Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433

July 23, 201410 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 23, 2014, 1:37 PM CDT for 10 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2014, 1:37 PM CDT (18:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2014, 5:40 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 1:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph36 min
Jul 23, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Mississippi49 min
Jul 23, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph47 min
Jul 23, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett44 min
Jul 23, 2:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph3 hr
Jul 23, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence, Poinsett, Randolph46 min
Jul 23, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett47 min
Jul 23, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Lee, St. Francis24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2014-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 320 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2014-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
320 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1245 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 6:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph2 hr
Jul 23, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 25 more94 min
Jul 23, 12:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 49 more7 hr
Jul 23, 1:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 3 more63 min
Jul 23, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crawford and 46 more89 min
Jul 23, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada5 hr
Jul 23, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Drew, Lafayette and 4 more84 min
Jul 23, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCUnion5 hr
Jul 22, 7:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Linn, Livingston and 5 more94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.