Severe Thunderstorm Warning 193, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
226 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE FA THIS MORNING. MAIN AREA OF
PRECIP WILL SHIFT INTO SERN AREAS LATER THIS MORNING.
REDEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY ALONG BOUNDARIES LEFT BY OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY CONFINED TO SRN PORTIONS OF THE
FA. WNW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH DISTURBANCES
MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS/TSTMS THROUGH THAT TIME FRAME.

THINGS BEGIN TO DRY OUT LATER IN THE WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
BUILD IN ADVANCE OF TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. MODELS
HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS
FEATURE...MAINLY LIFTING IT INTO THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS WITH WEAK
RIDGING PERSISTING OVER THE SRN PLAINS. THUS WILL LEAVE FORECAST
DRY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  85  68  87  70 /  60  20  20  30
HOBART OK         86  68  87  69 /  50  30  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  91  71  89  71 /  70  40  40  40
GAGE OK           84  64  84  66 /  30  20  30  40
PONCA CITY OK     84  67  87  69 /  60  10  10  20
DURANT OK         88  71  87  72 /  70  50  40  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

26/02

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
407 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231030-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
407 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM MEDFORD...
TO CLINTON... AND TO MANGUM OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THROUGH 1 AM.

IMPACTS...
WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH... HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TWO INCHES... AND
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH
SUNSET ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... BUT CHANCES ARE LOW. IF THESE STORMS DEVELOP...
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED... BUT SMALL HAIL... GUSTY WINDS...
HEAVY DOWNPOURS... AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING COULD BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
IN THE PANHANDLES AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL AFFECT
PARTS OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO AT LEAST EARLY EVENING. INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TWO INCHES.

MEANWHILE... THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO
ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL INTO ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES THAT
WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. AS THESE STORMS
ENTER INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... SEVERE STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
POSSIBLE. AS THE STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL DIMINISH. HOWEVER... A FEW STRONG
STORMS WILL STILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS... SMALL HAIL... AND HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
ANOTHER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY... ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1254 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

OKZ014>017-021-022-230630-
ROGER MILLS OK-CUSTER OK-BLAINE OK-DEWEY OK-WASHITA OK-BECKHAM OK-
1254 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROGER MILLS...
CUSTER...WEST CENTRAL BLAINE...SOUTHEASTERN DEWEY...NORTHWESTERN
WASHITA AND NORTHEASTERN BECKHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

AT 1253 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF PUTNAM TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SWEETWATER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELK CITY...CLINTON...SAYRE...BURNS FLAT...THOMAS...ARAPAHO...
CANUTE...HAMMON...CUSTER CITY...BUTLER...CARTER...FOSS...PUTNAM...
MOOREWOOD...FOSS RESERVOIR...SWEETWATER...FAY...BERLIN AND STAFFORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3592 9901 3576 9842 3512 9955 3543 9998
TIME...MOT...LOC 0553Z 299DEG 22KT 3591 9905 3548 10001

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
118 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

OKZ015>018-230645-
CUSTER OK-KINGFISHER OK-BLAINE OK-DEWEY OK-
118 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CUSTER...WEST
CENTRAL KINGFISHER...CENTRAL BLAINE AND SOUTHEASTERN DEWEY COUNTIES
UNTIL 145 AM CDT...

AT 116 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF EAGLE CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATONGA...THOMAS...GREENFIELD...OAKWOOD...EAGLE CITY...FAY AND OMEGA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3580 9890 3603 9864 3590 9808 3561 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 0616Z 292DEG 25KT 3587 9862

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
148 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

OKZ022-023-034>036-230715-
GREER OK-KIOWA OK-WASHITA OK-CADDO OK-JACKSON OK-
148 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN GREER...KIOWA...SOUTHERN
WASHITA...NORTHERN CADDO AND NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 215
AM CDT...

AT 147 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENFIELD TO 4 MILES WEST OF BESSIE TO NEAR
DELHI...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOBART...CORDELL...HINTON...GRANITE...CARNEGIE...BLAIR...MOUNTAIN
VIEW...SENTINEL...BINGER...FORT COBB...CORN...LONE WOLF...
GRACEMONT...ROOSEVELT...EAKLY...GOTEBO...ROCKY...COLONY...LOOKEBA AND
WILLOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3511 9944 3512 9936 3515 9936 3555 9839
      3518 9821 3495 9861 3497 9862 3494 9863
      3490 9870 3468 9935 3506 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 325DEG 37KT 3568 9852 3537 9907 3519 9966

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
159 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

OKZ033-034-036-TXZ083-230715-
HARMON OK-GREER OK-JACKSON OK-HARDEMAN TX-
159 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...SOUTHWESTERN GREER...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM
CDT...

AT 156 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MANGUM TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF HOLLIS...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANGUM...HOLLIS...DUKE...GOULD...MARTHA...VINSON...MCQUEEN...
MCKNIGHT...MADGE AND HESTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3493 10000 3503 9956 3468 9935 3433 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 0656Z 312DEG 36KT 3492 9956 3458 9995

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
213 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

OKZ022>024-034>038-230745-
GREER OK-KIOWA OK-WASHITA OK-CADDO OK-TILLMAN OK-JACKSON OK-
CANADIAN OK-COMANCHE OK-
213 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREER...KIOWA...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHITA...CADDO...NORTHWESTERN TILLMAN...JACKSON...
WESTERN CANADIAN AND NORTHWESTERN COMANCHE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM
CDT...

AT 208 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
3 MILES EAST OF BINGER TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF GOTEBO TO 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANGUM...MOVING SOUTH AT 35 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
POTENTIALLY SEVERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 55 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALTUS...HOBART...ANADARKO...MANGUM...GRANITE...CARNEGIE...APACHE...
SNYDER...MOUNTAIN VIEW...BINGER...FORT COBB...MOUNTAIN
PARK...INDIAHOMA...ROOSEVELT AND GOTEBO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3515 9887 3544 9827 3501 9809 3460 9876
      3441 9954 3442 9957 3489 9967
TIME...MOT...LOC 0708Z 339DEG 29KT 3533 9829 3501 9886 3478 9956