan, McPherson, Thomas41 min
Jun 27, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Lincoln, Logan, Thomas51 min
Jun 27, 8:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCScott39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2014-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1212 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2014-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 306 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1212 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-553 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1199 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
525 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

799 
WWUS20 KWNS 272050
SEL1  
SPC WW 272050
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-280300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 361
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EXTREME EASTERN COLORADO
  WESTERN KANSAS
  SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH OF GARDEN CITY
KANSAS TO 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF NORTH PLATTE NEBRASKA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 360...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INCREASE OVER SWRN
NEB AND WRN KS IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING EWD INTO THE
HIGH PLAINS.  STEEP LAPSE RATES ABOVE THE WEAKENING EML/CAPPING
INVERSION ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A VERY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
MLCAPE OF 2000-3500 J/KG.  STORMS MAY RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE ONCE THE
CAP IS BROKEN WITH POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...SEVERE
WINDS...AND SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH STRONGER CELLS.  ACTIVITY MAY
FORM INTO ONE OF MORE CLUSTERS/QLCS STRUCTURES BY EVENING AS STORMS
PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE AREA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 8:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick, Yuma90 min
Jun 26, 9:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma3 hr
Jun 26, 10:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Phillips, Yuma95 min
Jun 27, 12:05 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 7 more115 min
Jun 27, 12:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Cheyenne, Elbert, Kiowa and 10 more6 hr
Jun 27, 2:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick86 min
Jun 27, 5:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick84 min
Jun 27, 5:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Crowley, Elbert, Kiowa and 8 more58 min
Jun 27, 12:37 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Norton, Rawlins23 min
Jun 27, 3:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Custer, Dawes, Garfield and 10 more93 min
Jun 27, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Cherry, Garden, Grant, Hooker, Logan and 3 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.