Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 119, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Oct 1, 2014, 9:42 PM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Oct 1, 2014, 11:01 PM CDT. It was in force for 45 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 1, 2014, 9:42 PM CDT (02:42 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 1, 2014, 11:01 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 3, 2014, 8:23 PM CDT
- In force
- 45 hr
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Marion County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 16.52 ft at Oct 3, 2014, 11:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 11 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16 ft
- Major stage
- 22 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
578
WGUS43 KLSX 020242
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
942 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County
.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of rain the
past 24 hours and 1 to 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-030242-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0119.141002T0401Z-141003T0949Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.141002T0401Z.141002T0600Z.141002T0949Z.NO/
942 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the North River at Palmyra
* until late Thursday night.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage late this evening and reach 13.6 feet during the
predawn hours. The river will fall below flood stage by early Thursday.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to
flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/02 10/03 10/04 10/05 10/06
North River
Palmyra 13.0 12.30 8.1 5.5 4.5 4.3 4.2
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$7 follow-up statements
274
WGUS83 KLSX 021430
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
930 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
The North River at
...Palmyra
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 inches of rain in the past 24 hours
and around 3 inches in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.
The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-031430-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141004T1727Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.141002T2116Z.141003T0600Z.141003T1727Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra.
* At 8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 14.5 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...Co Rd 333, east of Palmyra, begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/03 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07
North River
Palmyra 13.0 12.34 14.0 9.0 5.9 4.9 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$640
WGUS83 KLSX 021953
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy and at Old Monoroe affecting Lincoln County
North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain the
past 24 hours and 1 to 2 inches of rain forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-031953-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T0841Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0841Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At 2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet by
tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider
closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
both directions.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant
agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact: At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow
Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the
West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of
Highway C.
* Impact: At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road
(County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/03 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 24.20 27.5 18.3 8.1 6.6 6.3
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-031952-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.141003T1606Z-141006T1338Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.141003T1606Z.141004T0600Z.141005T0138Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* from Friday morning to Monday morning.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.4
feet early Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding
develops upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the
Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/03 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 22.7 26.4 20.3 15.8 14.7
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC127-031952-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141004T1840Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.141003T0909Z.141003T1200Z.141003T1840Z.NO/
253 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise above flood stage late tonight and
crest near 13.9 feet by tomorrow morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to
flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/03 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07
North River
Palmyra 13.0 10.09 13.9 9.7 5.9 4.9 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$387
WGUS43 KLSX 031031
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
531 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...Observed Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the
following rivers in Missouri...
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Missouri...
North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain since
Wednesday afternoon and little additional rainfall forecast
in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-041031-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T0900Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0900Z.NO/
531 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The North River at Palmyra
* At 4:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 16.9 feet by this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
flooding near the gage.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
North River
Palmyra 13.0 16.21 12.3 7.5 5.5 5.3 5.0
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$719
WGUS83 KLSX 031615
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
The Cuivre River near
...Troy
...Old
The Middle Fabius River near
...Ewing affecting Lewis County
The North River at
...Palmyra
The Mid Fork Salt River near
...Holliday
The South Fabius River near
...Taylor affecting Marion County
.This Flood Warning is a result of the most recent heavy rainfall event.
.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-041615-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1053Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1053Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will fall to below flood stage by tomorrow.
* Impact: At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow
Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the
West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of Hwy C.
* Impact: At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road
(County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded
between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Left bank overflows. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 25.36 20.5 10.4 7.5 6.9 6.7
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.141003T2024Z-141006T0800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.141003T2024Z.141004T0600Z.141004T2000Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* the lastest stage was estimated at 22.3
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 24.9 feet after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding
develops upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the
Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 E22.3 24.9 21.0 16.4 14.9 14.6
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC127-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T0752Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1800Z.141004T0752Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 16.7 feet by this afternoon
and then begin to fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
flooding near the gage.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...Co Rd 333, east of Palmyra, begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
North River
Palmyra 13.0 16.51 11.9 6.9 5.3 4.9 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$
MOC111-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-141006T1630Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.141003T0949Z.141004T0000Z.141005T1630Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 14.2 feet by this evening
and then begin to fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Middle Fabius River
Ewing 12.0 13.63 14.1 12.6 8.9 5.8 4.7
&&
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162
$$
MOC127-041614-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-141005T0130Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.141003T1307Z.141003T1800Z.141004T0130Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will begin to fall below flood stage this evening.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 9.65 8.9 6.0 3.2 2.1 1.9
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
3989 9176
$$
MOC137-041614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0124.000000T0000Z-141004T2200Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.141003T0333Z.141003T0915Z.141003T2000Z.UU/
1115 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will begin to fall below flood stage later today.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State
Highway A bridge north of Holliday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 17.24 14.9 9.1 6.1 4.9 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$472
WGUS83 KLSX 031847
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River at Old Monroe affecting Lincoln County
Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County
South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County
North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
Cuivre River near Troy affecting Lincoln County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-041847-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0120.000000T0000Z-141005T1053Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.141002T1245Z.141003T0845Z.141004T1053Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy
* until late Saturday night.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early tomorrow.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant
agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact: At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow
Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the
West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of
Highway C.
* Impact: At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road
(County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded
between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage. Left bank overflows. Minor
flooding begins.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
low lying agricultural land is inundated.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 25.19 20.5 10.5 7.5 6.9 6.7
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0121.000000T0000Z-141006T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.141004T0600Z.141004T1912Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until late Sunday night.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 24.9
feet after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding
develops upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the
Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 24.8 20.7 16.1 14.9 14.6
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC127-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1545Z.141004T1200Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday morning.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow morning.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to
flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
North River
Palmyra 13.0 16.33 13.0 7.2 5.3 4.9 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$
MOC111-041847-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-141005T1434Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.141003T0949Z.141003T1415Z.141004T1434Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Sunday morning.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late
morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
Middle Fabius River
Ewing 12.0 12.75 12.3 9.3 6.5 5.3 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162
$$
MOC127-041846-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-141005T0300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.141003T1307Z.141003T1830Z.141004T0300Z.NO/
147 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Saturday evening.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tonight.
* Impact: At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank
just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact: At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just
west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
365.
* Impact: At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 9.73 8.9 6.2 3.2 2.2 1.9
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
3989 9176
$$937
WGUS83 KLSX 032149
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
449 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
North River
at Palmyra
.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of rain since
Wednesday afternoon and little additional rainfall forecast
in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-042149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T0752Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1545Z.141004T0752Z.NO/
449 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* until late Saturday night.
* At 4:30 PM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall below flood stage after
midnight tonight.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
North River
Palmyra 13.0 14.53 11.9 6.9 5.3 4.9 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$759
WGUS83 KLSX 040123
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
823 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
North River at
...Palmyra
.This will be the last statement for this event...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-040153-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-141005T0752Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.141003T0253Z.141003T1545Z.141003T2247Z.NO/
823 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the North River at Palmyra.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 5:47 PM Friday.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall to 7.5 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 10/04 10/05 10/06 10/07 10/08
North River
Palmyra 13.0 11.10 7.5 6.0 5.1 4.9 4.7
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 1, 9:09 PM CDT, 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 9:09 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
909 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
.UPDATE:
Issued at 853 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
Forecast looks to be generally on track and I don't foresee any
major changes for the rest of the evening. Instability is waning,
but obviously there's enough to keep some rather strong storms
going. Will most likely let WW511 expire naturally at 1000 PM. The
challenge after 1000 PM will be trying to figure out exactly where
the heaviest rain will fall for the rest of the night. It still
looks like the best threat for heavy rain and training will be
over parts of our central Missouri counties. RAP is persistently
showing moderate to strong moisture convergence at 850mb. Storms
this evening have been efficient rain producers, and I expect this
will not change. No change to flash flood watch at this time, and
will probably only tweak PoPs to match current radar trends.
Carney
&&
.SHORT TERM: (Through Thursday Night)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
Lots to keep track of in the next 24 to 36 hours. First: severe
thunderstorms have developed along the outflow boundary in central
Missouri left over from storms earlier today. Modest instability
between 1000-1500 J/Kg combined with around 40 kts bulk shear have
produced a supercell which is riding the boundary. A few more
cells are developing ahead of the big storm and may continue to
strengthen. Expect the severe threat to continue into the early to
mid evening hours...generally along and south of I-70. Should see
storms weaken within a few hours of sunset, but then the low level
jet strengthens in southwest flow ahead of the broad trof over the
Rockies and developing low level circulation over the Plains. This
will bring the second area of concern into play: heavy rain.
Thunderstorms this morning and now this current round of severe
convection will saturate the ground and increase the potential for
flash flooding. Aforementioned 30-40kt low level jet is bringing
plenty of Gulf moisture up into the area. Forecast soundings show
a warm cloud depth of nearly 12,000 FT and BUFKIT is indicating
that individual convective elements may move very slowly and train
over the same locations. Current QPF from WPC shows rainfall in
excess of 3 inches over the next 24 hours with locally higher
amounts in addition to what's already fallen. Therefore have gone
ahead and pushed a flash flood watch for parts of central,
northeast, and east central Missouri. Watch may need to be
extended further east or northeast tonight as the situation
develops.
Attention turns to tomorrow when the upper level trof moves into the
Great Plains and the associated surface system moves from northern
Oklahoma into eastern Iowa through the day. Our CWFA will be
squarely in the warm sector through the day, and even if there are
no breaks in the clouds temperatures should be at least between 80
and 85...if not a tad bit warmer. With warm, humid airmass in
place, NAM is forecasting SBCAPE values in excess of 2500 J/Kg in
some parts of the CWFA. With 30-40kts of deep layer shear, and the
approaching shortwave becoming negatively tilted , this looks like a
good setup for severe weather during the afternoon and evening
hours. The shear vector looks like it will be parallel to the front
so the most likely convective mode will be a squall line with bows
and LEWPS possible. The front will sweep through the area overnight
Thursday night and we should be into cold advection by 12Z Friday
morning.
Carney
.LONG TERM: (Thursday through Next Wednesday)
Issued at 403 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
Fall returns with a vengeance Friday and Saturday. Temperatures
will drop 25 to 30 degrees behind the front Friday and Saturday. It
will also be pretty breezy behind the front on Friday. Forecast
soundings show some pretty good mixing which is likely to produce
wind gusts in excess of 30 mph. Guidance is hinting at lows in the
30s across most of the area on Saturday morning, and this looks
reasonable given the strength of the cold advection. This could
easily be the coolest night of the season so far.
Temperatures slowly moderate Sunday through next Wednesday. The
highly amplified upper level pattern featuring a strong vortex just
north of the Great Lakes region and a longwave trof over the eastern
1/2 of the CONUS will slowly become more zonal through midweek. By
Wednesday the flow aloft should be nearly zonal and low level warm
advection will bring temperatures back to near or above normal.
Carney
&&
.AVIATION: (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
Primary concern for tonight is thunderstorms. Best chances for
storms look like it will be from central Missouri, north of I-44
into the STL Metro area and then along and north of I-70 tonight.
IFR visibilities in heavy rain will accompany these storms at
times. Think flight conditions should be mainly VFR outside of
thunderstorms. Numerous thunderstorms are expected across the area
on Thursday as well. Expect VFR conditions and southwest flow to
prevail outside of storms.
Specifics for KSTL:
Occasional thunderstorms will affect the terminal tonight. IFR
visibilities in heavy rain will accompany these storms. Expect VFR
flight conditions to prevail outside of storms. Numerous
thunderstorms are expected on Thursday. Timing is uncertain,
however the best chance for storms will likely be during the
afternoon and evening hours.
Carney
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Thursday evening FOR Audrain MO-Boone
MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Gasconade MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-
Montgomery MO-Osage MO.
IL...NONE.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, Oct 1, 4:11 PM CDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 411 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-021130- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO- LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO- AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO- LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO- ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO- WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO- MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO- 411 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR IN CENTRAL AND PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT...PLEAS REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE SEVERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI. ADDITIONALLY...STORM SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HEAVY RAIN AND OR FLASH FLOODING THAT IS OBSERVED. CARNEY
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 1, 6:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
614 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM FLOOD QUINCY 39.93N 91.39W
10/01/2014 ADAMS IL BROADCAST MEDIA
STREET FLOODING ON 12TH STREET NEAR THE JUNIOR HIGH.
&&
CARNEYSpecial weather statement, Oct 1, 7:13 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 713 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 MOZ052-020045- LINCOLN MO- 713 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT... AT 711 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TROY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... TROY... ELSBERRY... MOSCOW MILLS... WINFIELD... MILLER
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 7:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 724 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ILZ059-020115- MACOUPIN IL- 724 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MACOUPIN COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM CDT... AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GREENFIELD...OR 11 MILES WEST OF CARLINVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... CARLINVILLE... GIRARD... THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. MILLER
Special weather statement, Oct 1, 7:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 735 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ILZ058-098-099-020130- CALHOUN IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL- 735 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GREENE...CALHOUN AND JERSEY COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT... AT 734 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF ELSBERRY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... JERSEYVILLE... WHITE HALL... BELLEVIEW... HARDIN... GRAFTON... OLD KANE... CARROLLTON... ROODHOUSE... KEMPER... GREENFIELD... MILLER
Local storm report, Oct 1, 8:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
816 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0617 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W ASHLAND 38.77N 92.28W
10/01/2014 E1.60 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER
RAIN TOTAL BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.74 INCHES OVER 30 MINUTES.
CONSIDERABLE LIGHTNING NEAR SPOTTERS HOME.
&&
FUCHSSpecial weather statement, Oct 1, 8:53 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 853 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 MOZ051-060-020230- MONTGOMERY MO-WARREN MO- 853 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WARREN AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT... AT 851 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIG SPRING...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HERMANN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... WARRENTON... BIG SPRING... TRUESDALE... THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT... INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI FROM EXIT 188 TO EXIT 193. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED ROADWAY. BYRD
The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Cole, Moniteau | 49 min |
| Oct 1, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Cole, Osage | 48 min |
| Oct 2, 1:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls | 48 min |
| Oct 2, 2:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Montgomery, Saint Charles, Warren | 27 min |
| Oct 2, 2:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 26 min |
| Oct 2, 3:01 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Lincoln | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 6:32 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 66 hr |
| Oct 2, 7:11 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Boone, Moniteau | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 8:47 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Lincoln | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:13 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 4 days |
| Oct 2, 9:43 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Boone, Moniteau | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 10:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Charles | 53 hr |
| Oct 2, 10:17 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Montgomery | 6 days |
| Oct 2, 11:09 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 2:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 51 min |
| Oct 2, 2:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Franklin | 51 min |
| Oct 2, 3:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Washington | 31 min |
| Oct 2, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson, Saint Louis | 38 min |
| Oct 2, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Jefferson, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 32 min |
| Oct 2, 4:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.