Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 611

May 15, 201412 counties in Maryland; 25 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2014, 5:33 PM EDT for 12 counties in Maryland; 25 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2014, 5:33 PM EDT (21:33 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2014, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 37 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Kent County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2014-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
591 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 11:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFrederick, Montgomery, Washington8 hr
May 15, 3:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Frederick, Montgomery, Washington53 min
May 15, 6:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFrederick, Montgomery, Washington96 min
May 14, 9:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford, Erie and 6 more87 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.