Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Paducah, KY

945 
WGUS73 KPAH 042229
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
529 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

INC129-163-173-KYC101-050100-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140605T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VANDERBURGH IN-POSEY IN-WARRICK IN-HENDERSON KY-
529 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND NORTHEASTERN
HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK AND
VANDERBURGH COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN AND AROUND EVANSVILLE 
INDIANA....INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON WEINBACH AREA AND LLOYD 
EXPRESSWAY. NUMEROUS ROADWAYS ARE AND WILL BE FLOODED AS STORMS 
CONTINUE TO REPEAT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 8729 3789 8731 3785 8731 3785 8732
      3788 8763 3789 8778 3817 8778 3802 8727

$$

490 
WGUS73 KPAH 042302
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
602 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

INC129-163-173-KYC101-050100-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140605T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VANDERBURGH IN-POSEY IN-WARRICK IN-HENDERSON KY-
602 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND NORTHEASTERN
HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK AND
VANDERBURGH COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

AT 600 PM...RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW REPEAT HEAVY RAINS MOVING ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING HAVE BEEN 
RECEIVED...ESPECIALLY IN AND AROUND EVANSVILLE INDIANA. MORE STORMS 
JUST MEANS MORE RAIN...AND MORE FLOODING. SEE HIGH GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY IF WATERS RISE IN YOUR AREA!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 8729 3789 8731 3785 8731 3785 8732
      3788 8763 3789 8778 3817 8778 3802 8727

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
321 PM CDT Wed Jun 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 258 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

Thunderstorms will continue to organize and move east along a
southward moving cold front this afternoon and early this evening.
Tornado watch will remain in effect for any given area until the
front passes south of the region and takes the threat with it.
Heavy rainfall will also be a concern as PWATS values have pooled
to near 2 inches. The rain/storm chcs will decrease markedly later
tonight as the front continues slowly south into AR/TN.

The main forecast concern for the remainder of the short period
will be with the repeated risk for thunderstorms/heavy
rain...mainly over se MO as the front stalls out over AR/nrn MS.
Several short waves will top the mid level ridge anchored over the
nw Gulf Coast, and may lead to more than one MCS type storm
clusters along and north of the stalled sfc front Thu/Fri.

Temperatures should be noticeably cooler Thu/Fri as we will be on
the cool side of the front. In fact...drier air working into most
areas east of the MS River will make conditions a bit less humid
as well.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

While the med range models appear to be in reasonable agreement with
the overall flow over the CONUS, individual runs have some
differences in the timing of pcpn-generating impulses. At the start
of the extended period, the PAH forecast area will probably be in
the warm sector of a sfc frontal system induced by a mid level
shrtwv moving ewd through the zonal flow aloft.

The timing of the development and movement of the initial sfc low
differs among med range models, but the best guess is that it should
be moving across central to nrn parts of MO and IL Sat night,
meaning the passage of a cold front sometime on Sun. This boundary
will provide some focus for shower and tstm development later on Sat
and part of Sun, which will allow likely PoPs for parts of our
region especially ahead of it.

The frontal boundary may hang up in or near the srn border of the
PAH forecast area into early next week, and then may be acted on by
several sfc waves. A more substantial mid level shrtwv is shown in
the model data to be in our vicinity from Tue on, gradually moving
ewd by Wed and, as a result, the aforementioned frontal boundary may
move newd as a warm front. Confidence is not very good at this time
as to the timing of all these features. One thing is for sure, Tue
night is currently the only 12 hr time frame with no PoPs mentioned
for most of the region. Severe weather cannot be ruled out in the
extended, namely over the weekend. It will be dependent on how the
convective systems evolve.

While the sun will be seen from time to time, there should be plenty
of clouds around along with the convection. Expect near seasonable
temps during the extended.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1239 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

Shra/tstms will develop ahead of a cold front, becoming widespread
by from 21z-04z. Included VCTS all sites around 20z, and went with
TEMPO groups between 22z-03z. These times may be extended/adjusted
2 hours either side of that window. Tstms will produce MVFR to
possibly IFR conditions. Away from storms, VFR will prevail, with
occasional MVFR. Winds will be southwest at 10 to 15 kts with some
higher gusts, and even gustier near storms, then shift to the
northwest to north and decrease between 07z-11z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR ILZ075>078-
     080>094.

MO...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR MOZ076-086-
     087-100-107>112-114.

IN...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR INZ081-082-
     085>088.

KY...LAKE WIND ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR KYZ001>022.

&&

SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...DB
AVIATION...RST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1222 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-050830-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1222 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH THE
PRIMARY THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ISOLATED
TORNADOS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL OR PART OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL
BE THE MOST COMMON HAZARDS. HOWEVER...A FEW SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MEFFERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
334 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-050200-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
334 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...STORMS WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. WHILE INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST...THE
OVERALL AREA OF STORMS WILL SINK SOUTH THROUGH THE EVENING.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.STORM
WATER SYSTEMS WILL QUICKLY BECOME INUNDATED AND WILL NOT BE ABLE
TO DRAIN AWAY THE WATER FAST ENOUGH. THIS MAY LEAD TO AN INCREASED
RISK OF FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS. THIS WILL ALSO CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADS INCREASING THE RISK FOR HYDROPLANING AS WELL AS QUICK
RISES ON DITCHES AND SMALLER CREEKS.

RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGER STORMS. SOME AREAS MAY QUICKLY PICK UP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. BE AWARE OF RAPIDLY RISING WATER. FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF
YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

ML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
359 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

ILZ075-080>084-INZ085>088-042200-
FRANKLIN IL-HAMILTON IL-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-PERRY IL-POSEY
IN-SPENCER IN-VANDERBURGH IN-WARRICK IN-WHITE IL-
359 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON...FRANKLIN...EASTERN
PERRY AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND
WHITE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY
IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND WARRICK...POSEY...SPENCER AND VANDERBURGH
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 354 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
64...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
401 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             3 SSE MOUNT VERNON      38.28N 88.89W
06/04/2014  M0.88 INCH       JEFFERSON          IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL EAST OF INTERSTATE 57.

&&

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
415 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DAHLGREN                38.20N 88.68W
06/04/2014                   HAMILTON           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COMMUNITY.

&&

GREGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
430 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HEAVY RAIN       MCLEANSBORO             38.09N 88.53W
06/04/2014  M1.20 INCH       HAMILTON           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            20 MINUTE ACCUMULATION.

&&

GREGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
439 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND GST     CROSSVILLE              38.16N 88.06W
06/04/2014  E55 MPH          WHITE              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY