Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Blacksburg, VA

725 
WWUS51 KRNK 110451
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1251 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

NCC157-169-110501-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140611T0500Z/
ROCKINGHAM NC-STOKES NC-
1251 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
ROCKINGHAM AND NORTHEASTERN STOKES COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 100 AM
EDT...
            
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. LIGHT TO 
MODERATE RAIN AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3625 7984 3640 8018 3654 8011 3654 7951
      3647 7951 3647 7952 3624 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0449Z 207DEG 30KT 3644 8006 3622 7959 

$$

RAB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
917 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH A COLD
FRONT TRAILING INTO TEXAS AND A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY LATE
WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THEN MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 912 PM EDT TUESDAY...

INCREASED POPS IN THE WEST TO MATCH UP WITH WSR-88D TRENDS WITH
THE LINE OF CONVECTION LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. SHAPED
POPS TOWARDS HRRR AND RNKWRF ARW THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THE
00Z RNK SOUNDING SHOWED AMPLE INSTABILITY FOR STRONG
UPDRAFTS...WITH SUFFICIENT MEAN FLOW TO ADVANCE THEM NORTHEAST
ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN VIRGINIA. PWAT HAVE CLIMB TO
1.46 INCHES THIS EVENING ON SOUNDING. SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. EXTENDED SCATTERED POPS OF CONVECTION UNTIL 06Z...THEN
ALLOWED FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS DURING THE OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG
WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WITH OBS
TRENDS AND TWEAKED LOW TOWARDS LAMPS WITH VALUES FROM THE LOWER
60S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 60S IN THE PIEDMONT.

AS OF 335 PM EDT TUESDAY...

UPPER LOW MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS AND BECOMES
AN OPEN WAVE BY LATE WEDNESDAY. FORECAST AREA STAYS IN BROAD
SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW. AT THE SURFACE A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND THE COUNTY WARNING AREA WILL
BE WELL WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ON WEDNESDAY.

500 MB TEMPERATURES DROP SLIGHTLY ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN
LARGER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND INCREASE THE INSTABILITY. RIGHT
REAR QUADRANT OF UPPER JET WILL ALSO BE ADVANCING INTO THE AREA BY
AFTERNOON AND WILL ENHANCE THE LIFT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

EXPECTING A MAJORITY OF ANY ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH
BETWEEN 00Z/8PM AND 03Z/11PM. THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. ONCE ATMOSPHERE
HEATS UP ON WEDNESDAY SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT AND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
AIRMASS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH LEAN TOWARD WARMER MAV GUIDANCE FOR
AFTERNOON MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ROUGHLY NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...THEN INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING...HOWEVER WHAT'S LEFT OF THE UPPER
LEVEL WAVE SHOULD SPAWN SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK AS IT LIMPS EAST. SOMEWHAT DRIER AND COOLER AIR ARRIVES BY THE
WEEKEND...WITH BEST CHCS FOR PRECIP THROUGH EXTREME SW VA AND NW NC
AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...

MEAGER SURFACE HIGH WILL ARRIVE IN A WEDGE POSITION BY SUNDAY ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND...KEEPING A SUPPLY OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR THROUGH MUCH
OF OUR REGION. SOME INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE EXTREME SW
AND WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE DUE TO WEAK SE WINDS...PRECIP CHCS WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR SW AND NW NC. AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF
THE COAST...RETURN FLOW DELIVERS WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR...LEADING
TO A WIDER SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND STORMS BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. H85 TEMPS MAY RETURN TO THE UPPER TEENS SOUTH OF WHAT LOOKS TO
BE A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MIDDLE
ATLANTIC BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 740 PM EDT TUESDAY...

SCATTERED MVFR/IFR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING IN THE
UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEST OF I77 TONIGHT. BLF AND BCB HAVE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

MVFR FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT IN MOST LOCATIONS. HIGH CONFIDENCE
THAT AIRPORTS WHICH HAVE RAIN THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WILL HAVE
FOG OVERNIGHT. PATCHES OF MVFR CLOUD COVER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH.

UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MS VALLEY WILL SLOWLY
MOVE EAST THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS REGIONWIDE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH
GREATEST COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME
ORGANIZATION OF STORMS IS LIKELY WITH STORMS CLUSTERING TOGETHER
IN SHORT LINE SEGMENTS.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

CONFIDENCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS DECREASES AFTER
THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES OVERHEAD AND WEAKENS.
FROM FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED WITH BETTER OPPORTUNITY
FOR GREATER COVERAGE OF VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS/KK
SHORT TERM...KM
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...AMS/KK/PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1128 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-120330-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
1128 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. BY THURSDAY...STORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SLOWER MOVING WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

AFTER THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RCS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1101 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE CERES             37.01N 81.33W
06/10/2014                   BLAND              VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ALONG WEST BLUE GRASS TRAIL

&&

JVC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1106 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE CERES             37.01N 81.33W
06/10/2014                   BLAND              VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ALONG WEST BLUE GRASS TRAIL

&&

JVC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1150 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE RUPERT             37.90N 80.63W
06/10/2014                   GREENBRIER         WV   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN IN SAM BLACK CHURCH

1033 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEWISBURG               37.80N 80.45W
06/10/2014                   GREENBRIER         WV   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN IN LEWISBURG

&&

JVC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1152 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ004-005-110445-
ROCKINGHAM NC-STOKES NC-
1152 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1245 AM EDT

* AT 1150 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BELEWS CREEK...MOVING TO THE
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM
  STOKESDALE TO GREENSBORO AND HIGH POINT...AND WERE ALSO MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
  VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAYFIELD...
  EDEN...
  REIDSVILLE...
  WENTWORTH...
  AND MADISON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3626 8017 3654 8004 3654 7951 3624 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0348Z 213DEG 32KT 3628 8007

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1155 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ002-003-019-020-VAZ015-110500-
SURRY NC-YADKIN NC-ALLEGHANY NC-WILKES NC-GRAYSON VA-
1155 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHEASTERN WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 100 AM EDT

* AT 1155 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
  ABSHERS TO NEAR CLINGMAN...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  MOUNTAIN PARK...
  ELKIN...
  ENNICE...
  AND SPARTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 8125 3640 8126 3673 8099 3667 8093
      3667 8094 3665 8095 3664 8092 3664 8090
      3656 8084 3655 8044 3643 8044 3608 8090
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 219DEG 30KT 3639 8117 3618 8092

RAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1159 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW NORTH WILKESBORO  36.18N 81.15W
06/10/2014                   WILKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SUNSET DRIVE

&&

JVC