Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 520

October 2, 201411 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 2, 2014, 8:04 PM CDT for 11 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2014, 8:04 PM CDT (01:04 UTC)
Expired
Oct 3, 2014, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 55 counties

Beauregard Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Hays County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Panola, Rusk, Shelby40 min
Oct 2, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston54 min
Oct 2, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Lincoln and 2 more43 min
Oct 2, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine60 min
Oct 2, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Grimes, Houston, Madison, San Jacinto, Trinity and 1 more59 min
Oct 2, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston46 min
Oct 2, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXTravis, Williamson23 min
Oct 2, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Ouachita and 3 more47 min
Oct 2, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine40 min
Oct 2, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBurleson67 min
Oct 2, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine63 min
Oct 2, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJasper, Newton, Tyler64 min
Oct 2, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon61 min
Oct 3, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu30 min
Oct 3, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Rapides, Vernon60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2657 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2014-10-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2657 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
674 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 7:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, De Soto, Evangeline and 9 more57 min
Oct 2, 7:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Claiborne, Morehouse, Union, Webster, West Carroll115 min
Oct 2, 9:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Carroll, Madison, Morehouse, West Carroll2 hr
Oct 2, 10:11 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas5 hr
Oct 2, 11:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 23 more55 min
Oct 2, 11:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu and 18 more5 hr
Oct 2, 11:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland and 2 more115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.