Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 156

May 14, 20144 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 14, 2014, 7:01 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2014, 7:01 PM EDT (23:01 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2014, 10:40 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Noble County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Preston County, WV, Wetzel County, WV

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZLawrence, Mercer52 min
May 14, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Harrison, Jefferson, Monroe49 min
May 14, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Mercer, Venango48 min
May 14, 8:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGuernsey, Muskingum, Noble43 min
May 14, 8:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Guernsey, Muskingum50 min
May 14, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Noble48 min
May 14, 8:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2014-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 10 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2014-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
10 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-164 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
999 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 5:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming85 min
May 14, 11:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Ashland, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Carroll and 37 more53 min
May 14, 1:23 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Ashland, Ashtabula, Athens, Belmont, Brown and 63 more9 hr
May 14, 3:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Ashland, Brown, Butler, Champaign, Clark and 37 more113 min
May 14, 1:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Cambria, Clarion, Clearfield, Elk, Fayette and 4 more117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.