Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
259 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...DRIER THIS WEEKEND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...

.SHORT TERM...
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL
SHIFT SOUTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...AS
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS. AT THE
SAME TIME...THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST BY THE NHC TO
MOVE WEST NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE BAHAMA ISLANDS. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR THE WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TO BECOME MORE NORTHEAST AND
ALSO BRING IN DRIER AIR TO SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE NORTHEAST.
THEREFORE...THE POPS THIS WEEKEND WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT OVER THE EASTERN AREAS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA INCREASING TO ONLY 30 TO 40 PERCENT OVER THE WEST
COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL ALSO BE ABOVE AVERAGE OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S OVER THE METRO
AREAS AND MID TO UPPER 90S OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS...AS THE HEAT
INDICES WILL BE 100 TO 105 OVER THE METRO AREAS TO 105 TO 109 OVER
THE INTERIOR AREAS. LOWS WILL BE AROUND 80 OVER THE METRO AREAS
AND MID TO UPPER 70S OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS.

.LONG TERM...
THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PICK UP THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
OVER THE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND AND MOVE IT TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR THE HIGH TO BUILD BACK INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG ALLOW FOR THE STEERING FLOW TO BECOME MORE
EASTERLY BRINGING BACK SOME OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE. SO WILL
CONTINUE THE SCATTERED POPS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST
COVERAGE OVER THE WESTERN AREAS EACH DAY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA WATERS THIS WEEKEND BEFORE SWINGING TO A EASTERLY
DIRECTION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE SEAS AT 2 FEET OR
LESS IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  78  93  78  93 /  10  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  93  81  93 /  10  10  10  10
MIAMI            80  94  80  94 /  10  10  10  10
NAPLES           77  94  77  94 /  30  30  10  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...84/AK
LONG TERM....54/BNB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
654 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
222300-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
654 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY INTERIOR...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST MAINLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS, AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

WIND: LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS OF 40-50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS INTERIOR AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA.

TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE 100 TO 104 DEGREES
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

WATERSPOUTS: WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
MAINLY THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
ESPECIALLY FOR THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
INTERIOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FLZ075-222015-
MAINLAND MONROE FL-
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MAINLAND MONROE ...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 325 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILDERNESS WATERWAY...OR
  16 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORTHWEST CAPE SABLE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2543 8104 2543 8114 2547 8116 2547 8115
      2548 8116 2550 8117 2553 8104 2552 8103
      2553 8103 2553 8102 2543 8096 2543 8097
      2542 8098 2542 8101
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 079DEG 5KT 2545 8106

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
329 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FLZ069-070-075-222015-
INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-MAINLAND MONROE FL-
COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL-
329 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN INLAND COLLIER
COUNTY...NORTHERN MAINLAND MONROE AND SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL COLLIER
COUNTY...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 329 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR OCHOPEE...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  EVERGLADES CITY...CHOKOLOSKEE...PLANTATION ISLAND AND BIG CYPRESS
  NATIONAL PRESERVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2592 8114 2584 8109 2577 8126 2580 8126
      2580 8134 2583 8136 2581 8136 2583 8137
      2585 8139 2587 8142 2588 8143
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 069DEG 13KT 2584 8124

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
544 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FLZ069-070-222215-
INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL-
544 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN INLAND COLLIER COUNTY AND
NORTHWESTERN COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER GOLDEN GATE...OR NEAR NAPLES...MOVING WEST
  AT 10 MPH.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.  LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  NAPLES...EAST NAPLES...NORTH NAPLES...NAPLES PARK...VINEYARDS...
  NAPLES MANOR...GOLDEN GATE...LELY RESORT...LELY AND PELICAN BAY.

LAT...LON 2623 8170 2609 8170 2608 8180 2610 8180
      2611 8181 2611 8180 2612 8181 2617 8181
      2618 8182 2627 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 091DEG 7KT 2617 8175

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
621 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FLZ069-070-222245-
INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL-
621 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL INLAND COLLIER
COUNTY AND NORTHWESTERN COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY...

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 621 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NAPLES
  PARK TO NAPLES...AND MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  NAPLES...EAST NAPLES...NORTH NAPLES...NAPLES PARK...QUAIL CREEK
  ESTATE AND PELICAN BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2632 8184 2631 8173 2608 8177 2608 8180
      2609 8180 2615 8181 2629 8183 2629 8182
      2630 8182 2630 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 104DEG 6KT 2626 8178 2616 8181