Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
136 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL DRIFT SOUTH TOWARD
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION TONIGHT. UPPER DISTURBANCES RIDING ALONG THE FRONT WILL
RESULT IN PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS AS THE BOUNDARY MEANDERS
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 945 AM EDT THURSDAY...

INITIAL BAND OF BROKEN EARLIER CONVECTION HAS FADED UPON
ENCOUNTERING A BIT MORE STABLE AIR TO THE SE OF THE WESTERN SLOPES
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EARLIER
CONVECTION AND ADDITIONAL UPSTREAM CLUSTERS WILL LIKELY CAUSE AN
UPTICK IN COVERAGE OVER THE NORTH/NW BY EARLY AFTERNOON. FLOW
REMAINS DEEP WESTERLY PER MORNING SOUNDINGS SO STILL LIKELY
ENOUGH INTIALLY TO LIMIT EASTWARD ADVANCE ACROSS THE RIDGES. MUCH
STRONGER SHORTWAVE SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE LOOKS TO BE THE MAIN PLAYER
LATER ON AS MODELS SPILL IT SE WITH SOME INTERSECTION WITH THE
PIEDMONT LEE TROF LATE. MOST OF THIS COVERAGE LIKELY TO RUN AROUND
THE EASTERN DOWNSLOPE WITH A BAND OF STORMS POSSIBLY UNZIPPING
BACK WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL CWA...AND PUSHING SOUTH BY LATE
AFTERNOON UNDER THE VORT TAIL/OUTFLOW. THIS SUPPORTED BY MODIFIED
CAPES PUSHING 3K J/KG AGAIN ESPCLY EAST AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
LIFT AS BETTER DYNAMICS ARRIVE. THUS WILL BE RUNNING WITH LOW
LIKELYS FOR INIT COVERAGE NW...THEN HIGHER CHANCE POPS EAST PER
SHORTWAVE...AND ACROSS THE SOUTH/WEST LATE WHERE THINGS LIKELY
BAND UP A BIT MORE. HAVE LESS POP TODAY IN THE LEE OF THE BLUE
RIDGE IN LIGHT OF A RATHER WELL MIXED WEST WIND INITIALLY AND IN
LINE WITH THE LATEST HRRR AND RAP WHICH MAINTAIN A HOLE IN
COVERAGE CENTRAL SECTIONS UNITL LATE.

HIGHS APPEAR ON TRACK WITH 90-95 EAST GIVEN DOWNSLOPE AND MORE SUN BUT
LIKELY COOLER NW WHERE EARLY CLOUDS/TSRA MAY HOLD HOLD VALUES DOWN
A FEW DEGREES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AS OF 330 AM EDT THURSDAY...

SHORT WAVE OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY CROSSES INTO EASTERN
VIRGINIA BY THIS EVENING. FLOW 500 MB CHANGES FROM LIGHT WESTERLY
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE TO NORTHWEST AROUND THE DIGGING UPPER LOW IN
SOUTHEAST CANADA.

BEST Q-V FORCING STAYS JUST TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT SHORT WAVE WILL STILL RESULT IN
MORE EXTENSIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND MORE ORGANIZED STORMS COMPARED
WITH THE ISOLATED PULSE CONVECTION OF TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

AT 2AM OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE MARYLAND PANHANDLE INTO
CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THIS MORNING. WILL HAVE HIGHER PROBABILITY OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR WESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE LOCATION OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AT THE TIME OF PEAK
HEATING THIS AFTERNOON WILL GREATLY INFLUENCE WHERE THE HIGHEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE. CLOUDS FROM THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL ALSO LIMIT HEATING IN THE WEST. WILL
HAVE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRE-STORM ENVIRONMENT REMAINS HIGH
CAPE/LOW SHEAR THROUGH THE EVENING.

SURFACE FRONT AS SEEN IN LIFTED INDEX FORECAST AND PUSHES LEADING
EDGE OF DRIER AIR AND MORE STABLE AIR IN FROM THE NORTH...REACHING
THE NORTHEAST COUNTY WARNING AREA BY LATE TONIGHT. SHIFT TO DEEPER
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL AIDE IN CHANGE OF AIR MASS IN THE PIEDMONT
AND COAST PLAIN BUT SKEPTICAL THAT SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL BE AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE MODELS DEPICT BY FRIDAY MORNING.

STARTING OUT WITH MORE CLOUDS...ESPECIALLY IN WEST THIS MORNING.
THIS WILL HOLD BACK ON HEATING AND MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES. CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MILD OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT THURSDAY...

UPPER TROF PUSHES EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE WEEKEND...AS
THE RIDGE AXIS DEAMPLIFYS OR FLATTENS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY. ON FRIDAY...THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL BE
SLOWLY TRAVELING SOUTH ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PROGGED TO MOVE INTO NORTH CAROLINA. PLACEMENT
OF THE BOUNDARY IS PROBLEMATIC WITH LIGHT WIND FIELDS AND
CONCERNS THAT THIS BOUNDARY WILL NOT TRAVEL THAT FAR SOUTH
ESPECIALLY WITH THE 85H THETA-E BOUNDARY REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. KEPT THE HIGHEST POPS FOR CONVECTION IN THE
NORTHWEST WITH LIGHTEST IN THE SOUTHEAST. WONDERING IF EASTERLY
FLOW ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE EASTERN SLOPES WILL RESULT IN MORE
SHOWERS AND LIMITED INSTABILITIES. BELIEVE THAT MODEST
INSTABILITIES OVER THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD GENERATE AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY IN THE WEST. WILL ALSO NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON
THE OHIO VALLEY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
A POSSIBLE MESOSCALE COMPLEX COULD TRACK NEAR THE AREA WITH 5H
ISOHEIGHTS ORIENTED NW-SE. ANY CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT DEVELOPS
SHOULD TRACK CLOSE TO THE 85H THETA-E BOUNDARY WHICH IS NORTH OF
THE AREA. IN ANY CASE...SCATTERED POSSIBLY STRONG CONVECTION COULD
LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF
GENERATE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION SATURDAY WITH DISTURBANCE TRACKING
SOUTHEAST TO THE CAROLINA SHORE.

PLAYED TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR FRIDAY WITH READINGS FROM
AROUND 80 DEGREES IN THE MOUNTAINS TO AROUND 90 DEGREES IN THE
SOUTHEAST. LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN QUITE MILD WITH
VALUES FROM THE LOWER 60S IN THE WEST TO AROUND 70 DEGREES IN THE
EAST.  HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON SATURDAY FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 90 IN THE PIEDMONT. WENT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY NIGHT CLOSE TO ENSEMBLE GFS MOS GENERALLY IN THE 60S.
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH ON SUNDAY INTO
SOUTH CAROLINA. THE GFS DEVELOPS A SFC LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE
SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...WHILE ECMWF DOES NOT HAVE THIS FEATURE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. DECREASED HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY WITH VALUES
FROM THE UPPER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 80S IN THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ZONAL EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LOWER BOUNDARY
LAYER FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING PULSE STORMS TO
DEVELOP. THIS PATTERN OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO THE END OF THE WEEK.
LOOKING BEYOND THE EXTENDED...A COLD FRONT MAY CLEAR THINGS OUT BY
NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM AND MUGGY UNTIL THIS
COLD FRONT PASSES EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM EDT THURSDAY...

CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPILL EAST
ALONG THE KLWB-KLYH CORRIDOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH ADDED
DEVELOPMENT ONGOING DOWN THE WESTERN SLOPES TO THE WEST OF KMKJ.
EXPECT THIS TO KEEP PERIODS OF MVFR AT KLWB OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO WITH PERHAPS BRIEF IFR IF A HEAVIER TSRA CROSSES DIRECTLY OVER
THE AIRPORT. SHOULD SEE MOST OF THIS COVERAGE SHIFT SE OF KLWB BY
20Z/4PM. THEN EXPECT STORMS TO FILL IN OUT EAST WITH ONLY WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION LIKELY AROUND KBLF WITH SOME OF THIS
SPREADING EAST TO NEAR KBCB/KROA BEFORE WEAKENING GIVEN THE STRONG
WEST WINDS ATTM. TSRA MAY TEND TO JUMP THE BLUE RIDGE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING CHANCES OVER THE PIEDMONT ESPCLY AROUND
KDAN ONCE THE DOWNSLOPE WEAKENS A BIT LATER ON. THUS HAVE
CONTINUED THE TREND OF INCLUDING A PREVAILING PERIOD OF MVFR IN
SHRA/TSRA WHERE ALREADY ONGOING OR APPROACHING AND VCTS ELSW UNTIL
LATE IN THE DAY.

A BACKDOOR FRONT DIPS SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE MASON-DIXON
LINE TONIGHT WHICH WILL INCREASE THE RANGE OF STORMS INTO MORE
SCATTERED AND MULTICELLULAR THIS EVENING ESPCLY SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN SECTIONS. MODELS ARE BRINGING MVFR TO IFR CLOUDS AND FOG
INTO THE FORECAST AREA NORTH OF THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT. BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SHOWED DRIER AIR COMING IN AT MID AND HIGH LEVELS WHILE
THE NAM LOWERS MOST CIGS TO IFR/MVFR IN LOW LEVEL NE FLOW BY
MORNING. THINK THIS MAY BE OVERDONE GIVEN SLOWNESS OF THE BOUNDARY
BUT A PERIOD OF LOW CIGS POSSIBLE KLWB EAST TO ALONG THE BLUE
RIDGE BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY.

BEST LIFT AND MOISTURE LOOKS TO GET PUSHED INTO THE FAR SW
SECTIONS FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER WAVE STARTS TO SHIFT THE
DEEPER MOISTURE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. LATEST GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT INSTABILITY MAY BE MUCH LESS INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON
WITH ADDED CONVECTION LIKELY FAR WEST AND NOT INCREASING UNTIL THE
EAST. OTRW THE MAIN CONCERN FRIDAY WILL BE WITH HOW FAST
CONDITIONS TURN VFR AS IF MORE FOG/STRATUS DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT THEN
COULD BE LOCKED INTO AT LEAST MVFR OVER THE EAST UNTIL MIDDAY OR
SO.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

THE FRONT AND DISTURBANCE ALOFT SHOULD PRODUCE BETTER COVERAGE
FRIDAY NIGHT. A WEAK FLOW PATTERN HOLDING OVER THE WEEKEND WILL
KEEP THE STORM CHANCES EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING
SAT/SUN BUT COVERAGE FOR NOW LOOKS A BIT LESS EACH DAY BEHIND THE
PASSING IMPULSE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT. DEEPER MOISTURE LOOKS TO RETURN
NORTH BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BETTER COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON/EVENING
STORMS ON MONDAY.

AREAS OF IFR FOG REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING...
PARTICULARLY IN AREAS THAT SEE RAIN THE PREVIOUS AFTERNOON. THE
MOST OPTIMAL FLIGHT CONDITIONS EACH DAY SHOULD BE IN THE MID TO
LATE MORNING AFTER FOG/LOW CLOUDS LIFT AND BURN OFF...AND BEFORE
AFTERNOON CONVECTION REDEVELOPS.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS/JH
NEAR TERM...AMS/JH
SHORT TERM...KK
LONG TERM...RCS
AVIATION...AMS/JH/PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
229 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCZ004>006-VAZ032>034-043>047-058-059-201830-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
229 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-035-WVZ042>045-201830-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-
GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
229 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
218 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

VAZ014-018-022-191845-
ROANOKE VA-MONTGOMERY VA-CRAIG VA-
218 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 217 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SIMMONSVILLE...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST
  AT 15 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SINKING CREEK...
  HUFFMAN...
  SIMMONSVILLE...
  MC DONALDS MILL...
  AND BRADSHAW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

THIS STORM WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8045 3749 8035 3730 8013 3721 8028
TIME...MOT...LOC 1815Z 319DEG 15KT 3735 8032

16

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
255 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

VAZ033-043-044-191930-
FRANKLIN VA-HENRY VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-
255 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  WEST CENTRAL PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SAGO...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 20
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CALLANDS...
  PENHOOK...
  CLIMAX...
  SWANSONVILLE...
  AND SAGO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3686 7978 3700 7963 3689 7944 3670 7959
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 311DEG 16KT 3689 7964

PH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
303 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCZ001>003-VAZ015-016-032-191945-
ASHE NC-SURRY NC-ALLEGHANY NC-GRAYSON VA-PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-
303 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 302 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FANCY GAP TO
  NEAR GRASSY CREEK...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 25 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
  STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SPARTA...
  ENNICE...
  CANA...
  FANCY GAP...
  AND PIPERS GAP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3656 8146 3668 8069 3661 8049 3642 8108
      3642 8114 3643 8117 3642 8118
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 280DEG 23KT 3665 8069 3648 8139

PH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
309 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     HAIL             ROARING RIVER           36.22N 81.00W
06/19/2014  E0.25 INCH       WILKES             NC   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN

0255 PM     HAIL             5 SW DOBSON             36.35N 80.79W
06/19/2014  E1.00 INCH       SURRY              NC   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

MBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
314 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

VAZ016-032-191945-
PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-
314 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 314 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WOODLAWN...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 25
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HILLSVILLE...
  CANA...
  FANCY GAP...
  PIPERS GAP...
  AND GLADESBORO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 8096 3672 8097 3685 8085 3665 8048
      3656 8069 3656 8073
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 310DEG 21KT 3674 8085

PH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
325 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

VAZ011-013-014-192015-
GILES VA-MONTGOMERY VA-PULASKI VA-
325 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 325 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR POPLAR HILL...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT
  15 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BLACKSBURG...
  NEWPORT...
  PILOT...
  CHRISTIANSBURG...
  AND RADFORD.

THIS INCLUDES VIRGINIA TECH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

THIS STORM WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 8051 3709 8025 3708 8028 3702 8036
      3701 8039 3702 8041 3700 8042 3702 8045
      3699 8049 3701 8051 3701 8052 3697 8055
      3693 8064 3720 8088
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 323DEG 14KT 3723 8069

16