Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 521
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 2, 2014, 10:11 PM CDT for 6 parishes in Louisiana; 48 counties in Mississippi; 21 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 2, 2014, 10:11 PM CDT (03:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 3, 2014, 3:08 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 75 counties
Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Wayne County, TN
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma, DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate and 2 more | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 10:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall, Tate | 42 min |
| Oct 2, 10:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Haywood, Lauderdale, Obion and 2 more | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 10:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman and 3 more | 52 min |
| Oct 2, 11:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Marshall | 32 min |
| Oct 2, 11:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, DeSoto, Marshall | 23 min |
| Oct 2, 11:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson and 5 more | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola and 4 more | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 11:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley | 40 min |
| Oct 3, 12:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more | 67 min |
| Oct 3, 12:38 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 36 min |
| Oct 3, 1:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Williamson | 31 min |
| Oct 3, 1:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury | 44 min |
| Oct 3, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 770 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -70 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1133 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
348
WWUS20 KWNS 030314
SEL1
SPC WW 030314
LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-031000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 521
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
NORTHERN...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1010 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH OF NATCHEZ
MISSISSIPPI TO 95 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON TENNESSEE. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 519...WW 520...
DISCUSSION...QLCS WITH HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE...ISOLATED MEASURED
SVR GUSTS...FEW STG MISOCYCLONES...AND A RECENT TORNADO REPORT IN
CRAIGHEAD COUNTY AR...IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN PRIMARY DAMAGING-GUST
THREAT AS IT MOVES OVER WW AREA. ORGANIZATION OF MCS SHOULD LESSEN
NEAR E EDGE OF WW...ESPECIALLY OVER MID TN AND NERN MS...AS IT
ENTERS PROGRESSIVELY LOWER-THETAE AIR MASS. HOWEVER...FAVORABLY
LARGE WARM-SECTOR HODOGRAPHS SHOULD SUPPORT SVR POTENTIAL IN
MEANTIME. TORNADO RISK ALSO MAY EXIST FROM SMALL/ROTATING CELLS
AHEAD OF MAIN LINE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...EDWARDSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 7:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, De Soto, Evangeline and 9 more | 57 min |
| Oct 2, 7:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bossier, Claiborne, Morehouse, Union, Webster, West Carroll | 115 min |
| Oct 2, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beauregard, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Carroll, Madison, Morehouse, West Carroll | 2 hr |
| Oct 2, 11:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 23 more | 55 min |
| Oct 2, 11:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu and 18 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 2, 11:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland and 2 more | 115 min |
| Oct 3, 2:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 21 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2014Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.