Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
259 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...DRIER THIS WEEKEND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...

.SHORT TERM...
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL
SHIFT SOUTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...AS
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS. AT THE
SAME TIME...THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST BY THE NHC TO
MOVE WEST NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE BAHAMA ISLANDS. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR THE WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TO BECOME MORE NORTHEAST AND
ALSO BRING IN DRIER AIR TO SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE NORTHEAST.
THEREFORE...THE POPS THIS WEEKEND WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT OVER THE EASTERN AREAS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA INCREASING TO ONLY 30 TO 40 PERCENT OVER THE WEST
COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL ALSO BE ABOVE AVERAGE OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S OVER THE METRO
AREAS AND MID TO UPPER 90S OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS...AS THE HEAT
INDICES WILL BE 100 TO 105 OVER THE METRO AREAS TO 105 TO 109 OVER
THE INTERIOR AREAS. LOWS WILL BE AROUND 80 OVER THE METRO AREAS
AND MID TO UPPER 70S OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS.

.LONG TERM...
THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL PICK UP THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
OVER THE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND AND MOVE IT TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR THE HIGH TO BUILD BACK INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG ALLOW FOR THE STEERING FLOW TO BECOME MORE
EASTERLY BRINGING BACK SOME OF THE TROPICAL MOISTURE. SO WILL
CONTINUE THE SCATTERED POPS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST
COVERAGE OVER THE WESTERN AREAS EACH DAY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA WATERS THIS WEEKEND BEFORE SWINGING TO A EASTERLY
DIRECTION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE SEAS AT 2 FEET OR
LESS IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  78  93  78  93 /  10  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  93  81  93 /  10  10  10  10
MIAMI            80  94  80  94 /  10  10  10  10
NAPLES           77  94  77  94 /  30  30  10  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...84/AK
LONG TERM....54/BNB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
654 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
222300-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
654 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY INTERIOR...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST MAINLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS, AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

WIND: LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS OF 40-50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS INTERIOR AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA.

TEMPERATURES: MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE 100 TO 104 DEGREES
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.

WATERSPOUTS: WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
MAINLY THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
ESPECIALLY FOR THE BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
INTERIOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FLZ075-222015-
MAINLAND MONROE FL-
325 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MAINLAND MONROE ...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 325 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILDERNESS WATERWAY...OR
  16 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORTHWEST CAPE SABLE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...CAUSING TEMPORARY PONDING ON
SOME ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN IN HEAVY RAINFALL TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING
AND LEAVE A SAFE DISTANCE BETWEEN OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2543 8104 2543 8114 2547 8116 2547 8115
      2548 8116 2550 8117 2553 8104 2552 8103
      2553 8103 2553 8102 2543 8096 2543 8097
      2542 8098 2542 8101
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 079DEG 5KT 2545 8106