Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

370 
WWUS52 KMHX 052022
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
422 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

NCC055-052045-
/O.CON.KMHX.SV.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140605T2045Z/
MAINLAND DARE NC-
422 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL MAINLAND DARE COUNTY...

AT 418 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO
CITY...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANNS HARBOR...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

LARGE HAIL WILL DAMAGE VEHICLES...WINDOWS AND SOME ROOFS. SEVERE
WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE MOBILE
HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 0 0...8 8 9...6 8 8 9.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3578 7573 3577 7599 3582 7599 3588 7574
      3585 7574 3581 7572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 270DEG 23KT 3578 7589

$$

26

31

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
336 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH SATURDAY.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY AND LINGER OVER NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 325 PM THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR
OUR ENTIRE CWA UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING. A COUPLE OF LINES OF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE OVER ROUGHLY THE NORTHWESTERN
HALF OF OUR CWA IN A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH LI VALUES
AROUND -5 AND CAPE VALUES IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE. HAVE HAD
REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WITH THESE STORMS IN PITT AND
TYRRELL COUNTIES. PER LATEST HRRR-3KM AND RAP MODELS...CONVECTION
SHOULD SLOWLY DROP TO THE SOUTHEAST/EAST AND LINGER INTO THE LATE
EVENING HOURS UNTIL COLD FRONT FINALLY MOVES TO JUST SOUTH OF THE
CWA AROUND 06Z OR SO. WILL KEEP HIGH CHANCE POPS THROUGH ABOUT 03Z
THEN TAPER OFF NEAR THE COAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
GIVEN THE WET GROUND AND A QUICK DROP-OFF IN WINDS BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT...EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG TOWARD MORNING.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MILD IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
AS OF 325 PM THURSDAY...WITH THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH ON
FRIDAY...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO OUR REGION FROM THE
NORTHEAST. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A LOW POP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA ON FRIDAY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE
FRONT WHERE SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE. COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WITH LOW/MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM THURS...THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF EASTERN NC
FRI MORNING WITH SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING SOUTH OVER THE AREA.
EXPECT FRI TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY THOUGH HELD ONTO A SLIGHT CHANCE
POP FOR SOUTHERN AREAS AS 00Z DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE INDICATES A
MODERATE VORTMAX WILL TRAVERSE THE REGION FRI AFTERNOON IN MEAN
WNW FLOW ALOFT. NOT CONFIDENT IN SHOWER/TSTORM PRODUCTION WITH THE
FEATURE BUT TRENDS SUPPORT SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES FALL SLIGHTLY FRI YIELDING TEMPS NEAR
CLIMO WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S.

REMOVED MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN AS
SURFACE RIDGE AXIS REMAINS ANCHORED NE OF THE AREA WITH THE
STALLED BOUNDARY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO LIKELY NOT IMPACT THE
SENSIBLE WX ACROSS EASTERN NC. ONLY A SLIGHT WARMING TREND THIS
WEEKEND WITH MAX TEMPS BUILDING INTO THE UPPER 80S AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS REMAINING MILD...UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST MON
AND STALLS/WASHES OUT WEST OF THE AREA...WITH FLOW ALOFT SHIFTING SW
AS AN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS OVER APPALACHIA. SW FLOW PERSISTS TUES
INTO TUES NIGHT...WITH A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WED.
WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS WEST OF HWY 17 MON/TUES AFTERNOONS AS
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...AND
THREAT FOR MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS/TSTORMS WILL BE
PRESENT. TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN RISE TO ABOVE CLIMO AS LOW LEVEL
THICKNESSES SUPPORT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S...WITH LOWS
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF
THE TAF PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
FROM DIURNAL HEATING AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE LATEST RADAR
IMAGES ARE SHOWING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT ALL TAF
SITES THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM MAY BE
HVY AT TIMES WHICH MAY BRING CONDITIONS BRIEFLY BELOW VFR. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BTW 00 TO 03Z.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. HAVE
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT FOG WILL DEVELOP OVER TAF SITES THAT HAVE
RECEIVED RAIN. HAVE ADDED MVFR CONDITIONS TO ALL TAF SITES. ANY
FOG THAT DEVELOPS...IT WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE...THEREFORE
BRING CONDITIONS BACK TO VFR.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM THURS...PREDOMINANTLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH FRI THROUGH THE
WEEKEND YIELDING VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT NE TO E FRI
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...SHIFTING SE MON AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEAK
COLD FRONT. INCREASING MOISTURE/SW FLOW COULD PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTORMS MON AFTERNOON WITH REDUCTIONS IN VSBYS/CEILINGS
POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/...
AS OF 330 PM THURSDAY...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE WITH ACTIVE
STRONG CONVECTION UNDERWAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS AND SOUNDS.
WINDS ARE GUSTING TO 29 KNOTS AT OREGON INLET AND DIAMOND BUOY
WITH SEAS STILL RUNNING AS HIGH AS 9 TO 10 FEET AT DIAMOND BUOY.
BOUNDARY LAYER WIND FORECAST FROM THE VARIOUS NEAR-TERM MODELS
INDICATE THAT WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...WHICH SHOULD BE OFF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL ZONES BY AROUND
06Z OR SO. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
AM OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS. HAVE ALREADY DROPPED THE SCA FOR THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND. THE SCA FOR THE REMAINING WATERS EXPIRE AT 11 PM
TONIGHT AS THE GRADIENT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM THURS...THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN NC
COASTAL WATERS LATE THURS NIGHT ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT N THEN NE
EARLY FRI MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME NE 5-15 KT BEHIND THE FRONT
FRI WITH SEAS SUBSIDING 2-4 FT. DECENT BOATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS SAT SHIFTING SE SUN AND
SEAS 2-3 FT THROUGH SUN. LATEST WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH LOCAL SWAN/NWPS AND PREVIOUS FORECAST.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ135-
     150-156-158.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ152-154.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CTC
NEAR TERM...CTC
SHORT TERM...CTC
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...BM
MARINE...CTC/TL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
505 AM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-060915-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
505 AM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-098-103-104-060915-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
505 AM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
231 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CRESWELL                35.87N  76.39W
06/05/2014                   WASHINGTON         NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            CANOPY FROM GAS STATION BLOWN INTO HIGHWAY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1400379

CTC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
233 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WALSTONBURG             35.59N  77.70W
06/05/2014                   GREENE             NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR WALSTONBURG.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1400380

RF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
240 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0227 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BELL ARTHUR             35.59N  77.51W
06/05/2014                   PITT               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            DAMAGE TO GARAGE... HOMES... DOWNED TREES... POWER
            LINES IN BELL ARTHUR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1400381

CTC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
322 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

NCZ029-045>047-080-081-103-052015-
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-MARTIN-OUTER BANKS
DARE-TYRRELL-WASHINGTON-WESTERN DARE-
322 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS TYRRELL...WASHINGTON...
MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...BEAUFORT...OUTER BANKS DARE AND MAINLAND
DARE COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...

AT 321 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF
AVALON PIER TO WENONA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES EAST
OF DUCK TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF PLYMOUTH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS ARE DEVELOPING JUST AHEAD OF THIS LINE.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...AVALON PIER...WRIGHT
BROTHERS NATIONAL MONUMENT...FRYING PAN LANDING...NAGS HEAD FISHING
PIER...GUM NECK...ROANOKE ISLAND FESTIVAL PARK.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3575 7550 3584 7559 3583 7572 3565 7575
      3537 7649 3551 7659 3554 7648 3553 7662
      3538 7657 3583 7687 3595 7669 3600 7606
      3565 7603 3596 7596 3604 7572 3623 7580
      3623 7577
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 334DEG 15KT 3621 7539 3572 7668

26

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
330 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINTERVILLE             35.53N  77.40W
06/05/2014                   PITT               NC   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMB SNAPPED BY STRONG WINDS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1400382

RF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
355 PM EDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     HAIL             NW LA GRANGE            35.31N  77.79W
06/05/2014  E1.25 INCH       LENOIR             NC   SPOTTER

            DEPUTY IN LENOIR CO CALLED TO REPORT ONE AND A QUARTER
            HAIL AND STRON WINDS IN LA GRANGE AREA

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1400383

SAAVEDRA