Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 892

June 8, 201422 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 8, 2014, 10:32 AM CDT for 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2014, 10:32 AM CDT (15:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2014, 12:30 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 22 counties

Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Terry County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2014-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 44 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2014-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
44 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-585 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
453 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

193 
ACUS11 KWNS 081532
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081532 
TXZ000-NMZ000-081730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0892
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 081532Z - 081730Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY ELEVATED CONVECTION
ACROSS WEST TX THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

DISCUSSION...WARM ADVECTION APPEARS TO BE AIDING ELEVATED CONVECTION
ACROSS WEST TX IN THE WAKE OF LATE NIGHT MCS.  NUMEROUS
SHOWERS...LIKELY ROOTED AOA 800MB...ARE INCREASING ATOP RAIN-COOLED
AIRMASS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU...NWD INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. 
LATEST WDSSII MESH DATA SUGGESTS HAIL NEAR ONE INCH IS NOTED WITH
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER OVER GAINES COUNTY.  THIS ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY
EXPANDING IN AREAL COVERAGE AND OTHER CLUSTERS COULD
EVOLVE/STRENGTHEN ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL.  12Z
SOUNDING AT MAF EXHIBITS VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES...AROUND 8
C/KM...THROUGH THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER AND THIS SUPPORTS ONGOING
ROBUST UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT.  ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD FESTER
ACROSS THIS REGION AT LEAST THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

..DARROW/WEISS.. 06/08/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   33760172 33170006 31380038 31420210 33280308 33760172

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Montague and 2 more2 hr
Jun 7, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Cooke, Fannin, Foard and 6 more8 hr
Jun 7, 9:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran and 22 more85 min
Jun 7, 9:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Red River2 hr
Jun 7, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Howard, Martin and 2 more92 min
Jun 8, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Archer, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Clay and 33 more118 min
Jun 8, 1:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 10 more2 hr
Jun 8, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Sabine and 2 more7 hr
Jun 8, 2:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam53 min
Jun 8, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Coke, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Ector and 27 more3 hr
Jun 8, 2:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDallam, Deaf Smith, Hartley, Oldham8 hr
Jun 8, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Shelby83 min
Jun 8, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Brewster, Cochran, Crane, Culberson, Dawson and 15 more8 hr
Jun 8, 5:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hartley, Sherman2 hr
Jun 8, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brewster, Concho, Coryell, Crockett, Hamilton and 14 more86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.