Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 467

August 19, 201410 counties in Indiana; 19 counties in Michigan; 6 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 19, 2014, 2:34 PM EDT for 10 counties in Indiana; 19 counties in Michigan; 6 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2014, 2:34 PM EDT (18:34 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2014, 7:35 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Noble County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Kalamazoo, Van Buren55 min
Aug 19, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRBarry, Clinton, Eaton, Ingham, Ionia64 min
Aug 19, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo56 min
Aug 19, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren58 min
Aug 19, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson58 min
Aug 19, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo80 min
Aug 19, 3:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben47 min
Aug 19, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Saint Joseph44 min
Aug 19, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRJackson38 min
Aug 19, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee, Washtenaw69 min
Aug 19, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRJackson14 min
Aug 19, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe, Wayne59 min
Aug 19, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb, Saint Clair58 min
Aug 19, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, Putnam, Van Wert39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 82 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2014-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
82 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
742 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 2:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 31 more57 min
Aug 19, 3:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Greene, Knox and 13 more115 min
Aug 19, 4:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben, Whitley84 min
Aug 19, 6:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Clay, Decatur and 22 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.