Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Pueblo, CO

987 
WWUS55 KPUB 062124
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
324 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

COC071-062200-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-140606T2200Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
324 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 324 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHWEST
OF KIM...OR 42 MILES SOUTH OF NORTH LA JUNTA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 10372 3741 10385 3753 10355 3728 10344
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 254DEG 33KT 3736 10360 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

PGW

266 
WWUS55 KPUB 062137
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
337 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

COC071-062145-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-140606T2200Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
337 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST 
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3723 10372 3741 10385 3753 10355 3728 10344
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 250DEG 16KT 3738 10354 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1103 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 517 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

CURRENTLY...A DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING EAST ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO.  AT THE SURFACE...LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING MOISTURE ACROSS THE PLAINS.  A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN PUEBLO...NORTH INTO
EL PASO COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING.  RADAR IS ALSO STARTING TO
INDICATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO...INTO FAR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.  THE MAIN THREATS EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BE SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.  MOST HIGH RES
MODEL GUIDANCE DISSIPATES THIS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY 8
AM AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST INTO KANSAS.

TODAY...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO BY THIS AFTERNOON.  LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL TURN SOUTHERLY BY MID MORNING WITH MOISTURE
REMAINING POOLED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.  MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
CAPE VALUES AROUND 2500 J/KG BY 18Z.  MOST HIGH RES MODEL GUIDANCE
DEVELOP CONVECTION BY 18-19Z OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...INTO THE
PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON RIDGE.  EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO
SHIFT EAST BY MID AFTERNOON...INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR...AND THEN EAST
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  GIVEN
THE INSTABILITY AND MODEST SHEAR VALUES...THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  UPDRAFT HELICITY VALUES ARE NOT
AS IMPRESSIVE ON THE VARIOUS WRF SOLUTIONS...AND THAT WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE TORNADO THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ON THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.  IF ONE
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE OVER THE BURN SCAR...THEY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.  PEOPLE IN AND AROUND THE BURN
SCAR SHOULD MONITOR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
TRANSVERSING THE EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  THE MAIN
QUESTION WILL BE IF ANY CONVECTION REDEVELOPS LATER DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.  GIVEN THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND LIKELIHOOD OF
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...HAVE A FEELING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OUT NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER...AND
SOUTH ALONG THE NEW MEXICO BORDER.  THE MAIN THREATS WITH NOCTURNAL
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...ALONG WITH
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.  MOZLEY

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 517 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...CONTINUED ACTIVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...DRIER MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...THEN ACTIVE AGAIN...

PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  IN FACT...IT WILL
LIKELY BE MORE ACTIVE...WITH WETTER STORMS...MORE WIDESPREAD STORMS
AND STILL SOME SEVERE WEATHER TO CONTEND WITH. A SERIES OF WAVES
WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH DRIFTS ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.  THESE
WAVES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AREAS OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DROPPING
SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS...INCREASING LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS
THE PLAINS UP INTO TO THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS.  SO...LIKELY A WET
PERIOD AHEAD FOR MUCH OF THE EAST...WITH LESS ACTIVITY AS YOU HEAD
WESTWARD...FARTHER FROM THE UPSLOPE FLOW.  CONCERNS WILL INCREASE
REGARDING THE THREAT OF FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ON THE BURN
SCARS...BUT ALSO FOR AREAS RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE CURRENTLY
FULL FROM SNOWMELT.

MONDAY THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY...CURRENTLY LOOKS WARMER AND DRIER
AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA AND SHORT WAVE RIDGING
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE PATTERN LOOKS TO MOISTEN UP AGAIN
AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE OVER COLORADO.  THE
DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO SEND ANOTHER SURGE OF MOIST...UPSLOPE WINDS
SOUTH INTO EASTERN COLORADO...FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE AND SOME WET. LW

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1102 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AROUND
NOON...THEN SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE OVER OR NEAR THE KCOS AND KPUB TERMINALS...WITH LARGE HAIL
UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KTS POSSIBLE.
HAVE INTRODUCED SOME GUSTS TO 40KTS ALONG WITH GS IN A TEMPO GROUP
TO COVER THE POTENTIAL. HIGHEST THREAT WINDOW FOR KCOS WILL BE
BETWEEN 20Z-23Z. AND HIGHEST THREAT WINDOW FOR PUB WILL BE FROM
22Z AND 01Z. KALS COULD ALSO SEE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM...BUT
THESE WILL BE LESS LIKELY TO IMPACT THE TERMINAL. EXPECTING
ANOTHER ROUND OF STRATUS FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS TONIGHT...BUT
CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR TO MVFR...AND PLAN TO KEEP THEM IN THE VFR
CATEGORY FOR NOW. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...LW
AVIATION...KT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1102 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-071715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1102 AM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RE-DEVELOP AROUND NOON OVER THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS. HAIL UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS
TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY AS STORMS DEVELOP. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. IF ONE OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVES OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OFF THE MOUNTAINS AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS
THE EASTERN COLORADO PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  AS THEY MOVE
EAST...THEY WILL STRENGTHEN WITH SEVERAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
LIKELY...WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST INTO KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE KANSAS AND NEW MEXICO BORDERS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THE EXACT LOCATION OF DEVELOPMENT WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON
WHERE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES RESIDE...WITH SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND INCREASING LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. AREAS FARTHER
WEST WILL SEE LESS ACTIVITY BUT STILL SEE SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

PRIMARY STORM THREATS OVER THE WEEKEND WILL INCLUDE HEAVY
RAIN...FLOODING...LARGE HAIL AND LIGHTNING. THE FLOOD THREAT WILL
BE GREATEST ON AREA BURN SCARS. HOWEVER...AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS
SWOLLEN BY RECENT SNOWMELT WILL ALSO BE SUSCEPTIBLE.

AFTER A DRYING TREND MONDAY THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY...THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY AS A NEW WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

31/23

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
247 PM MDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             4 NE LAMAR              38.12N 102.56W
06/06/2014  M1.25 INCH       PROWERS            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
252 PM MDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0249 PM     TORNADO          19 E TRINIDAD           37.17N 104.16W
06/06/2014                   LAS ANIMAS         CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND BY NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

MN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
254 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

COZ081-082-084-085-062130-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT
CO-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT CO-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-
254 PM MDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 253 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
WEAKENING THUNDERSTORM OVER CASCADE...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .10 INCHES OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE WALDO
BURN SCAR WITH THIS STORM. IT IS NOT LIKELY TO CAUSE FLOODING AT
THIS POINT.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS ...MANITOU SPRINGS ...GREEN MOUNTAIN
FALLS...PIKES PEAK...CHIPITA PARK... CASCADE...CHIPITA PARK AND
CRYSTOLA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3882 10506 3900 10505 3900 10484 3880 10487
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 272DEG 22KT 3891 10497

KT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
256 PM MDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             4 SSW BLACK FOREST      38.96N 104.73W
06/06/2014  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
258 PM MDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0256 PM     HAIL             7 S TRINIDAD            37.07N 104.51W
06/06/2014  M0.88 INCH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
304 PM MDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             AGUILAR                 37.40N 104.65W
06/06/2014  M1.50 INCH       LAS ANIMAS         CO   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

PJC