Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2014

Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Medford, OR

July 21, 2014Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Harney County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Jul 21, 2014, 3:48 AM PDT for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; Harney County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon. It took effect at Jul 21, 2014, 2:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2014, 3:48 AM PDT (10:48 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 21, 2014, 2:00 PM PDT
Expired
Jul 21, 2014, 9:26 PM PDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Harney County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2014-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2014-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2964 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

792 
WWUS86 KMFR 211048
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

CAZ282-212300-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1200Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 282...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.


* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282.

* THUNDERSTORMS...AN IMPULSE MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BRING A PERIOD OF ABUNDANT
  LIGHTNING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE THREAT OF
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH OF MOUNT SHASTA ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
  ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE
  WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT FOLLOW THE
  THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ285-ORZ625-212300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0015.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

 
* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS
  MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE IMPULSE
  ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH. A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
  EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY...THEN SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING VERY
  DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
  TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE
  WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT FOLLOW THE
  THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

CAZ284-ORZ624-212300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0015.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 


* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624.

* THUNDERSTORMS...HEATING TODAY WILL GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
  AFTERNOON WHICH ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE IMPULSE ARRIVES
  FROM THE SOUTH. A BREAK IS EXPECTED TONIGHT... THEN SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
  WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE
  WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT FOLLOW THE
  THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

CAZ280-212300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 280... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 280...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS
IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.


* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 280.

* THUNDERSTORMS...HEATING TODAY WILL GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
  AND NEAR THE TRINITY ALPS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH ARE LIKELY TO
  INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND EXPAND NORTHWARD LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE IMPULSE ARRIVES FROM THE
  SOUTH. A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT... THEN
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
  WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE
  WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT FOLLOW THE
  THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

CAZ281-212300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 281... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 281...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 


* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281.

* THUNDERSTORMS...HEATING TODAY COMBINED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
  IMPULSE ARRIVING FROM THE SOUTH WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING. A BREAK IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...THEN SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS... BUT FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

ORZ621-622-212300-
/O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 622...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. 


* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 622.

* THUNDERSTORMS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
  COMBINING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH IS LIKELY TO
  GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN LATE
  TUESDAY MORNING AND TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING VERY 
  DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD 
  OF TIME. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS... BUT FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO 
  NOT RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS 
  THAT FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

ORZ617-623-212300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
348 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 623...

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 623.

* THUNDERSTORMS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
  COMBINING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE SOUTH IS
  LIKELY TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN
  LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND TUESDAY EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
  SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE
  THUNDERSTORMS... BUT FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

BTL

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
2 follow-up statements
701 
WWUS86 KMFR 212024
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

CAZ285-ORZ625-220600-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0015.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 285 AND 625...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285 AND
625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
  AS A LOW PRESSURE IMPULSE ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH. A BREAK IN
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY
  TUESDAY...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON
  TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING VERY 
  DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD 
  OF TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF 
  THE THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ284-ORZ624-220600-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0015.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 284 AND 624...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND
624...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624.

* THUNDERSTORMS...HEATING WILL GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL
  INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AS A LOW
  PRESSURE IMPULSE ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH. A BREAK IS EXPECTED
  TONIGHT...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON
  TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-220600-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 280 AND 281...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280 AND
281...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281 AND 280. 

* THUNDERSTORMS...HEATING WILL GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND
  NEAR THE TRINITY ALPS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEY ARE LIKELY TO
  INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND EXPAND NORTHWARD LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE IMPULSE ARRIVES FROM THE
  SOUTH. A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT... THEN
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

ORZ617-621>623-220600-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0016.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...
621...622 AND 623...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622...621...623 AND 617 

* THUNDERSTORMS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC 
  NORTHWEST COMBINING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE 
  SOUTH IS LIKELY TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS... BUT FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO 
  NOT RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS 
  THAT FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ282-220600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.140721T2100Z-140722T0600Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
124 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 282...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282 

* THUNDERSTORMS...AN IMPULSE MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED
  TO BRING A PERIOD OF ABUNDANT LIGHTNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO THIS EVENING. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH
  OF MOUNT SHASTA ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF 
  THE THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

PETRUCELLI

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
737 
WWUS86 KMFR 220426
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

CAZ285-ORZ625-221800-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT
   TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE 
   WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR MONDAY EVENING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING...BUT A WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR TUESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285 AND 625.

* THUNDERSTORMS...A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
  TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  EXPECTED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING VERY 
  DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD 
  OF TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF 
  THE THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ284-ORZ624-221800-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT
   TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
   WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR MONDAY EVENING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE 
   WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING...BUT A WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR TUESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREAS: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 624.

* THUNDERSTORMS...A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
  TONIGHT...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON
  TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-221800-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-140722T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT
   TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
   ZONES 280 AND 281...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR MONDAY EVENING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE 
   WEATHER ZONES 280 AND 281...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR MONDAY EVENING...BUT A WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR TUESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281 AND 280 

* THUNDERSTORMS...A BREAK IN THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED 
  TONIGHT...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON 
  TUESDAY.

* OUTFLOW WINDS...30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. WHILE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO NOT 
  RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS THAT 
  FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CAZ282-220530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-140722T0600Z/
SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 282...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

$$

ORZ617-621>623-221800-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0018.140722T1800Z-140723T0600Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
926 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT
TUESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 617...621...622 AND 623...

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 622...621...623 AND 617 

* THUNDERSTORMS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC 
  NORTHWEST COMBINING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE 
  SOUTH IS LIKELY TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND TUESDAY 
  EVENING. 

* OUTFLOW WINDS...20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY 
  FUELS WILL RESULT IN MANY FIRE STARTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF 
  TIME. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH SOME OF THE 
  THUNDERSTORMS... BUT FIRE SPREAD IS LIKELY IN AREAS THAT DO 
  NOT RECEIVE WETTING RAIN AND AS DRYING OCCURS IN THE DAYS 
  THAT FOLLOW THE THUNDERSTORMS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

STOCKTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 21, 3:11 AM PDT, 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 3:11 AM PDT, 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
311 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

.DISCUSSION... A COUPLE DAYS OF LIKELY VERY ACTIVE WEATHER
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKELY AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OFFSHORE...
INCREASING THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MOISTURE FEED INTO THE REGION.
THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL ALSO BRING INCREASINGLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
ALOFT...INCREASING INSTABILITY INTO TODAY AND TUESDAY. THE
CONVECTION OVER NE CALIFORNIA HAS DISSIPATED AND CONVECTIVE MIXING
IS NOT AS MUCH OF A CONCERN WITH MORNING CONVECTION LOOKING TO BE
OFF THE TABLE. THE APPROACHING SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
COLLIDE WITH A SHORT WAVE FROM THE SOUTH TO BRING VERY STRONG
THETA E CONVERSION FROM THE TRINITY ALPS...INTO WESTERN SISKIYOU
COUNTY AND UP TO NORTH LAKE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
COMBINE WITH TH E SHORT WAVE CYCLING THROUGH AROUND MAX HEATING
AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 60 KT JET SETTING UP OVER THE
AREA AND THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 70 KT JET THAT IS CENTERED
OVER TAHOE. THE MOISTURE FLOW CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY WITH THE 700
MB FLOW INCREASING TO NEAR 30KT FROM THE SOUTH ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A CONCERN OF CONTINUED CONVECTION
OVERNIGHT MIXING OUT SOME OF THE INSTABILITY...BUT THE AREA OF
INSTABILITY EXTENDS FROM WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WELL SOUTH OF THE
REGION AND THIS WILL BE THE THUNDERSTORM SPAWNING BEDS FROM WHERE
THE CELLS WILL HATCH BEFORE RUNNING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH OUR AREA.
THE INSTABILITY EXTENDING INTO THE WEST SIDE AS FAR WEST AS
ROSEBURG WILL HELP TO SUSTAIN THE CELLS THAT MOVE UP THE WEST SIDE
AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 21/06Z TAFS...AREAS OF MVFR CIGS WITH LOCAL
IFR CIGS ALONG THE COAST WILL CLEAR TO VFR BY LATE MORNING MONDAY.
THE LOWER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE COAST MONDAY EVENING AND
INTO THE LOWER UMPQUA BASIN MONDAY NIGHT.  VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BUT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER LAKE/MODOC COUNTIES LATE
TONIGHT...SPREADING INTO MORE AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED AT 1000 PM PDT 20 JULY 2014...THERE WILL BE A
PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS AND SEAS LASTING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK. A WEAK FRONT MOVING ONSHORE WEDNESDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY A REDEVELOPING THERMAL TROUGH THURSDAY. NORTH WINDS AND STEEP
SEAS RAPIDLY BUILD ON THURSDAY AND ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     ORZ023-025-026.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
     TONIGHT FOR ORZ027.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING ABOVE 500 FEET FOR FOR ORZ027-030-031.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING ABOVE 500 FEET FOR FOR ORZ028-029.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR ORZ030-031.

CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     CAZ081-082.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR CAZ085.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
     EVENING FOR CAZ083.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING ABOVE 500 FEET FOR
     FOR CAZ084.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...NONE.

SBN/SBN/SBN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 5:48 PM PDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMFRModoc3 hr
Jul 21, 1:24 PM PDTRed Flag WarningMFRModoc, Siskiyou34 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2014Red Flag Warnings in California, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.