Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Mobile, AL

763 
WWUS54 KMOB 290732
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
232 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

ALC013-041-290800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140429T0800Z/
BUTLER AL-CRENSHAW AL-
232 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR CRENSHAW AND SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 227 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
15 MILES NORTH OF LUVERNE TO 9 MILES NORTH OF LUVERNE TO 16 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LUVERNE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUTLEDGE...           PETREY...             LUVERNE...
  GLENWOOD...           BRANTLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TUESDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3150 8619 3150 8628 3153 8628
      3150 8632 3153 8640 3153 8667 3171 8646
      3189 8629 3196 8618 3180 8620 3178 8614
      3166 8614 3163 8618 3162 8614 3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 259DEG 34KT 3193 8615 3185 8617
          3157 8640

$$

727 
WWUS54 KMOB 290741
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
241 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

ALC013-290751-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140429T0800Z/
BUTLER AL-
241 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY...

AT 237 AM CDT...THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN 
BUTLER COUNTY HAS MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY...THUS THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TUESDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3150 8619 3150 8628 3153 8628
      3150 8632 3153 8640 3153 8650 3156 8650
      3177 8628 3180 8620 3178 8614 3166 8614
      3163 8618 3162 8614 3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0741Z 259DEG 34KT 3195 8605 3187 8607
          3159 8630

$$

ALC041-290800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140429T0800Z/
CRENSHAW AL-
241 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CRENSHAW COUNTY...

AT 237 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
18 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUVERNE TO 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUVERNE TO 11
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LUVERNE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUTLEDGE...           LUVERNE...            GLENWOOD...
  BRANTLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TUESDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3150 8619 3150 8628 3153 8628
      3150 8632 3153 8640 3153 8650 3156 8650
      3177 8628 3180 8620 3178 8614 3166 8614
      3163 8618 3162 8614 3154 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0741Z 259DEG 34KT 3195 8605 3187 8607
          3159 8630

$$

605 
WWUS54 KMOB 290753
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
253 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

ALC041-290800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140429T0800Z/
CRENSHAW AL-
253 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRENSHAW COUNTY...

AT 250 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
25 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUVERNE TO 21 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUVERNE TO 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUVERNE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL SOON BE ISSUED FOR MUCH OF 
THIS AREA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LUVERNE...            GLENWOOD...           BRANTLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TUESDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 8614 3153 8619 3150 8619 3150 8628
      3153 8628 3150 8632 3153 8639 3153 8643
      3180 8620 3178 8614 3166 8614 3163 8618
      3162 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0753Z 259DEG 34KT 3197 8592 3189 8594
          3161 8617

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1159 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

...INCREASING RISK OF A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT LATE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL ACROSS MUCH OF OUR REGION...

...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IFR
LEVEL CIGS TO FORECAST POINTS...AHEAD OF A LINE OF TSRA MOVING EAST
ACROSS SE-ERN MS/W-RN AL. DISCRETE CELLS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT AREA
AIRPORTS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH THE LINE CROSSING THE AREA
AROUND SUNRISE. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
FORECAST...WITH STRENGTH DEPENDING UPON HOW MUCH HEATING OCCURS
DURING THE DAY.

/16

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...EARLY AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART
OF THE NATION IN THE BASE OF THIS FEATURE. A MID LEVEL JET STREAK
LIFTING FROM THE ARKLATEX REGION TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON HAS AIDED IN ENHANCED LIFT WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
FIRING ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA. AN OUTBREAK OF
SUPERCELLS/SEVERE STORMS WITH TORNADOES IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON. RADAR IS
CURRENTLY QUIET FOR THE TIME BEING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA...WITH
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN PLACE AND INCREASED SOUTHERLY WIND
FLOW COURTESY OF AN INCREASED MSLP GRADIENT BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A COLD FRONT FRONT APPROACHING THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW FREQUENT
GUSTS APPROACHING OR OCCASIONALLY ABOVE 30 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL MAINTAIN THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH
CURRENTLY RUNS THROUGH 10 PM CDT.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD TONIGHT...
BECOMING CENTERED ROUGHLY IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA
BY 12Z TUESDAY. DEEP LAYER FORCING WILL BECOME FOCUSED FROM SOUTHERN
TN...THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN AL...AND SOUTHWESTWARD
INTO SOUTHEAST MS AND LA THIS EVENING. AN ASSOCIATED COMPLEX OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE WITHIN THIS GENERAL VICINITY
THIS EVENING/TONIGHT WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO RESIDE
WITHIN THE COMPLEX. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH INTO NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THE LATE
MONDAY EVENING HOURS/PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY...GENERALLY BETWEEN 10
PM AND 4 AM NORTHWEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR...BEFORE THE COMPLEX
GRADUALLY PROGRESSES SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-65
BETWEEN 3-4 AM AND 10 AM TO NOON TUESDAY. THE PRESENCE OF A
WARM/VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S F WILL BE IN PLACE TONIGHT ALONG WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS
[MLCAPE VALUES AS HIGH AS 1500-2000 J/KG]. 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 40-50 KNOTS...WHILE LOW/MID LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
SUPPORT 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES AROUND 250 M2/S2
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. AS
SUCH...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE SUPERCELL
STORMS TO BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE COMPLEX LATE TONIGHT. TORNADOES...
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE A HAZARD LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE LINE...WITH MANY LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY RECEIVING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY...WITH LOCALIZED DOUBLE OR HIGHER
THESE AMOUNTS UNDERNEATH THE STRONGER STORMS.

THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT ACROSS THE VICINITY
OF THE UPPER MIDWESTERN STATES TUESDAY. AS EARLIER MENTIONED...THE
EARLY MORNING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
SOUTHEAST OF I-65 THROUGH THE MORNING. AS CONVECTION DECREASES
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR RE-LOADING
OF INSTABILITY/CAPE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS IN ADVANCE A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/JET STREAK THAT WILL BE APPROACHING OUR CWFA. THE LATEST NAM
AND GFS SOLUTIONS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO AROUND 2000-3000
J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE JET
STREAK PUSHING ACROSS THE REGION WILL AID IN THE RAPID INITIATION OF
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS THE CWFA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELL STORM MODES...WITH 0-3 KM VERTICAL AND WIND SHEAR PROFILES
SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES...ONE OR TWO POTENTIALLY STRONG...IN
ADDITION TO A DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND/LARGE HAIL THREAT. THE
LATEST DAY 2 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM SPC PLACES MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA IN A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...SO A SIGNIFICANT
OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
THREAT...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN ONGOING
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF
RECENT HEAVY RAINS/SATURATED FUEL MOISTURE...AND WILL KEEP THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT. 21/CLL

(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING TUESDAY...SOME STILL POSSIBLY STRONG
TO SEVERE EAST OF I-65 AND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING
THE EVENING. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS MOST OF THE FCST AREA
(EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE) OUTLOOKED FOR A MODERATE
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE...INTO TUESDAY
OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL ALSO BE
CONTINUING OVERNIGHT TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN EFFECT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT FINALLY MOVES THROUGH AND CLEARS
MOST OF THE FCST AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES FINALLY ENDING. TEMPERATURE FCST FOLLOWS MOS GUIDANCE. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO
EXTENDED FCST THIS AFTERNOON AS WE WERE FOCUSED ON THE MORE URGENT
SHORT TERM PERIOD. FCST IS STILL ADVERTISING A 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS DOWN NEAR THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT MORE RECENT
DATA SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY MAY PUSH A LITTLE FURTHER OFFSHORE THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES WE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO
LOWER RAIN CHANCES FOR LATE WEEK ALONG THE COAST. NO CHANGES TO
TEMPERATURE FCST FOR LONG TERM PERIOD. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCING EASTWARD
INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE
WEST. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO THE INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING
SEAS. WINDS...WAVES AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND NEAR
MARINE STORMS. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT IS FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY WITH A DECREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE
DAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. OFFSHORE FLOW FORECAST ON THURSDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. 21/CLL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...INCREASING COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS EVENING. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON
TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY WIDESPREAD RAINS AND SEVERE WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE STRONG OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
INITIALLY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY BY
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. EXPECT GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTERNOON
DISPERSIONS BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. PATCHY LIGHT FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH VISIBILITIES BETWEEN 3 TO 5
MILES. 12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      71  82  63  81  53 /  90  70  70  40  20
PENSACOLA   72  80  69  80  58 /  80  70  70  60  30
DESTIN      73  77  70  78  61 /  70  70  70  70  30
EVERGREEN   71  82  66  81  51 / 100  70  70  50  20
WAYNESBORO  66  84  56  79  46 /  90  60  50  20  05
CAMDEN      69  84  63  80  50 /  90  70  70  30  10
CRESTVIEW   70  82  70  81  54 /  90  70  70  60  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 1 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...WILCOX...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 1 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-292045-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNRISE TOMORROW
MORNING. A ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF
I-65 LATER THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TO THE NORTHWEST OF I-65
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. THE OVERALL LINE OF STORMS WILL THEN SLOWLY MOVE TO THE
SOUTHEAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TO BE LOCATED GENERALLY ALONG
THE I-65 CORRIDOR BY SUNRISE. THIS LINE WILL BEGIN TO SLOW AND MAY
BECOME STATIONARY BY MID MORNING AS IT SETTLES TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WHICH
WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY EVENING. A SECOND AND POTENTIALLY STRONGER
ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. THESE WILL
EVENTUALLY FORM INTO A LINE AND MOVE EASTWARD. INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL
MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL BE ELEVATED BEGINNING TONIGHT...FIRST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF I-65 AND THEN REGION-WIDE TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. TOTALS COULD BE EASILY
DOUBLED IF STRONG STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. GIVEN
THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL THE AREA HAS EXPERIENCED... THIS ADDITIONAL
RAIN WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE POTENTIAL FLOODING ISSUES AND
RIVER STAGE RISES.

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 MPH
OR HIGHER.

RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS HIGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT PERSISTS TUESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY UNTIL A SOLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER
NETWORKS IS LIKELY BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-292045-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND
BUILDING SEAS. ISOLATED STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
THIS CONDITION WILL ENDURE...BECOMING MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS BY
LATE DAY TUESDAY. MARINE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS AS HIGH 50 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY

A MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TUESDAY EVENING...RESULTING IN
ELEVATED HAZARDS FOR OPERATORS OF SMALLER MARINE CRAFT. STORMS COULD
BE LOCALLY SEVERE...CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS...VISIBILITY REDUCING
HEAVY RAINS...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY...A FEW WATERSPOUTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS. THUNDERSTORMS
END FROM THE WEST OF WEDNESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1157 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND GST     GILBERTOWN              31.88N 88.32W
04/28/2014  U0.00 MPH        CHOCTAW            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER OUTAGES AND TREES REPORTED DOWN NEAR GILBERTOWN AND
            BARRYTOWN BY CHOCTAW EMA.

1109 PM     TSTM WND GST     SILAS                   31.77N 88.33W
04/28/2014  U0.00 MPH        CHOCTAW            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER OUTAGES AND TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE SILAS AREA
            BY CHOCTAW EMA.

&&

MS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1232 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     LIGHTNING        GROVE HILL              31.71N 87.78W
04/29/2014                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOUSE FIRE DUE TO LIGHTNING.

&&

MS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
104 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COFFEEVILLE             31.76N 88.09W
04/28/2014                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 84 IN COFFEEVILLE AREA

1205 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHILTON                 31.78N 87.84W
04/29/2014                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 154 AT MILE MARKER 13

1223 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SAND HILL               31.35N 88.76W
04/29/2014                   GREENE             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE

1255 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MONROEVILLE             31.53N 87.32W
04/29/2014                   MONROE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN AND POWER OUT IN MONROEVILLE

&&

JFB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
210 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     TSTM WND GST     MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 32.05N 86.15W
04/29/2014  M58 MPH          MONTGOMERY         AL   ASOS

            58 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT.
            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL OBSERVED AT THE NWS OFFICE.

&&

JFB