Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489

September 2, 201417 counties in New York; 39 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 2, 2014, 4:39 PM EDT for 17 counties in New York; 39 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2014, 4:39 PM EDT (20:39 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2014, 9:53 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Yates County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Centre, Clearfield62 min
Sep 2, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin46 min
Sep 2, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk, McKean, Potter58 min
Sep 2, 4:50 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton40 min
Sep 2, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSteuben55 min
Sep 2, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield, Elk25 min
Sep 2, 5:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, York64 min
Sep 2, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clearfield40 min
Sep 2, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clinton, Elk, Lycoming, McKean, Potter and 1 more62 min
Sep 2, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSteuben66 min
Sep 2, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton35 min
Sep 2, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Schuyler, Steuben43 min
Sep 2, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Sullivan38 min
Sep 2, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chemung, Cortland, Schuyler, Tioga, Tompkins65 min
Sep 2, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford62 min
Sep 2, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Madison, Oneida, Otsego58 min
Sep 2, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga53 min
Sep 2, 7:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford, Susquehanna, Wyoming55 min
Sep 2, 8:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego67 min
Sep 2, 8:32 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMChenango, Delaware, Otsego28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 459 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
459 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
678 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 2:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 26 more2 hr
Sep 2, 6:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more91 min
Sep 2, 7:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Delaware, Greene, Montgomery, Otsego and 7 more92 min
Sep 2, 4:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Chester, Lancaster, York94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.