Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 120, NWS St. Louis, MO

October 2, 2014Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Oct 2, 2014, 6:32 AM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It was in force for 66 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2014, 6:32 AM CDT (11:32 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2014, 12:18 AM CDT
In force
66 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Troy (TRYM7). The gauge peaked at 25.76 ft at Oct 3, 2014, 4:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate102010/0210/0310/0410/0510/06
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

399 
WGUS43 KLSX 021141
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
641 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood warning
for the following river in Missouri... 

                
                 The Cuivre River near 

                    ...Troy


.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 5 inches of rain in the past 24 hours
and close to 3 more inches of rain in the next 24 hours. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.


&&

MOC113-031141-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0120.141002T1132Z-141005T0518Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1132Z.141003T0000Z.141004T0518Z.NO/
641 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 6 AM Thursday the stage was near 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will rise above flood stage this morning and
  continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by this evening.
  The river will fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of Hwy C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Left bank overflows. Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   19.25      25.4   17.1    7.1    5.6    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$
9 follow-up statements
615 
WGUS83 KLSX 021426
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
926 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
 
  
                The Cuivre River near 

                   ...Troy 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 5 to 6 inches of rain in the past
24 hours and around 3 inches of rain in the next 24 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.


&&

MOC113-031426-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T0850Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0850Z.NO/
926 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 28.3 feet by tomorrow morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the 
  north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet...MoDoT will consider closing U.S. Highway 61
  at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in both directions.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Second Street in Moscow Mills begins flooding
  near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of HWY C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Left bank overflows. Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   21.80      28.3   18.0    8.4    6.9    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$
640 
WGUS83 KLSX 021953
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy and at Old Monoroe affecting Lincoln County 

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain the 
past 24 hours and 1 to 2 inches of rain forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-031953-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T0841Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0841Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider 
  closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
  both directions.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
 
&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   24.20      27.5   18.3    8.1    6.6    6.3

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-031952-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.141003T1606Z-141006T1338Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.141003T1606Z.141004T0600Z.141005T0138Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* from Friday morning to Monday morning.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.4 
  feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0              22.7   26.4   20.3   15.8   14.7

&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       

$$

MOC127-031952-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141004T1840Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.141003T0909Z.141003T1200Z.141003T1840Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will rise above flood stage late tonight and 
  crest near 13.9 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   10.09      13.9    9.7    5.9    4.9    4.6

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$
161 
WGUS83 KLSX 030211
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
910 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy affecting Lincoln County 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  Cuivre River at Old Monroe affecting Lincoln County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain that fell over
parts of the basin over the past 24 hours and less than one-half inch
of rain forecast over the the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-040210-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1236Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T1200Z.141004T1236Z.NO/
910 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Sunday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
 
&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   24.98      26.5   21.4    9.8    7.3    6.7

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-040210-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0121.141003T1606Z-141006T1338Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.141003T1606Z.141004T0600Z.141005T0138Z.NO/
910 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* from Friday morning to Monday morning.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.4 
  feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/03  10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0              22.7   26.4   20.3   15.8   14.7

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       

$$
719 
WGUS83 KLSX 031615
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  

             The Cuivre River near
                ...Troy
                ...Old

  
             The Middle Fabius River near
                ...Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  
             The North River at
                ...Palmyra

      
             The Mid Fork Salt River near
                ...Holliday
 

             The South Fabius River near
                ...Taylor affecting Marion County 


.This Flood Warning is a result of the most recent heavy rainfall event.
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-041615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1053Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1053Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will fall to below flood stage by tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of Hwy C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Left bank overflows.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   25.36      20.5   10.4    7.5    6.9    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.141003T2024Z-141006T0800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.141003T2024Z.141004T0600Z.141004T2000Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* the lastest stage was estimated at 22.3
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 24.9 feet after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   E22.3      24.9   21.0   16.4   14.9   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC127-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T0752Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1800Z.141004T0752Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 16.7 feet by this afternoon
  and then begin to fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...Co Rd 333, east of Palmyra, begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   16.51      11.9    6.9    5.3    4.9    4.8


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-141006T1630Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.141003T0949Z.141004T0000Z.141005T1630Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 14.2 feet by this evening
  and then begin to fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   13.63      14.1   12.6    8.9    5.8    4.7


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-041614-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-141005T0130Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.141003T1307Z.141003T1800Z.141004T0130Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will begin to fall below flood stage this evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.65       8.9    6.0    3.2    2.1    1.9


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-141004T2200Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.141003T0333Z.141003T0915Z.141003T2000Z.UU/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will begin to fall below flood stage later today.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   17.24      14.9    9.1    6.1    4.9    4.5


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
472 
WGUS83 KLSX 031847
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River at Old Monroe affecting Lincoln County 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  Cuivre River near Troy affecting Lincoln County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-041847-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1053Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1053Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Left bank overflows.  Minor 
  flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   25.19      20.5   10.5    7.5    6.9    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-141006T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141004T0600Z.141004T1912Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until late Sunday night.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 24.9 
  feet after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0              24.8   20.7   16.1   14.9   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC127-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1545Z.141004T1200Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday morning.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   16.33      13.0    7.2    5.3    4.9    4.8


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-141005T1434Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.141003T0949Z.141003T1415Z.141004T1434Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Sunday morning.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near  feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   12.75      12.3    9.3    6.5    5.3    4.5


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-041846-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-141005T0300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.141003T1307Z.141003T1830Z.141004T0300Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Saturday evening.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.73       8.9    6.2    3.2    2.2    1.9


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$
975 
WGUS83 KLSX 032211
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
       Cuivre River near

              ...Troy 
              ...Old Monroe 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain since 
Wednesday afternoon and little additional rainfall forecast
in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-042211-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1048Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1048Z.NO/
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At  4:30 PM Friday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river has crested and is forecasted to fall below
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   24.92      20.5   10.5    7.5    6.9    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-042210-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-141006T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141004T0600Z.141004T1912Z.NO/
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until late Sunday night.
* At 4:02 PM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will forecast crest near 24.9 feet after 
  midnight tonight. The river will then fall below flood stage 
  by early afternoon on Saturday.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   24.00      24.8   20.7   16.1   14.9   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$
040 
WGUS83 KLSX 032247 CCA
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
       Cuivre River near

              ...Troy 
              ...Old Monroe 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain since 
Wednesday afternoon and little additional rainfall forecast
in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-042211-
/O.COR.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1048Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1048Z.NO/
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At  4:30 PM Friday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river has crested and is forecast to fall below
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   24.92      20.5   10.5    7.5    6.9    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-042210-
/O.COR.KLSX.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-141006T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141004T0600Z.141004T1912Z.NO/
511 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until late Sunday night.
* At 4:02 PM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 24.9 feet after 
  midnight tonight. The river will then fall below flood stage 
  by early afternoon on Saturday.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   24.00      24.8   20.7   16.1   14.9   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$
039 
WGUS83 KLSX 040147
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
847 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
       The Cuivre River near

           ...Troy  
           ...Old Monroe

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain since 
Wednesday afternoon and no additional rainfall forecast in the
next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-050147-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1055Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1055Z.NO/
847 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At 8:30 PM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to fall to below flood stage 
  early on Saturday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   23.98      20.5   10.5    7.5    6.9    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-050147-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-141006T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141004T0600Z.141004T1912Z.NO/
847 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until late Sunday night.
* At 4:02 PM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 24.9 feet  
  after midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early afternoon on Saturday.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/04  10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   24.00      24.8   20.7   16.1   14.9   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$
199 
WGUS83 KLSX 041447
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
947 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2014

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  
          Cuivre River near
                ...Troy

          North Fabius River near
                ...Ewing

          South Fabius River near
                ...Taylor


.THE FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CANELLED!


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.


&&

MOC113-041517-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1055Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T0629Z.NO/
947 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The River fell below flood stage at 1:29 AM Saturday.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08  10/09

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   15.03      10.5    7.5    6.9    6.7    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC111-041517-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0130.000000T0000Z-141005T1845Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.141003T2103Z.141004T0245Z.141004T0925Z.NO/
947 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The River fell below flood stage at 4:25 AM Saturday.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08  10/09

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    9.64       7.8    6.2    4.5    3.6    3.3


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-041517-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-141005T1232Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.141003T1307Z.141004T0215Z.141004T0437Z.NO/
947 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* The River fell below flood stage at 11:37 PM Friday.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     10/05  10/06  10/07  10/08  10/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    8.10       5.5    3.2    2.1    1.9    1.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 2, 3:52 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 3:52 AM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
352 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014

Focus will be precip thru the period. Much of the region is
expected to receive multiple rounds of TSRA today and into
tonight. Currently no changes to the FFA are anticipated.
However, if any changes where made, it would likely be expanded
ewd and into tonight.

Mdls are in fairly good agreement regarding synoptic features thru
the period. Yet another line of TSRA currently over cntl MO shud
reach the MIS rvr around 12z. This line is expected to gradually
weaken as it continues to shift ewd this morning. The next round
is currently over OK and expected to impact wrn/nrn portions of
the CWA late this morning. There is some uncertainty how far E
TSRA will develop with this S/W, perhaps into cntl portions of the
CWA. By this time, the next round of TSRA shud have developed
across across ern KS/OK near the sfc low and adjacent fnts. This
shud develop some sort of QLCS and propagate ENE thru the region
this eve and overnight. This line is expected to move thru the CWA
overnight with the bulk of the precip ending by Fri morning.
However, the NSSL WRF does suggest the def-zone precip associated
with the leading trof much later than the global and other large
scale mdls.

With warm temps and dewpoints associated with this system, severe
storms will be possible thru the night as shear increases.
However, with mdls depicting K index values into lower 40C,
believe heaving rain and flash flooding is a greater threat. That
said, if ongoing storms can move out of the region quickly and
more insolation during the day, the threat for severe storms will
increase greatly. For now, it appears greater threat will remain
SW of the CWA.

.LONG TERM:  (Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014

Focus turns to temps thru the period.

Have added slight chance PoPs on Fri to partially account for the
slower NSSL WRF soln mentioned above, but mainly due to anticipated
SHRA associated with the main trof. With additional cloud cover
expected with the main trof and strong/gusty nwly winds, have
trended aob the coolest MOS thru Fri night as clouds are expected
to clear out. Fri night may be the first frost of the fall as
temps are expected to drop into the mid to lower 30s. Sheltered
regions wud be most at risk as winds shud stay up around 5 to 8
kts overnight. Cold temps continue thru Sat with sub-zero 850mb
temps across much of the CWA.

Few changes made to forecast for next week due to uncertainty
among mdls. Mdls are in generally good agreement until Tues when
mdl solns diverge greatly.

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014

Ongoing showers and thunderstorms have continued to lift a bit
further northward, so only have vcts mention for taf sites along
I-70 corridor through 12z Thursday. For KUIN, showers to persist
with some thunderstorms through the early morning hours. Will see
a break in the activity during the mid morning hours before more
significant activity fires up ahead of cold front during the
afternoon and evening hours. Winds to persist from the southeast
then veer to the south by mid morning. As cold front approaches,
winds to begin veering to the southwest between 23z Thursday and
03z Friday. Frontal passage will be beyond the forecast period.

Specifics for KSTL:
Ongoing showers and thunderstorms have continued to lift a bit
further northward, so only have vcts mention for metro area through
12z Thursday. Will see a break in the activity during the mid
morning hours before more significant activity fires up ahead of
cold front after 21z Thursday. Winds to persist from the southeast
then veer to the south 12z Thursday. As cold front approaches,
winds to begin veering to the southwest between 23z Thursday and
03z Friday. Frontal passage will be around 09z Friday with
precipitation tapering off.

Byrd

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     86  60  65  40 /  90  90  20   5
Quincy          78  52  57  34 /  90  80  20  10
Columbia        82  53  59  35 /  90  80  20   5
Jefferson City  83  54  61  35 /  90  80  20   5
Salem           85  61  67  37 /  60  90  20   5
Farmington      84  57  67  37 /  50  90  10   5

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through this evening FOR Audrain MO-Boone MO-
     Callaway MO-Cole MO-Gasconade MO-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln
     MO-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-
     Pike MO-Ralls MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through this evening FOR Adams IL-Brown IL-
     Calhoun IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-
     Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 4:06 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
406 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-031200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
406 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE
REGION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT...PLEASE
REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS.

TILLY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 2, 1:25 AM CDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
125 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0124 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 E VANDIVER            39.16N  91.82W
10/02/2014  M51 MPH          AUDRAIN            MO   AWOS

&&

TILLY
Local storm report, Oct 2, 2:19 AM CDT, 4 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
219 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 AM     TSTM WND GST     LOUISIANA               39.44N  91.06W
10/02/2014  E60 MPH          PIKE               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TILLY
Special weather statement, Oct 2, 4:51 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
451 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

MOZ051-060-021015-
MONTGOMERY MO-WARREN MO-
451 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WARREN AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES
UNTIL 515 AM CDT...

AT 448 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BIG SPRING...OR 6 MILES NORTH OF HERMANN...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  WARRENTON...
  WRIGHT CITY...
  JONESBURG...
  TRUESDALE...

THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI FROM EXIT 170 TO EXIT 200.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

TILLY
Local storm report, Oct 2, 5:49 AM CDT, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
549 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N GRAFTON             39.02N  90.43W
10/02/2014  M5.00 INCH       JERSEY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CVKING
Local storm report, Oct 2, 5:56 AM CDT, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
556 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 AM     HEAVY RAIN       TROY                    38.98N  90.98W
10/02/2014  M5.34 INCH       LINCOLN            MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

CVKING
Local storm report, Oct 2, 6:05 AM CDT, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
605 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WINFIELD                39.00N  90.74W
10/02/2014  M4.12 INCH       LINCOLN            MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

CVKING

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCole, Moniteau49 min
Oct 1, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Osage48 min
Oct 1, 9:42 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion47 hr
Oct 2, 1:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls48 min
Oct 2, 2:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Saint Charles, Warren27 min
Oct 2, 2:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln26 min
Oct 2, 3:01 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXLincoln6 hr
Oct 2, 7:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXBoone, Moniteau3 hr
Oct 2, 8:47 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXLincoln6 hr
Oct 2, 9:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln4 days
Oct 2, 9:43 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXBoone, Moniteau6 hr
Oct 2, 10:07 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles53 hr
Oct 2, 10:17 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery6 days
Oct 2, 11:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLincoln6 hr
Oct 2, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford51 min
Oct 2, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin51 min
Oct 2, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Washington31 min
Oct 2, 3:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Louis38 min
Oct 2, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis32 min
Oct 2, 4:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLincoln6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.