Alert archive / California / Wind Advisories in 2014
Wind Advisory 24, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this wind advisory at Oct 12, 2014, 2:12 PM PDT for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon. It took effect at Oct 14, 2014, 11:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2014, 2:12 PM PDT (21:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 14, 2014, 11:00 AM PDT
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2014, 10:57 PM PDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 734 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -67 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
725 WWUS76 KMFR 122112 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 212 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 CAZ081-131200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1500Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 212 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...GAZELLE...GRENADA AND MONTAGUE. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 WILL BE AFFECTED SOUTH OF YREKA. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-131200- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0900Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY- KLAMATH BASIN- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTURAS...ALTAMONT... KLAMATH FALLS...BEATTY...BLY...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 212 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: BEATTY...BLY...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW... ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...TULELAKE...ALTURAS. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ SPILDE
6 follow-up statements
971 WWUS76 KMFR 122143 AAA NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 243 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-131200- /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0006.141014T1800Z-141015T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0900Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 243 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 6000 FEET. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: SPRAGUE RIVER...BEATTY... BLY...LAKEVIEW....ALTURAS. * LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...SINCE IT IS STILL HUNTING SEASON...HUNTERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER IN THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE TREES TO FALL. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ CAZ081-131200- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1500Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 243 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...GAZELLE...GRENADA AND MONTAGUE. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 WILL BE AFFECTED SOUTH OF YREKA. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-ORZ029-131200- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0900Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 243 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: KLAMATH FALL...ALTAMONT AND TULELAKE. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ SPILDE
504 WWUS76 KMFR 131044 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 344 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-132300- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0006.141014T1800Z-141015T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0011.141014T2100Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 344 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. BUT EVEN HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: SPRAGUE RIVER...BEATTY... BLY...LAKEVIEW....ALTURAS AND ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...SINCE IT IS STILL HUNTING SEASON...HUNTERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER IN THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE TREES TO FALL. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ081-132300- /O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 344 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...LAKE SHASTINA. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 SOUTH OF YREKA AND HIGHWAY 97 NEAR WEED WILL BE IMPACTED. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-ORZ029-132300- /O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 344 AM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...TULELAKE. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ DW
199 WWUS76 KMFR 132100 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 200 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-141200- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0011.141014T2100Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 200 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: SPRAGUE RIVER...BEATTY... BLY...LAKEVIEW....ALTURAS AND ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...SINCE IT IS STILL HUNTING SEASON...HUNTERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER IN THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE TREES TO FALL. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ081-141200- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 200 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...LAKE SHASTINA. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 SOUTH OF YREKA AND HIGHWAY 97 NEAR WEED WILL BE IMPACTED. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-ORZ029-141200- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 200 PM PDT MON OCT 13 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATER TUESDAY MORNING...PEAK TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...TULELAKE. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ SPILDE
121 WWUS76 KMFR 141040 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 340 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-142230- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0011.141014T2100Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 340 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING...PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: SPRAGUE RIVER...BEATTY... BLY...LAKEVIEW....ALTURAS AND ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...SINCE IT IS STILL HUNTING SEASON...HUNTERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER IN THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE TREES TO FALL. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ081-142230- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 340 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE THIS MORNING...PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE LATE TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...LAKE SHASTINA. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 SOUTH OF YREKA AND HIGHWAY 97 NEAR WEED WILL BE IMPACTED. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-ORZ029-142230- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.141014T1800Z-141015T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 340 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING...PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...TULELAKE. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE DIFFICULT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ DW
445 WWUS76 KMFR 142100 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150600- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: SPRAGUE RIVER...BEATTY... BLY...LAKEVIEW....ALTURAS AND ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN PAISLEY AND SILVER LAKE. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...SINCE IT IS STILL HUNTING SEASON...HUNTERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER IN THE SURROUNDING MOUNTAINS. THIS COULD BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE TREES TO FALL. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. && $$ CAZ081-150600- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE LATE TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...LAKE SHASTINA. * IMPACTS: INTERSTATE 5 SOUTH OF YREKA AND HIGHWAY 97 NEAR WEED WILL BE IMPACTED. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ084-ORZ029-150600- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN EASE OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...TULELAKE. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ STOCKTON
495 WWUS76 KMFR 150557 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1057 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 CAZ085-ORZ030-031-151200- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0025.141015T0600Z-141015T1200Z/ MODOC COUNTY- NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...BLY... SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW 1057 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TIMING: WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ADVISORY SPEED BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE: THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAKE AND MODOC COUNTIES...GENERALLY ABOVE 6000 FEET. * IMPACTS: EAST TO WEST ROADWAYS WILL BE THE MOST PRONE SINCE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ081-084-ORZ029-150700- /O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141015T0600Z/ CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY- NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...TULELAKE...ALTAMONT... KLAMATH FALLS 1057 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ FB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 12, 9:44 AM PDT, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 9:44 AM PDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
944 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014
.DISCUSSION...AFTER A CHILLY START IN MANY AREAS THIS MORNING...IT
WILL BE A SUNNY, MILD FALL AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CWA. HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ALONG THE NORTH COAST, BUT IT WILL BE
WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S ALONG THE SOUTH COAST
NEAR BROOKINGS DUE TO OFFSHORE FLOW. WEST SIDE VALLEYS WILL HAVE
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S, WHILE EAST SIDE AREAS
HAVE HIGHS IN THE 60S. THE WARMEST LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE LOWER
KLAMATH VALLEY NEAR SOMES BAR WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
THE DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO COLUMBUS DAY...THEN A PACIFIC
FRONT ARRIVES LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH WET WEATHER
DEVELOPING AT THE COAST AND EVENTUALLY SPREADING TO THE CASCADES
BY TUESDAY EVENING. BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY
AFTERNOON IN THE SHASTA VALLEY AND EAST SIDE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THOSE AREAS TUESDAY, PERHAPS
REACHING WIND ADVISORY LEVELS (GUSTS EXCEEDING 45 MPH)...THEN THE
FRONT SHOULD PUSH FAR ENOUGH EAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
TO BRING A LITTLE RAIN WHILE WINDS EASE. A COOL, SHOWERY PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY ALONG AND WEST OF THE
CASCADES. SNOW LEVELS WILL PROBABLY DROP DOWN TO AROUND 5500 FEET,
WITH SOME LOCATIONS NEAR CRATER LAKE PICKING UP A LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION BY WEDNESDAY. SPILDE
&&
.AVIATION...12/12Z TAF CYCLE...MARINE STRATUS AND FOG WILL ERODE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE UMPQUA BASIN
AND INLAND COOS COUNTY...YIELDING VFR ALL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG AND LOCAL IFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING IN THE SAME SPOTS...THE UMPQUA VALLEY AND THE COOS
COAST...BUT PROBABLY WON'T BE AS WIDESPREAD. VFR CONTINUES INLAND
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. -FB/SPILDE
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 200 AM PDT SUN 12 OCT 2014...A THERMAL TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST TODAY WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE OUTER WATERS SOUTH OF GOLD
BEACH. LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL WILL PEAK AROUND SUNRISE THIS
MORNING. BOTH THE WAVE WATCH BULLETIN AND SWAN OUTPUT ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SWELL PEAKING AT 13 TO 14 FT AT 17 SECONDS,
ALTHOUGH THE SWAN HAS ITS USUAL BIAS OF BEING A BIT TOO FAST AND
SUSPECT IT MAY BE A LITTLE ON THE HIGH SIDE ON THE SWELL HEIGHT.
THIS SWELL WILL GRADUALLY LOWER BELOW 10 FEET AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THEN NEXT WEEK A SERIES OF FRONT AND DISTURBANCES WILL
BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE SOUTH WINDS ALONG WITH WESTERLY SWELL AND
STEEP SEAS.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING STRONG SOUTH WINDS LATE MONDAY. IT WILL BE
THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF FRONTS WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING HAZARDOUS
TO SMALL CRAFT AGAIN. PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS...HEAVY SEAS...AND
RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. UNCERTAINTY IN
THE DETAILS IS HIGH. THE GFS SHOWS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING TOWARDS
THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHILE THE EC IS MUCH WEAKER. -FB
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 102 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014/
DISCUSSION...12/00Z NAM/GFS IN.
THE TRANSITION IS NOW UNDERWAY TO A MODERATE AMPLITUDE PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN. A LONG WAVE RIDGE IS NOW BUILDING INTO THE WEST COAST AND
OFFSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS DEVELOPED. AS A RESULT...SKIES HAVE
CLEARED EVERYWHERE BUT THE NORTH COAST AND ALONG THE CASCADES.
GUSTY WINDS OVER THE RIDGES ARE HAMPERING HUMIDITY RECOVERIES.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY...EXCEPT
ALONG THE NORTH COAST WHERE THERE WILL STILL BE SOME MARINE
STRATUS.
THE LONG WAVE RIDGE WILL BREAK TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK AS THE
OFFSHORE FLOW ENDS AND THE THERMAL TROUGH SWINGS INLAND. SKIES
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR INLAND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES S 5 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THE UPSTREAM TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE TOWARD THE COAST AND SHORT
WAVES EMBEDDED IN STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN MOVING
ONSHORE MONDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE
ONSHORE MONDAY NIGHT BUT IT WILL BE SLOW TO PROGRESS INLAND AS IT
WILL INITIALLY BE PARALLEL TO THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. SHORT WAVES
MOVING UP THE FRONT WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE SLOW DOWN.
HOWEVER...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH IT DECISIVELY INLAND TUESDAY
EVENING...AND THE TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT WETTING RAINS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE FROM THE CASCADES
WEST TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AND LIGHTER PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD TO THE EAST SIDE TUESDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT 1.00-2.00 INCHES ALONG THE COAST (LIKELY HIGHER NEAR THE
CURRY COASTAL MOUNTAINS)...0.50-1.00 INCH INLAND TO THE CASCADES
AND INTO WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY...EXCEPT IN THE ROGUE VALLEY
WHERE SOME INITIAL DOWNSLOPING MAY HOLD AMOUNTS TO 0.25-0.50 OF AN
INCH. EAST SIDE AREAS WILL HAVE 0.10-0.25 OF AN INCH WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
IT WILL ALSO BE WINDY EAST OF THE CASCADES AND IN THE SHASTA
VALLEY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE
NECESSARY FOR PART OF THAT AREA. WEDNESDAY WILL BE SHOWERY WITH
THE COOL AIR IN PLACE ALOFT...AND THE SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE TROUGH DEPARTS AND WEAK RIDGING BUILDS
IN.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION FROM THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AFD...WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. WE'LL PROBABLY DRY OUT MOST AREAS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT SHOWERS MAY PERSIST WEST OF THE
CASCADES. MODELS STILL SHOW A COUPLE OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS HEADING
TOWARD THE COAST LATE NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
LIKELY KEEP US IN A COOL, WET FALL PATTERN. SPILDE
AVIATION...12/06Z TAF CYCLE...MARINE STRATUS HAS MOVED INTO THE
COAST. IT ORIGINALLY CAME IN WITH IFR VIS, BUT THE LAYER HAS LIFTED
INTO AN IFR CIG AND UNRESTRICTED SURFACE VIS. IT'S MOVING IN AND
OUT OF KOTH. BUFR SOUNDINGS CAPTURED THIS CHANGE AND THEY SHOW
VFR VIS AND MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT. THIS STRATUS MAY ALSO MOVE INTO
THE UMPQUA BASIN BY AROUND DAWN SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE, VFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. -WRIGHT
MARINE...UPDATED 6 PM PDT SAT 11 OCT 2014...A THERMAL TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST THIS EVENING WITH MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE OUTER WATERS SOUTH
OF GOLD BEACH THROUGH SUNDAY. LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELL HAS BEEN
INCREASING OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS AND WILL PEAK TONIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY. BOTH THE WAVE WATCH BULLETIN AND SWAN OUTPUT ARE IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SWELL PEAKING AT 13 TO 14 FT AT 17 SECONDS,
ALTHOUGH THE SWAN HAS ITS USUAL BIAS OF BEING A BIT TOO FAST AND
SUSPECT IT MAY BE A LITTLE ON THE HIGH SIDE ON THE SWELL HEIGHT.
THIS SWELL WILL GRADUALLY LOWER BELOW 10 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THEN NEXT WEEK A SERIES OF FRONT AND DISTURBANCES WILL BRING
PERIODS OF MODERATE SOUTH WINDS ALONG WITH WESTERLY SWELL AND STEEP
SEAS.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING STRONG SOUTH WINDS LATE MONDAY. IT WILL BE
THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF FRONTS WITH CONDITIONS BECOMING HAZARDOUS
TO SMALL CRAFT AGAIN. PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS...HEAVY SEAS...AND
RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. UNCERTAINTY IN
THE DETAILS IS HIGH. THE GFS SHOWS A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVING TOWARDS
THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHILE THE EC IS MUCH WEAKER. -PETRUCELLI
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
CA...NONE.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR PZZ356-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
MAS/JRS/FJBIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 12, 8:24 AM PDT, 5 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 824 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ORZ021-022-130000- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT... BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH 824 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2014 ...DANGEROUS SNEAKER WAVES POSSIBLE AT THE BEACHES TODAY... ELEVATED SURF WITH BREAKER HEIGHTS OF 17 TO 19 FT AND DANGEROUS SNEAKER WAVES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THIS WILL PRESENT A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD TO BEACH GOERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN OREGON COAST TODAY. WESTERLY SWELL WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 15 FEET THIS MORNING AND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AROUND 11 TO 13 FT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE LONG PERIOD OF THIS SWELL, AROUND 16 SECONDS, WILL RESULT IN BREAKER HEIGHTS UP TO 19 FEET. DANGEROUS SNEAKER WAVES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SNEAKER WAVES ARE SUDDEN AND UNEXPECTED WAVES THAT REACH MUCH FURTHER UP THE BEACH THAN NORMAL. THEY CAN TAKE BEACH GOERS BY SURPRISE AND SWEEP THEM OUT TO SEA. THESE WAVES CAN ALSO QUICKLY PUSH LARGE OBJECTS, SUCH AS LOGS, UP THE BEACH, CREATING A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD. THE DANGER OF SNEAKER WAVES IS MAGNIFIED BECAUSE THE WEATHER WILL NOT BE STORMY, AND A FALSE PERCEPTION MAY EXIST THAT BEACH CONDITIONS ARE SAFE. THE POTENTIAL IMPACT IS ELEVATED DUE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN INCREASED NUMBER OF PEOPLE AT THE BEACHES DURING THE FAIR-WEATHER HOLIDAY WEEKEND. IF YOU ARE PLANNING ACTIVITY ON THE SOUTH OREGON BEACHES TODAY, STAY ALERT TO THE DANGER OF SNEAKER WAVES. NEVER TURN YOUR BACK ON THE OCEAN. WEARING LIFE PRESERVERS IS GOOD SAFETY MEASURE, ESPECIALLY FOR CHILDREN. MAINTAIN A GOOD DISTANCE FROM THE SURF AND KEEP YOUR EYE ON THE SEA. CC
The office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 1:49 PM PDT | Fire Weather Watch | MFR | Modoc, Siskiyou | 15 hr |
| Oct 12, 2:43 PM PDT | High Wind Watch | MFR | Modoc | 13 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in California, 2014Wind Advisories in Oregon, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.