Tornado Warning 41, NWS Paducah, KY

967 
WWUS53 KPAH 042316
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
616 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

KYC225-233-042330-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0041.000000T0000Z-140604T2330Z/
UNION KY-WEBSTER KY-
616 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL WEBSTER AND
SOUTH CENTRAL UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNTIL 630 PM
CDT...

AT 612 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR STURGIS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
         LIKELY.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLAY AROUND 630 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WHEATCROFT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 8800 3760 8795 3752 8771 3745 8784
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 302DEG 22KT 3755 8794

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
321 PM CDT Wed Jun 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 258 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

Thunderstorms will continue to organize and move east along a
southward moving cold front this afternoon and early this evening.
Tornado watch will remain in effect for any given area until the
front passes south of the region and takes the threat with it.
Heavy rainfall will also be a concern as PWATS values have pooled
to near 2 inches. The rain/storm chcs will decrease markedly later
tonight as the front continues slowly south into AR/TN.

The main forecast concern for the remainder of the short period
will be with the repeated risk for thunderstorms/heavy
rain...mainly over se MO as the front stalls out over AR/nrn MS.
Several short waves will top the mid level ridge anchored over the
nw Gulf Coast, and may lead to more than one MCS type storm
clusters along and north of the stalled sfc front Thu/Fri.

Temperatures should be noticeably cooler Thu/Fri as we will be on
the cool side of the front. In fact...drier air working into most
areas east of the MS River will make conditions a bit less humid
as well.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

While the med range models appear to be in reasonable agreement with
the overall flow over the CONUS, individual runs have some
differences in the timing of pcpn-generating impulses. At the start
of the extended period, the PAH forecast area will probably be in
the warm sector of a sfc frontal system induced by a mid level
shrtwv moving ewd through the zonal flow aloft.

The timing of the development and movement of the initial sfc low
differs among med range models, but the best guess is that it should
be moving across central to nrn parts of MO and IL Sat night,
meaning the passage of a cold front sometime on Sun. This boundary
will provide some focus for shower and tstm development later on Sat
and part of Sun, which will allow likely PoPs for parts of our
region especially ahead of it.

The frontal boundary may hang up in or near the srn border of the
PAH forecast area into early next week, and then may be acted on by
several sfc waves. A more substantial mid level shrtwv is shown in
the model data to be in our vicinity from Tue on, gradually moving
ewd by Wed and, as a result, the aforementioned frontal boundary may
move newd as a warm front. Confidence is not very good at this time
as to the timing of all these features. One thing is for sure, Tue
night is currently the only 12 hr time frame with no PoPs mentioned
for most of the region. Severe weather cannot be ruled out in the
extended, namely over the weekend. It will be dependent on how the
convective systems evolve.

While the sun will be seen from time to time, there should be plenty
of clouds around along with the convection. Expect near seasonable
temps during the extended.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1239 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

Shra/tstms will develop ahead of a cold front, becoming widespread
by from 21z-04z. Included VCTS all sites around 20z, and went with
TEMPO groups between 22z-03z. These times may be extended/adjusted
2 hours either side of that window. Tstms will produce MVFR to
possibly IFR conditions. Away from storms, VFR will prevail, with
occasional MVFR. Winds will be southwest at 10 to 15 kts with some
higher gusts, and even gustier near storms, then shift to the
northwest to north and decrease between 07z-11z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR ILZ075>078-
     080>094.

MO...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR MOZ076-086-
     087-100-107>112-114.

IN...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR INZ081-082-
     085>088.

KY...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR KYZ001>022.

&&

SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...DB
AVIATION...RST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
515 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-050830-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
515 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH THE
PRIMARY THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL IS ALSO A CONCERN AND ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL OR PART OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL
BE THE MOST COMMON HAZARDS. HOWEVER...A FEW SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MEFFERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
525 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

INZ086>088-KYZ018>020-042330-
DAVIESS KY-HENDERSON KY-MCLEAN KY-SPENCER IN-VANDERBURGH IN-WARRICK
IN-
525 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK...SOUTHERN
SPENCER AND EXTREME EASTERN VANDERBURGH COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST
INDIANA...AND EASTERN HENDERSON...DAVIESS AND NORTHERN MCLEAN
COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 523 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR STANLEY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NEWBURGH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM WAS PART OF A
BROADER AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT RECENTLY MOVED ACROSS THE
HENDERSON AREA AND PRODUCED 41 MPH WINDS.

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE OWENSBORO AREA...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS AREA OF
STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OWENSBORO...ROCKPORT...ST. JOSEPH...EUREKA...STANLEY...GRANDVIEW...
  MASONVILLE...KNOTTSVILLE...WHITESVILLE AND MOSELEYVILLE.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
528 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
06/04/2014  M1.00 INCH       VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            30 MINUTE ACCUMULATION IN THE ANGEL MOUNDS AREA.

&&

SMITTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
06/04/2014                   VANDERBURGH        IN   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF WASHINGTON AND WEINBACH.

&&

SMITTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
540 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     HAIL             MORGANFIELD             37.68N 87.91W
06/04/2014  M0.75 INCH       UNION              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN THE COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
543 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     FLASH FLOOD      OMAHA                   37.89N 88.30W
06/04/2014                   GALLATIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RUNNING WATER OVER PORTIONS OF ROUTE 1 BETWEEN OMAHA AND
            NORTH CITY.

&&

SMITTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
544 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
06/04/2014                   VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLASH FLOODING AT INTERSECTION OF WASHINGTON AND VAIN.
            RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IN THE AREA IS 1.20 INCHES.

&&

SMITTY