Flash Flood Warning 119, NWS Memphis, TN

956 
WGUS74 KMEG 172128
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
428 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

TNC079-172135-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FF.W.0119.000000T0000Z-140817T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENRY TN-
428 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHERN HENRY
COUNTY...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3611 8800 3599 8802 3598 8855 3615 8853
      3614 8822 3612 8821 3615 8818 3616 8799
      3612 8799

$$

TNC005-017-172300-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0119.000000T0000Z-140817T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON TN-CARROLL TN-
428 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND CENTRAL BENTON COUNTIES...

AT 425 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST HOUR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HUNTINGDON...
MCKENZIE AND CAMDEN.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS BURNSIDE
CREEK AT BETHEL CHURCH ROAD...BURNSIDE CREEK AT FLATWOODS ROAD AND
CYPRESS CREEK AT OLD HIGHWAY 70.

THE BRUCETON FIRE DEPARTMENT WAS REPORTED FLOODED AT 358 PM CDT AND 
SEVERAL STREETS WERE FLOODED IN HOLLOW ROCK AS OF 405 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE 
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE 
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS 
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING 
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8800 3599 8802 3598 8855 3615 8853
      3614 8822 3612 8821 3615 8818 3616 8799
      3612 8799

$$

491 
WGUS74 KMEG 172301
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
601 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

TNC005-017-172311-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0119.000000T0000Z-140817T2300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON TN-CARROLL TN-
601 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTHEASTERN CARROLL AND
CENTRAL BENTON COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3611 8800 3599 8802 3598 8855 3615 8853
      3614 8822 3612 8821 3615 8818 3616 8799
      3612 8799

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
256 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES ARE CLOUDY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AS WELL AS
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES VARY QUITE A BIT
DUE TO EARLIER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 90S. ALL OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT WAS IN NORTH
MISSISSIPPI HAS MOVED EAST OR DISSIPATED WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
NOW MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH INTO EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS FRONT WILL MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH TONIGHT BEFORE
STALLING OUT. AS A RESULT MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. ON MONDAY THE FRONT WILL START MOVING NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT BUT WILL REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE FORECAST AREA FOR MORE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE A
COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 90.

ON MONDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WHICH MAY TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
ON TUESDAY...AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH AWAY
FROM THE REGION THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS.
TEMPERATURES WILL START TO BECOME RATHER WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 90S. THE WARM FRONT WILL STALL OUT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY LEAVING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REGION DURING THIS TIME.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT WILL BE FAR ENOUGH AWAY FROM THE
REGION THAT THE THREAT OF RAIN SHOULD END. ON THURSDAY...AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN U.S. AND WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A
RESULT...DRY WEATHER WILL BE FOUND FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RATHER HOT DURING THIS PERIOD WITH HIGHS
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. ON SUNDAY...A
NEW COLD FRONT WILL MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SO
SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THIS FRONT.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF CYCLE (17/18Z-18/18Z)

VFR CONDITIONS WITH PREVAIL DURING THE PERIOD BUT CONDITIONS
LOWERING IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...THEN DEVELOPING AGAIN AROUND KMEM...KMKL...AND KTUP AFTER
18/16Z. PUT IN A TEMP GROUP FOR -SHRA AT KTUP UNTIL 17/19Z. FOR NOW
CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF VCTS AT THE TAF SITES SINCE CAN NOT
DEFINE TIMING WELL ENOUGH ATTM FOR A TEMPO GROUP FOR TSRA. WILL AMEND
AS NECESSARY. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON SW-W 10-12 KTS WITH GUSTS NEAR
18 KTS. WINDS TONIGHT SW 5-7 KTS. WINDS MONDAY MORNING SW-W 8-10
KTS.

JCL

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
443 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-181145-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
443 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MID SOUTH TODAY. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH TODAY.

JLH