Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
128 PM MDT MON JUL 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW PASSING THRU THE PAC NW THIS AFTN IS
PROVIDING THE INSTABILITY FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS THIS AFTN AND EVE.
THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS. SOME OF
THESE TSTMS WILL PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THE MONSOON
MOISTURE PUSHES TO THE EAST BY TUE MORN...BUT THE UPPER LOW WILL
STILL PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO SET OFF A FEW TSTMS NEAR THE
DIVIDE TUE AFTN AND EVE. MINOR UPPER RIDGING WILL KEEP THE AREA
DRY ON WED...BUT A MINOR TROF IN THE NW FLOW ON THU WILL PROVIDE
THE NECESSARY FORCING FOR A FEW AFTN/EVE TSTMS OVER THE UPPER
SNAKE HIGHLANDS AND UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN. BY SATURDAY...A PATCH
OF MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS WAY UP TO THE UT/ID BORDER. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO FUEL ISOLD TSTMS SAT AFTN AND EVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
HIGHLANDS. FOR SUN THRU MON...ONLY EXPECTING ISOLD AFTN/EVE TSTMS
OVER THE SE CORNER OF ID. HEDGES

&&

.AVIATION...
.AVIATION...HAVE VICINITY THUNDERSTORMS AT ALL TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS UPPER LEVEL WAVE WORKS THROUGH THE
REGION.  GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS AT
THE SITES.  VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
GK

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS MOVING THROUGH EASTERN
IDAHO TODAY AND EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE DISTRICT.   RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ZONES 410...422
AND 427 UNDER SCATTERED COVERAGE AND CRITICAL FUELS.  WINDS GUSTS
OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW AND WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS ALONG WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.  EXPECT LESS COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH MOST IN ZONES 410...411 AND 413.
GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ410.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT IDZ427.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ422.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
232 PM MDT MON JUL 14 2014

IDZ017-022-142115-
MINIDOKA ID-ONEIDA ID-POWER ID-CASSIA ID-
232 PM MDT MON JUL 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CASSIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL MINIDOKA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO
  SOUTH CENTRAL POWER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  SOUTHWESTERN ONEIDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO

UNTIL 315 PM MDT

AT 228 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF ALBION..MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS CASSIA COUNTY.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS..HAIL TO 3/4
INCH...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
AS THESE STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE AT ANY TIME.

LAT...LON 4198 11426 4200 11430 4242 11427 4242 11409
      4249 11407 4261 11292 4199 11294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 276DEG 25KT 4234 11374

PRESTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
236 PM MDT MON JUL 14 2014

IDZ020-021-023-142115-
CARIBOU ID-BINGHAM ID-BONNEVILLE ID-BANNOCK ID-
236 PM MDT MON JUL 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BANNOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  CENTRAL BONNEVILLE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  EAST CENTRAL BINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  WESTERN CARIBOU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO

UNTIL 315 PM MDT

AT 228 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FORT HALL PUTNAM LODGE..MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CHESTERFIELD...
  INKOM...
  RURAL NORTHERN BANNOCK COUNTY...
  RURAL NORTHWESTERN CARIBOU COUNTY...
  RURAL SOUTHERN BINGHAM COUNTY...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN BINGHAM COUNTY...
  RURAL CENTRAL BONNEVILLE COUNTY...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4243 11171 4242 11176 4281 11238 4323 11230
      4345 11155
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 275DEG 20KT 4300 11219

GK