Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 20, NWS Raleigh, NC

August 13, 2014Johnston County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Aug 13, 2014, 3:57 AM EDT for Johnston County, North Carolina. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2014, 3:57 AM EDT (07:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2014, 3:45 AM EDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Johnston County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neuse River at Smithfield (SMFN7).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02087570, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

598 
WGUS42 KRAH 130757
FLWRAH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
357 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA... 

  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-131957-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0020.140813T0757Z-140814T0316Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0744Z.140813T1200Z.140813T1516Z.NO/
357 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* forecast...the river will rise above flood stage this morning and continue to
  rise near 15.5 feet by noon. the river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE
  NEUSE RIVERWALK. WATER NEARS THE BASE OF THE HOLDING TANK AT THE 
  WATER TREATMENT PLANT.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  14.9 WED 03 AM  13.2   7.6   6.0   5.4      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
12 follow-up statements
128 
WGUS82 KRAH 130843
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
443 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-132043-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140814T0316Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140813T1200Z.140813T1516Z.NO/
443 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  4:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.6 FEET BY NOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE
  NEUSE RIVERWALK. WATER NEARS THE BASE OF THE HOLDING TANK AT THE 
  WATER TREATMENT PLANT.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  15.2 WED 04 AM  15.6  13.2   7.6   6.0   5.4      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:


        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
      

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
550 
WGUS82 KRAH 131031
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
631 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-132231-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1305Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0600Z.140815T0105Z.NO/
631 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  5:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY 
  LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT....MINOR FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  NEUSE RIVERWALK. WATER REACHES THE BASE OF THE HOLDING TANK AT THE 
  WATER TREATMENT PLANT. WATER WILL COME VERY NEAR THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
  SMITHFIELD  15  15.5 WED 05 AM    15.9  17.3  12.9   8.7   6.5


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
      
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
876 
WGUS82 KRAH 131438
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1038 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-140238-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.140813T1432Z-140814T1621Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.140813T1200Z.140814T0000Z.140814T0421Z.NO/
1038 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.8 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR OVERFLOW OCCURS ON BOTH BANKS.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 CLAYTON           9   9.4 WED 10 AM   7.3   4.0   2.7   2.3   2.0


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        CLAYTON:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-140238-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1130Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0000Z.140814T2330Z.NO/
1038 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  16.2 WED 10 AM  16.8  12.5   8.8   7.0   6.1


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
 
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
630 
WGUS82 KRAH 132111
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
511 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-140911-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140814T1621Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.140813T1200Z.140813T2046Z.140814T0421Z.NO/
511 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON.
* AT  5:01 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR OVERFLOW OCCURS ON BOTH BANKS.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 CLAYTON           9   9.8 WED 05 PM   7.3   4.2   2.5   2.1   1.9   


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:



        CLAYTON:        128.41
        

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-140911-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1305Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0600Z.140815T0105Z.NO/
511 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  4:46 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  16.8 WED 05 PM  16.8  12.5   8.8   7.0   6.1   


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:



        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
        


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
177 
WGUS82 KRAH 140137
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
937 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-141337-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140814T1414Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.140813T1200Z.140813T2046Z.140814T0214Z.NO/
937 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR CLAYTON.
* AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR OVERFLOW OCCURS ON BOTH BANKS.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 CLAYTON           9   9.3 WED 09 PM   6.5   4.0   2.5   2.1   2.0  

TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        CLAYTON:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-141337-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1130Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0600Z.140814T2330Z.NO/
937 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.4 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.2 WED 09 PM  17.0   12.9   8.8   6.9   5.9  
 
TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
572 
WGUS82 KRAH 140859
FLSRAH

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
459 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-142059-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1130Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0831Z.140814T2330Z.NO/
459 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  4:31 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST... the river will crest near 17.5 feet this morning. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE late THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.5 THU 05 AM  17.4   12.9   8.8   6.9   5.9      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
453 
WGUS82 KRAH 140902
FLSRAH

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
502 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..

  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-142102-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1130Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0831Z.140814T2330Z.NO/
502 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  4:31 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 17.5 FEET THIS MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.5 THU 05 AM  17.5   12.9   8.8   6.9   5.9      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
309 
WGUS82 KRAH 141159
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
758 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...AVOID ANY WATER RUNNING HIGH AND
FLOWING FAST.

&&

NCC101-142358-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1825Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0901Z.140815T0625Z.NO/
758 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 7:31 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.5 THU 08 AM  13.7   8.2   6.8   5.9      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
       
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

DJF
102 
WGUS82 KRAH 141327
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
927 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 

SAFETY MESSAGE...THE RIVERWALK AND TOWN PARK WILL BE FLOODED. DO NOT
LET CHILDREN PLAY OR BICYCLE ALONG THE RIVER WITHOUT ADULT 
SUPERVISION.

&&

NCC101-150127-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1730Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0901Z.140815T0530Z.NO/
927 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. THE SMITHFIELD TOWN 
  PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE ARE FLOODED.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.4 THU 09 AM  13.4   9.0   6.8   5.9   5.4


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
089 
WGUS82 KRAH 141640
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1240 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...AVOID ANY WATER RUNNING HIGH AND FLOWING FAST.

&&

NCC101-150440-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1730Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0901Z.140815T0530Z.NO/
1240 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 12:16 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED...AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
  DURING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...THE SMITHFIELD TOWN PARK AND THE NEUSE RIVERWALK AT
  THE HIGHWAY 70 BRIDGE HAVE SOME FLOODING.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  17.1 THU 12 PM  13.4   9.0   6.8   5.9   5.4


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26
 
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
158 
WGUS82 KRAH 150047
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
847 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-151247-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1724Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0901Z.140815T0524Z.NO/
847 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT 8:31 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE
  NEUSE RIVERWALK. WATER NEARS THE BASE OF THE HOLDING TANK AT THE 
  WATER TREATMENT PLANT.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 SMITHFIELD       15  15.8 THU 09 PM   13.8  9.6   6.9   6.0   5.5      

TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$
937 
WGUS82 KRAH 150745
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
345 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD AFFECTING JOHNSTON COUNTY

 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC101-150815-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140815T1724Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.140813T0731Z.140814T0901Z.140815T0640Z.NO/
345 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER AT SMITHFIELD.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  2:40 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 9.6 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE
  NEUSE RIVERWALK. WATER NEARS THE BASE OF THE HOLDING TANK AT THE 
  WATER TREATMENT PLANT.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

NEUSE RIVER
  SMITHFIELD  15  14.9 FRI 03 AM    13.8   9.6   6.9   6.0   5.5


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        SMITHFIELD:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 13, 3:33 AM EDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 3:33 AM EDT, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
333 AM EDT WED AUG 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST
BEGINNING LATER TODAY... AND WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM WEDNESDAY...

FOR TODAY/TONIGHT: WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN HAS EXITED THE AREA BUT
WILL NEED TO MONITOR A CLUSTER OF HEAVY SHOWERS OVER THE WRN
SANDHILLS NOW APPROACHING THE ALREADY-SOGGY TRIANGLE AREA FROM THE
SW... ALONG THE BACK EDGE OF THE MOISTURE CHANNEL NOTED ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. NIGHTTIME CINH HAS DEVELOPED HERE BUT WEAK CAPE (250-
500 J/KG) IS FEEDING INTO THESE SHOWERS JUXTAPOSED WITH 800-900 J/KG
OF D-CAPE... AND DECENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 30 KTS. OTHERWISE...
THE LATEST SURFACE MAP SHOWS THE COLD FRONT HAVING MOVED THROUGH THE
TRIAD AND INTO THE TRIANGLE... ALTHOUGH THE MOST STABLE AND MARKEDLY
LESS HUMID AND LOWER-THICKNESS AIR REMAINS WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS
WITH A WEAK WIND FIELD OVER CENTRAL NC. THIS SURFACE WIND SHIFT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE CWA BY MID MORNING (12Z-
13Z)... WITH SLOW WEST-EAST DRYING THROUGH A DEEP LAYER... AS THE
VORTICITY LOBE NOTED OVER THE ERN OH VALLEY SWINGS EASTWARD THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE DEEP ERN-NOAM MID LEVEL TROUGH. THIS WILL RESULT IN
A SCOURING OUT OF REMAINING CLOUDS THROUGH MID MORNING. MODELS
INDICATE A MODEST DIP IN THICKNESSES TODAY... MORESO NW THAN SE...
SO EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE FROM 83 NW TO 89 SE... WITH A TREND TO
LOWER HUMIDITY AS DEWPOINTS SLOWLY FALL FROM NW TO SE. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EASTWARD FROM THE MID MISS VALLEY IN EARNEST
TONIGHT... WITH THE DRYING TREND CONTINUING BENEATH 20-40 M HEIGHT
RISES AND DEEP SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND BELOW-
NORMAL LOWS OF 59-65.

FOR THU/THU NIGHT: STRONG MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SIT
AND SPIN OVER SW QUEBEC AS TROUGHING EXTENDS DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. A SECONDARY FRONT... ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SHEARED WAVE
SWEEPING THROUGH THE TROUGH BASE ACROSS THE MIDATLANTIC COAST... IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTH LATE THU AND PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
NC THU NIGHT. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS (~10 M) DO PASS BY ACROSS OUR
NORTH... HOWEVER ASCENT IS VERY SMALL... AND THE NEAR-SURFACE AIR AS
WELL AS THE MID LEVELS WILL REMAIN TOO DRY FOR ANY PRECIPITATION...
WITH SUBSIDENCE PERSISTING. EXPECT LITTLE MORE THAN SCATTERED FLAT
STRATOCUMULUS AND PERHAPS A FEW HIGH CLOUDS AS THE 500 MB WIND MAX
TRACKS ALONG AND NORTH OF OUR NRN BORDER. HIGHS JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL... AROUND 85-88. LOWS 60-65 THU NIGHT UNDER FAIR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS... SHIFTING FROM
NORTH TO WEST... THEN BACK TO NORTHERLY LATE THU NIGHT. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM WEDNESDAY...

THE REINFORCING COLD FRONT FORECAST TO CROSS CENTRAL NC THU NIGHT
WILL EXTEND FROM THE NC COAST WSW ACROSS SC EARLY FRI. TRAILING 1018-
1019 MB CANADIAN SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE OH VALLEY
EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN
ACROSS AND OFFSHORE THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES SAT AND SAT NIGHT.
THOUGH THE MSL PRESSURE FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE CANADIAN HIGH WILL
BE SOMEWHAT MASKED BY APPALACHIAN LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT...THE DRIER
CANADIAN-SOURCED AIR/LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES ON FRI - ONES
CHARACTERIZED BY SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 40S NORTH TO MID-
UPPER 50S SOUTH - WILL BE PRONOUNCED. DRY ADIABATIC MIXING OF 15 C
+/- 1 H85 TEMPS FRI AFTERNOON SUPPORT HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 80S. LOWS FRI NIGHT MOSTLY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
60S...WITH SOME UPPER 50S POSSIBLE WHERE PERIODS OF DECOUPLING/SFC
CALM DEVELOP...GIVEN PROJECTED LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES AROUND
1400 METERS SAT MORNING.

RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP WITH THE EASTWARD AND OFFSHORE MIGRATION OF
THE HIGH SAT AND SAT NIGHT...RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY WARMER AND MORE
HUMID CONDITIONS...THOUGH WITH THE FORMER STILL LIKELY A DEGREE OR
TWO SHY OF NORMALS OF THIS TIME OF YEAR OWING TO THE LINGERING BUT
LESSENING PRESENCE OF THE WELL-ADVERTISED NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALY
OVER QUEBEC.

&&

.LONG TERM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM TUESDAY...

DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MEAN MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE
IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE GRADUAL RELAXATION OF THE
POSITIVE PNA PATTERN (AND ASSOCIATED HIGH AMPLITUDE FLOW) ACROSS THE
CONUS AND CANADA...AND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A HIGH LATITUDE
BLOCKING RIDGE ARCING ACROSS THE POLE FROM GREENLAND TO THE GULF OF
ALASKA. HOWEVER...MODEL SPREAD WITH RESPECT TO SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE FLOW AT THE BASE OF/BENEATH THE DEVELOPING HIGH LATITUDE
BLOCKING HAS TRENDED HIGHER VERSUS THAT OF RECENT DAYS - NOT
UNCOMMON IN A PATTERN OF TRANSITION...AND WITH THE RESULT OF BELOW
AVG FORECAST CONFIDENCE DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE.

THE AFOREMENTIONED MODEL SPREAD IS MOST NOTABLE WITH THE HANDLING OF
A VORTICITY CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN (AND LIKELY CONVECTIVELY-ENHANCED
BY) SOUTHERLY NOAM MONSOONAL FLOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST US. THE
00Z/13TH GFS SOLUTION DEPICTS A STRONG STEERING INFLUENCE BY THE
NORTHERN STREAM AND RESULTANT FAST EASTERLY PROGRESSION OF THE
"MONSOONAL" SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC
STATES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK - A SOLUTION THAT HAS DEMONSTRATED A
SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURE FROM CONTINUITY WITH BOTH PREVIOUS GFS RUNS
AND THE EC ENSEMBLE MEAN. GIVEN THE DEVELOPING HIGH LATITUDE
BLOCKING FLOW AND INITIAL SIGNIFICANT SEPARATION BETWEEN THE
SHORTWAVE AND THE NORTHERN STREAM...A SLOWER SOLUTION IS PREFERRED.
SUCH A SOLUTION WOULD YIELD A GENERALLY DRY REGIME OVER CENTRAL
NC...WITH DIURNALLY-DRIVEN AFTERNOON STORMS ON OUR EASTERN AND
WESTERN AND FLANKS...INVOF THE SEA BREEZE AND THE MOUNTAINS. WARMER
YET AS HEIGHTS ALOFT FURTHER RELAX AND TRANSITION TO A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS...WITH PROBABLE STRONG SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPMENT AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN US MID-LATE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 110 AM WEDNESDAY...

AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THIS MORNING. REGARDING
PRECIPITATION... THE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS GENERATING IFR/LIFR
CONDITION HAVE MOVED OUT OF CENTRAL NC... HOWEVER ISOLATED HEAVY
SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS
EASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL NC. CIGS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY
VFR THROUGH 12Z... HOWEVER THERE ARE CURRENTLY SCATTERED CLOUDS
BASED BELOW 1500 FT AGL ACROSS CENTRAL NC... AND THESE COULD BECOME
BROKEN FOR A SHORT TIME AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION. VSBYS WILL LIKELY
STAY VFR AS WELL... OUTSIDE OF ANY ISOLATED SHOWERS. LIGHT WINDS
UNDER 9 KTS FROM THE SOUTH AND SW WILL SHIFT AROUND TO NNW OR
NORTHERLY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE (AND THEY HAVE ALREADY DONE SO AT
INT/GSO) PRIOR TO 13Z. ANY CIGS TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF
VALID PERIOD WILL BE VFR WITH CLOUD BASES ABOVE 4000 FT AGL.

LOOKING BEYOND 06Z THU... HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS HOLDING
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS. SUB-VFR FOG IS
POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN MORNING AS THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE AND
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW RESUMES. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...MWS
LONG TERM...MWS
AVIATION...HARTFIELD
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 4:34 AM EDT, 23 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
434 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-130845-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
434 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...SOME MINOR
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...MAINLY IN
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 12, 10:14 PM EDT, 5 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1014 PM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0957 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S SELMA               35.53N  78.29W
08/12/2014                   JOHNSTON           NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            CAR STALLED IN FLOOD WATERS ON S RAIFORD ST NEAR E
            JONES AVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1401632

NP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 12, 8:36 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHJohnston3 hr
Aug 12, 9:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHJohnston3 hr
Aug 12, 9:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHEdgecombe, Nash, Wayne, Wilson62 min
Aug 12, 9:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHWake115 min
Aug 12, 9:53 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHEdgecombe, Wayne, Wilson112 min
Aug 12, 10:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHWake6 hr
Aug 13, 4:52 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHWake3 hr
Aug 13, 7:02 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHJohnston23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.