Alert archive / Wyoming / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 200

May 31, 2014Scotts Bluff County, Sioux County, Nebraska; 7 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 31, 2014, 5:02 PM MDT for Scotts Bluff County, Sioux County, Nebraska; 7 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2014, 5:02 PM MDT (23:02 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2014, 7:50 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSGoshen, Platte41 min
May 31, 5:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell66 min
May 31, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSScotts Bluff, Sioux42 min
May 31, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSConverse, Niobrara, Platte49 min
May 31, 6:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook, Weston60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 188 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
516 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 12:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Dakota, Dixon, Knox117 min
May 31, 4:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCScotts Bluff, Sioux86 min
May 31, 1:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Converse, Goshen, Laramie, Niobrara, Platte and 1 more116 min
May 31, 2:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCSheridan7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.