Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 104

April 27, 201433 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2014, 10:33 PM CDT for 33 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2014, 10:33 PM CDT (03:33 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2014, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 10:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott38 min
Apr 27, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope41 min
Apr 27, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell47 min
Apr 27, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell44 min
Apr 27, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more51 min
Apr 27, 11:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy21 min
Apr 27, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Perry, Pope, Van Buren and 1 more47 min
Apr 28, 1:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Garland, Perry44 min
Apr 28, 2:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Hot Spring, Ouachita44 min
Apr 28, 2:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell49 min
Apr 28, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Pulaski45 min
Apr 28, 3:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, White37 min
Apr 28, 3:14 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Jackson, White3 hr
Apr 28, 3:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell39 min
Apr 28, 3:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Dallas, Ouachita47 min
Apr 28, 3:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie42 min
Apr 28, 3:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Jefferson, Lincoln46 min
Apr 28, 4:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita41 min
Apr 28, 4:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln51 min
Apr 28, 5:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln23 min
Apr 28, 5:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Monroe31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2014-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 409 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2014-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 353 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
409 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
501 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
357 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
6.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

660 
WWUS20 KWNS 280332
SEL4  
SPC WW 280332
ARZ000-281100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL ARKANSAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1035 PM
  UNTIL 600 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF FORT SMITH
ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 100...WW 102...WW 103...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE OK/AR BORDER WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT.  THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
WILL OVERSPREAD THIS REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD...MAINTAINING THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A
FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFaulkner30 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 1 more91 min
Apr 27, 7:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 4 more6 hr
Apr 27, 8:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union66 min
Apr 27, 8:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway, Craighead and 45 more62 min
Apr 27, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 36 more91 min
Apr 27, 11:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more6 hr
Apr 27, 11:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 38 more84 min
Apr 27, 11:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 2 more94 min
Apr 28, 1:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 6 more8 hr
Apr 28, 2:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 25 more115 min
Apr 28, 4:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Columbia, Drew, Union54 min
Apr 28, 4:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Union7 hr
Apr 28, 7:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot89 min
Apr 28, 9:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.