Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Louisville, KY

600 
WWUS53 KLMK 102001
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
401 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

KYC057-171-102015-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-140610T2015Z/
MONROE KY-CUMBERLAND KY-
301 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
SOUTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 259 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF
CELINA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURKESVILLE...PEYTONSBURG...JUDIO...MESHACK...STALCUP...LITTRELL...
FROGUE...CLOYDS LANDING...KETTLE...ARAT...TANBARK...ELLINGTON...
LESLIE...GRIDER...WATERVIEW...BOW...MARROWBONE...BAKERTON...MODOC AND
CLAYWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3688 8549 3689 8547 3694 8546 3685 8522
      3662 8530 3662 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 209DEG 31KT 3667 8551

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MJ

391 
WWUS53 KLMK 102014
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
414 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

KYC057-171-102023-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-140610T2015Z/
MONROE KY-CUMBERLAND KY-
314 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN
MONROE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 415 PM EDT/315 PM CDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

HOWEVER...TORRENTIAL RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM 
AND OTHER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION 
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3688 8549 3689 8547 3694 8546 3685 8522
      3662 8530 3662 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 209DEG 31KT 3676 8545

$$

MJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2014

.SHORT TERM (Now through Wednesday Night)...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #275 has been issued for the southeastern
third of our CWA until 9 PM EDT this evening. The best threat for a
bowing segment/damaging winds will be across our far southeast near
the Lake Cumberland region where low level lapse rates are steeper,
combined with a more well mixed BL. This shows up with higher DCAPE
values in the mesoanalysis. An isolated supercell also cannot be
ruled out in the watch area, although any tornado threat will remain
very low due to unfavorable low level shear parameters and higher
LCLs in the more unstable airmass SE. If storms continue to struggle
under weak mid level lapse rates for the next couple of hours, the
severe threat will diminish and watch may be able to be let go
early. Furthermore, counties on the western fringe of the watch will
likely be let go early as the weak line of storms moves east and
stabilizes the environment.

Showers and storms should continue to lift NE at a fast clip ahead
of the mid level impulse. This will bring an end to the more
widepsread rain chances from SW to NE later this afternoon/evening.
Will continue to keep isolated to scattered precipitation chances in
the forecast overnight, however coverage intensity should be less.
After all, models have been overdoing QPF a lot to this point. Look
for a mild overnight with lows in the 65-70 range.

The closed upper low will open up as it heads into the Great Lakes
on Wednesday, with the surface low tracking across central IN and
weakening. The trough axis will remain to our west through the
afternoon/evening so do expect another mainly diurnally driven
uptick in convection later in the day. Best coverage should be
across the eastern CWA where numerous showers and scattered storms
are expected. With the amount of cloud cover expected over the area,
look for upper 70s to around 80 for highs.

The upper trough axis will swing through Wednesday night, with only
an isolated shower possible as we lose daytime heating. Lows should
again be mild in the 65-70 range.

.LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2014

Thursday the upper trough that is forecast to bring showers/storms
to the area today/Wed will be on its way out.  Showers with isolated
t-storms may linger mainly east of I-65 for the first portion of the
day before moving east.

Thurs night into Friday an upper level trough will move through the
region bringing a chance of isld-sct showers and t-storms.  This
shortwave upper trough will get stuck slowly meandering across the
Gulf states and TN valley through the weekend.  Depending on it's
exact location, it may bring enough forcing/moisture to our area to
cause more showers/storms.  However, it's tough to pin down that
location.  Also, previous runs of the ECMWF indicated that an upper
level ridge would attempt to build over the region lending toward a
drier soln.  The 12Z run of the ECMWF looks more similar to the GFS
giving a flatter flow with more upper level shortwaves progged to
move through the region at least through the beginning of next
week.  Both models try to strengthen the upper ridge toward the
middle of next week.  With the lack of continuity between model
runs, confidence in precip chances and temps this weekend through
early next week are not that great.   Therefore stuck with some dry
periods and limited POPs to 20-30% Sat-Tues.

Temps look to gradually increase through the long term period.
We'll start out in the upper 70s to lower 80s for highs with the
upper trough near the region Thurs/Fri.  Temps will warm into the
mid 80s by the weekend and if/when the ridging comes in full force
we'll probably see highs increase to the upper 80s to around 90.
Low temperatures will range through the 60s...then low 70s as
ridging builds in.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 109 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2014

TAF sites are returning to VFR as the warm sector gets more
established over the area. However, the big concern will be shower
and storm chances later this afternoon and evening. A line of
showers and storms is beginning to organize to our south and will
move up into our area over the next several hours. BWG will be the
first to see showers and scattered thunderstorms with the best
timing between 2 and 6 PM CDT. SDF should expect the best time for
showers and scattered t-storms between 4 and 8 PM EDT. The best
timing for LEX would be between 5 and 10 PM EDT. Certainly,
conditions could drop into the low MVFR or IFR range with any storm.
In addition, some stronger winds gusts and heavy rain are possible.

Confidence is low as we move into the overnight, however low VFR or
high MVFR ceilings are expected, with scattered showers and a few
storms lingering. Chances for another round of -tsra look to go up
around dawn on Wednesday as another upper level disturbance moves
through. Winds should generally stay from a southerly direction
during this forecast cycle, with variations of about 30 degrees east
or west of south.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Short Term........BJS
Long Term.........AMS
Aviation..........BJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
315 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>039-045-053-061>063-070>073-111915-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-NELSON KY-LARUE KY-BUTLER KY-
EDMONSON KY-HART KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE
315 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014 /215 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AHEAD
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AS
A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH
LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT OCCURRENCES OF FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

KYZ040>043-046>049-054>057-064>067-074>078-081-082-111915-
WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-
MADISON KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-BARREN KY-
MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...
CARLISLE...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...
LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
315 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014 /215 PM CDT TUE JUN 10 2014/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 275 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY AHEAD AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THIS EVENING. MOST STORMS WILL REMAIN
BELOW SEVER LIMITS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED INSTANCE OF DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AS
A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH
LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT OCCURRENCES OF DAMAGING WINDS OR
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

BJS/AMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
339 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ALBANY                  36.69N  85.14W
06/10/2014                   CLINTON            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN ALBANY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1400634

MRC