Flash Flood Watch 12, NWS Pueblo, CO

553 
WGUS65 KPUB 130435
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1035 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ON WEDNESDAY...

.MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. THIS...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...
WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN JUAN...
LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES.

COZ058>068-131245-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0012.140813T1800Z-140814T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1035 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN 
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER 
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY
  WEDNESDAY. THIS...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
  INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SAN JUAN...LA
  GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT
  RAIN PRODUCERS AND WILL TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH
  SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR MAY RESULT 
  IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH FLOWS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD 
  TO ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

540 
WGUS65 KPUB 130959
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
359 AM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY.
THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO
WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN... WITH THE
BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN JUAN... LA GARITA
AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS. THE BURN SCARS IN MINERAL COUNTY WILL BE HIGHLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

COZ058>068-131800-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0012.140813T1800Z-140814T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
359 AM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH
6 AM THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN 
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER 
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING. 

* MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
  DAY. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
  MOVING INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN... WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
  SAN JUAN... LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE BEST
  CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE STORMS WILL BE
  EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS AND WILL TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH
  SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR MAY RESULT IN
  DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH FLOWS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD TO
  ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS ALL OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN AND
  AROUND THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HODANISH

153 
WGUS65 KPUB 131737
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1137 AM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA 
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SAN JUAN...LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE BURN SCARS IN MINERAL
COUNTY WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

COZ058>068-140200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0012.140813T1800Z-140814T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1137 AM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN 
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER 
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
  TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
  MOVING INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
  SAN JUAN...LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE BEST
  CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE STORMS WILL BE
  EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS AND WILL TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH
  SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR MAY RESULT 
  IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH FLOWS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD 
  TO ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS ALL OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN AND 
  AROUND THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

730 
WGUS65 KPUB 140432
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1032 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT...

.MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SAN JUAN...LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN
JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE BURN SCARS IN MINERAL COUNTY WILL BE HIGHLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

COZ058>068-141200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-140814T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1032 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN 
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER 
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY

* MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
  TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
  MOVING INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
  SAN JUAN...LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. THE BEST
  CHANCE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SAN
  JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS AND
  WILL TRAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
  ALOFT...LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR MAY RESULT 
  IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH FLOWS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD 
  TO ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS ALL OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN AND 
  AROUND THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

950 
WGUS65 KPUB 140944
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
344 AM MDT THU AUG 14 2014

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT...

.MONSOONAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
INTO WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN
JUAN...LA GARITA AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES. 

COZ058>068-141200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-140814T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
344 AM MDT THU AUG 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN 
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER 
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING

* MONSOONAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO
  WESTERN COLORADO...WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH THE
  BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SAN JUAN...LA GARITA
  AND SAWATCH MOUNTAIN RANGES.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR MAY RESULT 
  IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH FLOWS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD 
  TO ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS ALL OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN AND 
  AROUND THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HODANISH

842 
WGUS65 KPUB 141140
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
540 AM MDT THU AUG 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD THREAT DECREASING...

.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING HAS DECREASED. IT IS STILL
POSSIBLE IF A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS OVER A BURN
SCAR...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

COZ058>068-141245-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-140814T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
540 AM MDT THU AUG 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH
CENTRAL COLORADO WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING HAS DECREASED. IT IS STILL
POSSIBLE IF A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS OVER A BURN
SCAR...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

$$

HODANISH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
301 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 242 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...INCREASING MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND FLASH FLOODING
POTENTIAL TOMORROW...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS THE ROCKIES WITH RIDGE AXIS SLIDING
EAST ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS RIDING THE
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THIS IS KEEPING DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO WITH THE MAIN MONSOONAL
MOISTURE PLUME AND AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE DESERT SW
SLOWLY LIFTING NORTH AND EAST INTO SOUTHERN UTAH AND SOUTHWESTERN
COLORADO AT THIS TIME. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AT THIS TIME...WITH
THE BEST COVERAGE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MTS.

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...HAVE KEPT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS OVER
AND NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. BEST COVERAGE
REMAINS ACROSS THE SW AND CENTRAL MTS...WHERE A FEW STORMS COULD
LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH PROXIMITY TO THE MOISTURE
PLUME. WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD...SHOULD SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS A TAD
WARMER ACROSS AREA.

TOMORROW...NO BIG CHANGES IN MODELS AND ONGOING FORECAST WITH UPPER
LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW...AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BE SHUNTED SOUTH AND EAST
BY THE UPPER TROUGH TRANSLATING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. THIS OPENS
THE DOOR TO INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WITH PWATS PROGGED TO
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1 AND 1 1/4 INCHES...GREATEST ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO. LATEST MODELS ALSO INDICATE INCREASING UVV ACROSS THE AREA
AS THE EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE LIFTS OUT INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. WITH THAT SAID...SHOULD SEE INCREASING
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE
BEST COVERAGE REMAINING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE. WITH THE INCREASING AVAILABLE MOISTURE...THE THREAT FOR
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE INCREASING...AND HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FROM NOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE
CONTDVD WHERE TRAINING STORMS WILL BE LIKELY. FURTHER EAST ACROSS
THE EASTERN MTS...SHOULD SEE BETTER COVERAGE OF WETTING RAINS AS
WELL...WITH A FEW STORMS PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR WHERE
MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATING MORE INVERTED V SOUNDINGS. WITH THE
RIDGE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...SHOULD SEE ANOTHER WARM
DAY ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES OUT WEST WITH THE
INCREASED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 242 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY...

UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY AS
SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMBEDDED IN MONSOON PLUME MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
PRECIPITABLE WATERS INCREASE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AS A RESULT...WITH VALUES INCREASING TO NEAR 1.0 TO 1.35
INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MTS/PLAINS.  THIS WILL SPREAD THE HEAVY
RAIN THREAT INTO THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS/PLAINS.  HOWEVER...WITH SFC
LOW SETTING UP ACROSS EASTERN CO...THIS PUTS SOUTHEAST MTS UNDER
SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE FLOW...WHICH ISN'T PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR A
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD RISK FOR THE EAST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.
TIMING OF THE INITIAL ENERGY APPEARS TO COME ACROSS FAIRLY EARLY
WHICH MAY KEEP ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER OVER THE REGION...HINDERING
HEATING SOME.  HOWEVER...THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE SOME TRAILING
ENERGY WHICH MOVES ACROSS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  PIKES PEAK AREA
APPEARS TO HAVE A BETTER SHOT FOR HEAVY RAIN AS THE FRONT DROPS
SOUTHWARD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING PROVIDING A
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THUS IT APPEARS WALDO AND BLACK FOREST
BURN SCARS WILL HAVE AN INCREASED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING ON
THURSDAY. THE ONE THING THAT MAY HELP SOME IS THE INCREASING
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...WHICH SHOULD HELP THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
EASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH POTENTIALLY MITIGATING THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT SOME.

THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL...SO ALTHOUGH THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT LOOKS LESS FOCUSED AND POTENTIALLY LOWER ON THURSDAY...IT
DOES STILL EXIST ESPECIALLY FOR THE SUSCEPTIBLE BURN SCARS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT THOUGH IT APPEARS MCS MAY DEVELOP FARTHER NORTH
ACROSS NW KS AND NE IN BETTER PROXIMITY TO FORCING ALOFT AND LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX FROM LOW LEVEL JET.

WEATHER GRADUALLY DRIES OUT FOR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DAILY
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS.  FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON FRIDAY WHICH
SHOULD KEEP A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
PLAINS INTO SATURDAY AS SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW KEEPS SFC DEW POINTS
IN THE 50S.

WITH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...GFS HAS A DIFFICULT TIME REESTABLISHING
THE MONSOON PLUME BACK OVER COLORADO NEXT WEEK.  THE EC BY CONTRAST
BRINGS ANOTHER TROF INTO NV/UT BY TUESDAY WHICH SENDS ANOTHER SURGE
OF MONSOON MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO CO FOR TUESDAY. GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTIES TRENDED GRIDS TOWARDS CLIMO.  -KT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 242 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THOUGH WILL SEE INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW...WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF
STORMS FOR AREAS ALONG AND ADJACENT TO THE CONTDVD. COULD SEE A FEW
STORMS AFFECTING ALS AFT 18Z...THOUGH WILL KEEP VCTS IN TAF AT THIS
TIME. SHOULD SEE BETTER COVERAGE OF STORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN MTS
TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY DRIFTING ACROSS THE
I-25 CORRIDOR...THOUGH NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE THEY WILL AFFECT COS OR
PUB AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR COZ058>068.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...MW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1115 AM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-131715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1115 AM MDT TUE AUG 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER AND NEAR
THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. THE
BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...WHERE A FEW STORMS COULD LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS TODAY WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
OVER AREA BURN SCARS...ESPECIALLY THE WEST FORK COMPLEX IN MINERAL
COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER THE STATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE ON WEDNESDAY...AND ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH MUD AND
ROCKSLIDES IN THE MOUNTAINS. AREA BURN SCARS WILL BE HIGHLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE
SCATTERED ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS.

23/23