Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 51, NWS Mobile, AL

April 29, 2014Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Covington County, Escambia County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Apr 29, 2014, 4:35 AM CDT for Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Covington County, Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Apr 30, 2014, 10:09 PM CDT. It was in force for 52 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 29, 2014, 4:35 AM CDT (09:35 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 30, 2014, 10:09 PM CDT
Expired: May 3, 2014, 2:38 AM CDT
In force: 52 hr
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Covington County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Blackwater River (AL) near Baker (BAKF1). The gauge peaked at 14.73 ft at Apr 30, 2014, 6:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 6 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 16 ft
Major stage: 24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02370000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

559 
WGUS44 KMOB 290935
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
435 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA... 

  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA AND 
  SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINIS FORECAST TO OCCUR
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A 
FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  IT IS EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST
IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL
OCCURS... IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-300935-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0051.140501T0309Z-140503T0738Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.140501T0309Z.140502T0000Z.140503T0138Z.NO/
435 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 4AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...3.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND LOWLANDS FROM AROUND
  BAKER DOWNSTREAM WILL OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675             

$$

1 follow-up statement

139 
WGUS84 KMOB 291321
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
821 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
FLORIDA...
 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA AND 
  SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-291351-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-140503T0738Z/
/BAKF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 28, 11:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 11:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1159 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

...INCREASING RISK OF A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT LATE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL ACROSS MUCH OF OUR REGION...

...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IFR
LEVEL CIGS TO FORECAST POINTS...AHEAD OF A LINE OF TSRA MOVING EAST
ACROSS SE-ERN MS/W-RN AL. DISCRETE CELLS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT AREA
AIRPORTS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH THE LINE CROSSING THE AREA
AROUND SUNRISE. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
FORECAST...WITH STRENGTH DEPENDING UPON HOW MUCH HEATING OCCURS
DURING THE DAY.

/16

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...EARLY AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PART
OF THE NATION IN THE BASE OF THIS FEATURE. A MID LEVEL JET STREAK
LIFTING FROM THE ARKLATEX REGION TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON HAS AIDED IN ENHANCED LIFT WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
FIRING ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA. AN OUTBREAK OF
SUPERCELLS/SEVERE STORMS WITH TORNADOES IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON. RADAR IS
CURRENTLY QUIET FOR THE TIME BEING ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA...WITH
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN PLACE AND INCREASED SOUTHERLY WIND
FLOW COURTESY OF AN INCREASED MSLP GRADIENT BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A COLD FRONT FRONT APPROACHING THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW FREQUENT
GUSTS APPROACHING OR OCCASIONALLY ABOVE 30 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL MAINTAIN THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH
CURRENTLY RUNS THROUGH 10 PM CDT.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD TONIGHT...
BECOMING CENTERED ROUGHLY IN THE VICINITY OF NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA
BY 12Z TUESDAY. DEEP LAYER FORCING WILL BECOME FOCUSED FROM SOUTHERN
TN...THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN AL...AND SOUTHWESTWARD
INTO SOUTHEAST MS AND LA THIS EVENING. AN ASSOCIATED COMPLEX OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE WITHIN THIS GENERAL VICINITY
THIS EVENING/TONIGHT WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO RESIDE
WITHIN THE COMPLEX. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH INTO NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THE LATE
MONDAY EVENING HOURS/PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY...GENERALLY BETWEEN 10
PM AND 4 AM NORTHWEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR...BEFORE THE COMPLEX
GRADUALLY PROGRESSES SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-65
BETWEEN 3-4 AM AND 10 AM TO NOON TUESDAY. THE PRESENCE OF A
WARM/VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S F WILL BE IN PLACE TONIGHT ALONG WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS
[MLCAPE VALUES AS HIGH AS 1500-2000 J/KG]. 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 40-50 KNOTS...WHILE LOW/MID LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
SUPPORT 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES AROUND 250 M2/S2
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. AS
SUCH...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE SUPERCELL
STORMS TO BE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE COMPLEX LATE TONIGHT. TORNADOES...
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE A HAZARD LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE LINE...WITH MANY LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY RECEIVING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY...WITH LOCALIZED DOUBLE OR HIGHER
THESE AMOUNTS UNDERNEATH THE STRONGER STORMS.

THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT ACROSS THE VICINITY
OF THE UPPER MIDWESTERN STATES TUESDAY. AS EARLIER MENTIONED...THE
EARLY MORNING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
SOUTHEAST OF I-65 THROUGH THE MORNING. AS CONVECTION DECREASES
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR RE-LOADING
OF INSTABILITY/CAPE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS IN ADVANCE A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/JET STREAK THAT WILL BE APPROACHING OUR CWFA. THE LATEST NAM
AND GFS SOLUTIONS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO AROUND 2000-3000
J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE JET
STREAK PUSHING ACROSS THE REGION WILL AID IN THE RAPID INITIATION OF
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS THE CWFA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELL STORM MODES...WITH 0-3 KM VERTICAL AND WIND SHEAR PROFILES
SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES...ONE OR TWO POTENTIALLY STRONG...IN
ADDITION TO A DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND/LARGE HAIL THREAT. THE
LATEST DAY 2 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM SPC PLACES MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA IN A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...SO A SIGNIFICANT
OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY SOME LOCATIONS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
THREAT...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN ONGOING
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF
RECENT HEAVY RAINS/SATURATED FUEL MOISTURE...AND WILL KEEP THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT. 21/CLL

(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...CONTINUED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING TUESDAY...SOME STILL POSSIBLY STRONG
TO SEVERE EAST OF I-65 AND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING
THE EVENING. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS MOST OF THE FCST AREA
(EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE) OUTLOOKED FOR A MODERATE
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE...INTO TUESDAY
OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL ALSO BE
CONTINUING OVERNIGHT TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN EFFECT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT FINALLY MOVES THROUGH AND CLEARS
MOST OF THE FCST AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES FINALLY ENDING. TEMPERATURE FCST FOLLOWS MOS GUIDANCE. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO
EXTENDED FCST THIS AFTERNOON AS WE WERE FOCUSED ON THE MORE URGENT
SHORT TERM PERIOD. FCST IS STILL ADVERTISING A 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS DOWN NEAR THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT MORE RECENT
DATA SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY MAY PUSH A LITTLE FURTHER OFFSHORE THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES WE WILL LIKELY HAVE TO
LOWER RAIN CHANCES FOR LATE WEEK ALONG THE COAST. NO CHANGES TO
TEMPERATURE FCST FOR LONG TERM PERIOD. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ADVANCING EASTWARD
INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE
WEST. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO THE INCREASING WINDS AND BUILDING
SEAS. WINDS...WAVES AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND NEAR
MARINE STORMS. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT IS FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY WITH A DECREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE
DAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. OFFSHORE FLOW FORECAST ON THURSDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. 21/CLL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...INCREASING COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS EVENING. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON
TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY WIDESPREAD RAINS AND SEVERE WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE STRONG OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
INITIALLY...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY BY
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. EXPECT GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTERNOON
DISPERSIONS BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. PATCHY LIGHT FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH VISIBILITIES BETWEEN 3 TO 5
MILES. 12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      71  82  63  81  53 /  90  70  70  40  20
PENSACOLA   72  80  69  80  58 /  80  70  70  60  30
DESTIN      73  77  70  78  61 /  70  70  70  70  30
EVERGREEN   71  82  66  81  51 / 100  70  70  50  20
WAYNESBORO  66  84  56  79  46 /  90  60  50  20  05
CAMDEN      69  84  63  80  50 /  90  70  70  30  10
CRESTVIEW   70  82  70  81  54 /  90  70  70  60  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 1 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...WILCOX...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 1 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 3:41 PM CDT, 12 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-292045-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNRISE TOMORROW
MORNING. A ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF
I-65 LATER THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES TO THE NORTHWEST OF I-65
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. THE OVERALL LINE OF STORMS WILL THEN SLOWLY MOVE TO THE
SOUTHEAST DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TO BE LOCATED GENERALLY ALONG
THE I-65 CORRIDOR BY SUNRISE. THIS LINE WILL BEGIN TO SLOW AND MAY
BECOME STATIONARY BY MID MORNING AS IT SETTLES TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...WHICH
WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY EVENING. A SECOND AND POTENTIALLY STRONGER
ROUND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. THESE WILL
EVENTUALLY FORM INTO A LINE AND MOVE EASTWARD. INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL
MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL BE ELEVATED BEGINNING TONIGHT...FIRST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF I-65 AND THEN REGION-WIDE TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. TOTALS COULD BE EASILY
DOUBLED IF STRONG STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. GIVEN
THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL THE AREA HAS EXPERIENCED... THIS ADDITIONAL
RAIN WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE POTENTIAL FLOODING ISSUES AND
RIVER STAGE RISES.

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 MPH
OR HIGHER.

RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS HIGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT PERSISTS TUESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY UNTIL A SOLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER
NETWORKS IS LIKELY BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-292045-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
341 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND
BUILDING SEAS. ISOLATED STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
THIS CONDITION WILL ENDURE...BECOMING MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS BY
LATE DAY TUESDAY. MARINE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS AS HIGH 50 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY

A MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TUESDAY EVENING...RESULTING IN
ELEVATED HAZARDS FOR OPERATORS OF SMALLER MARINE CRAFT. STORMS COULD
BE LOCALLY SEVERE...CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS...VISIBILITY REDUCING
HEAVY RAINS...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY...A FEW WATERSPOUTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS. THUNDERSTORMS
END FROM THE WEST OF WEDNESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 29, 3:56 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
356 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAYNESBORO              31.67N 88.64W
04/28/2014                   WAYNE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 6 INJ *** REPORTS OF AT LEAST 10 HOMES DAMAGED ACROSS
            WAYNE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE
            COUNTY TO THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

JOHNP

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:02 AM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
402 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAYNESBORO              31.67N 88.64W
04/28/2014                   WAYNE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            18 WHEELER OVER-TURNED AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAYS 45 AND
            84.

&&

JOHNP

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:06 AM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
406 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINCHESTER              31.62N 88.59W
04/28/2014                   WAYNE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 4 INJ *** VEHICLE WITH FOUR PASSENGERS STRUCK A
            DOWNED TREE LYING ACROSS HIGHWAY 45 SOUTH.

&&

JOHNP

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:07 AM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
407 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     LIGHTNING        CLARA                   31.58N 88.70W
04/28/2014                   WAYNE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURE FIRE.

&&

JOHNP

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:26 AM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
426 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OPP                     31.28N 86.26W
04/29/2014                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER OUTAGES IN GANT AND OPP.

&&

GENEJ

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:27 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
427 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     LIGHTNING        ANDALUSIA               31.31N 86.48W
04/29/2014                   COVINGTON          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LIGHTNING INDUCED HOUSE FIRE IN ANDALUSIA.

&&

GENEJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 29, 2:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	60 min
Apr 29, 2:56 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	4 hr
Apr 29, 3:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	90 min
Apr 29, 4:34 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	4 hr
Apr 29, 4:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	42 min
Apr 29, 2:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia, Santa Rosa	48 min
Apr 29, 3:55 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia	2 hr
Apr 29, 4:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa	65 min
Apr 29, 5:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Escambia	64 min
Apr 29, 6:19 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MOB	Escambia	12 hr
Apr 28, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw	45 min
Apr 28, 10:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Choctaw	63 min
Apr 28, 10:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	45 min
Apr 28, 10:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Washington	50 min
Apr 28, 10:49 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Washington	4 hr
Apr 28, 11:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Clarke, Washington	48 min
Apr 28, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Clarke, Washington	61 min
Apr 28, 11:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	36 min
Apr 28, 11:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington	66 min
Apr 29, 12:31 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Clarke, Washington	4 hr
Apr 29, 12:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Clarke, Conecuh, Monroe, Wilcox	67 min
Apr 29, 1:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Mobile and 2 more	60 min
Apr 29, 1:18 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	57 min
Apr 29, 1:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Conecuh, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox	54 min
Apr 29, 1:35 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	MOB	Butler, Crenshaw	40 min
Apr 29, 1:49 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		41 min
Apr 29, 2:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Conecuh, Covington, Escambia	60 min
Apr 29, 2:10 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Mobile	4 hr
Apr 29, 2:14 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Butler, Crenshaw	46 min
Apr 29, 2:27 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		63 min
Apr 29, 2:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia	62 min
Apr 29, 3:29 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		2 hr
Apr 29, 4:47 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		118 min
Apr 29, 4:53 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		67 min
Apr 29, 6:44 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		91 min
Apr 29, 8:15 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		90 min
Apr 29, 10:43 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		92 min
Apr 29, 11:41 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		94 min
Apr 29, 12:25 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		95 min
Apr 29, 12:28 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		92 min
Apr 29, 1:33 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		57 min
Apr 29, 1:53 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Mobile	3 hr
Apr 29, 2:16 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		89 min
Apr 29, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Washington	34 min
Apr 29, 2:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile	34 min
Apr 29, 2:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Mobile, Washington	40 min
Apr 29, 2:55 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		20 min
Apr 29, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		59 min
Apr 29, 3:50 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		25 min
Apr 29, 4:13 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		62 min
Apr 29, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin	60 min
Apr 29, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Baldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington	49 min
Apr 29, 5:11 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		64 min
Apr 29, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MOB	Choctaw, Clarke, Washington	51 min
Apr 29, 5:50 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		55 min
Apr 29, 6:18 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		27 min
Apr 29, 6:41 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MOB		64 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2014 River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2014 Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.