Severe Thunderstorm Warning 145, NWS Memphis, TN

636 
WWUS54 KMEG 062142
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
442 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

ARC035-111-062153-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-140606T2200Z/
CRITTENDEN AR-POINSETT AR-
442 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN POINSETT AND
NORTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 443 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3573 9035 3577 8989 3550 8947 3540 8947
      3540 8932 3531 8919 3521 8919 3510 8967
      3568 9029 3570 9029 3570 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 260DEG 35KT 3567 9002 3526 8945

$$

ARC031-093-TNC047-097-157-167-062200-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0145.000000T0000Z-140606T2200Z/
SHELBY TN-FAYETTE TN-LAUDERDALE TN-TIPTON TN-CRAIGHEAD AR-
MISSISSIPPI AR-
442 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD...TIPTON...
SOUTHWESTERN LAUDERDALE...NORTHERN FAYETTE AND NORTHEASTERN SHELBY
COUNTIES...

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM HILTON TO OAKLAND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM KEISER TO 16
MILES NORTHEAST OF CORDOVA...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRADEN...
GALLAWAY...OAKLAND...MILLINGTON...ATOKA...BURLISON...COVINGTON...
GARLAND...GILT EDGE...MASON...KEISER...LUXORA...OSCEOLA AND THREE
WAY.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR SUNK LAKE AND THE CHUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3573 9035 3577 8989 3550 8947 3540 8947
      3540 8932 3531 8919 3521 8919 3510 8967
      3568 9029 3570 9029 3570 9032
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 260DEG 35KT 3567 9002 3526 8945

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
340 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

.UPDATE...
EXPANDED CURRENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TO INCLUDE THE BOOTHEEL
OF MISSOURI AND LARGER PORTION OF WEST TENNESSEE...AS LINE
CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHEASTWARD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 214 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014/

DISCUSSION...

ADDED PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND WEST TENNESSEE TO THE
CURRENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AND EXTENDED THE CURRENT FLASH
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. OTHER THAN THAT...NOT MUCH TO ADD
IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT AS CURRENT STORMS
ARE ON GOING IN A RICH 4000+ J/KG AIRMASS OVER THE DELTA.
APPROACHING LINE NOW CROSSING LITTLE ROCK HAS HAD A HISTORY OF WIND
DAMAGE...AND MODELS SHOW THE COMPLEX REMAINING SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED AS
IT INTERSECTS THE WEST- EAST CONVECTION OVER OUR AREA...SO SEVERE
WEATHER TO INCLUDE FLOODING WILL BE AN ISSUE THROUGH SUNSET. A FEW
MORE SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE RIDGE WILL KEEP THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL MCS ACTIVITY THROUGH TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. SEVERE
WEATHER WILL STILL BE POSSIBILITY THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY...MODELS INDICATE A SHORTWAVE SATURDAY
NIGHT DEVELOPING A 1008MB SURFACE LOW AND TRACKING INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL IN-TURN PUSH THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY
SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA...PROVIDING US WITH A BRIEF BREAK IN
THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THREAT. HAVE LOWERED HIGHS ACROSS
THE NORTH FOR SUNDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER TEXAS
IS PROGGED TO SHIFT WESTWARD AS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO
THE PLAINS. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THIS
WAVE GETTING CUTOFF FROM THE MAIN WESTERLY FLOW TO THE NORTH. THIS
NEW LOW WILL BRING A RETURN TO MORE INCLEMENT WEATHER FOR THE
MIDSOUTH...WITH FLOODING AND A CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN
POSSIBLE. HAVE ALSO LOWERED TEMPERATURES AREA WIDE DURING THIS
PERIOD.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL FILL AND BECOME
SHEARED OUT EARLY THURSDAY AS IT MOVES INTO THE APPALACHIANS. AT
THE SAME TIME THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD BACK INTO
THE REGION. LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL AT LEAST KEEP A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. WITH LESS
ANTICIPATED CLOUD COVER AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION TEMPERATURES
SHOULD WARM BACK TO NEAR 90F.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR 18Z TAF CYCLE

CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD IMPROVE FROM IFR TO MVFR AND TO VFR
BY THIS EVENING.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON FROM DAYTIME HEATING AND A FRONTAL
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WILL OCCUR FROM A MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OR MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING. LOWERING CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ALONG WITH
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING EXCEPT AREAS OF FOG EARLY SATURDAY MORNING REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO MVFR.

LIGHT WINDS WILL OCCUR MOST OF THE PERIOD OUTSIDE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-
     CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-
     HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-
     MCNAIRY-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
244 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-072145-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
244 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A LARGE
PORTION OF THE MIDSOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLASH
FLOODING. A SECONDARY THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED BRIEF
TORNADO IS ALSO PRESENT.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE
MID SOUTH. THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN AREAS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY
OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY ACROSS
THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH. THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND FLASH FLOODING.

ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE REGION AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE...LARGE
HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS
TENNESSEE.

JAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
126 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0124 PM     HAIL             OXFORD                  34.36N 89.53W
06/06/2014  E0.88 INCH       LAFAYETTE          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF DIME AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN OXFORD

&&

JPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
312 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HORN LAKE               34.96N 90.04W
06/06/2014                   DESOTO             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COVERING TWINLAKES AND NAIL ROAD

&&

JPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
313 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FALKNER                 34.85N 88.93W
06/06/2014                   TIPPAH             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COVERING ROADWAYS IN FAULKNER

&&

JPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
413 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GERMANTOWN              35.09N 89.79W
06/06/2014                   SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            FARMINGTON BLVD NEAR WOLF RIVER BLVD IS COVERED WITH
            WATER

&&

JPM