Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 167

May 21, 201410 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 21, 2014, 2:18 PM MDT for 10 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2014, 2:18 PM MDT (20:18 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2014, 6:47 PM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso40 min
May 21, 3:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso52 min
May 21, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas52 min
May 21, 5:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers50 min
May 21, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2014-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 268 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2014-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
268 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 6:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma88 min
May 20, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma4 hr
May 20, 8:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick and 2 more84 min
May 21, 12:09 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Elbert, Morgan and 1 more96 min
May 21, 12:34 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas and 5 more8 hr
May 21, 1:42 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Crowley, El Paso, Kiowa, Las Animas and 4 more63 min
May 21, 1:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroomfield, Denver, Jefferson62 min
May 21, 4:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Washington, Yuma58 min
May 21, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Washington, Yuma6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.