Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1919

November 17, 201425 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 17, 2014, 9:56 AM EST for 25 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2014, 9:56 AM EST (14:56 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2014, 12:00 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 25 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 32 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 227 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
849 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 10:26 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 20 more7 hr
Nov 17, 1:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 17 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.