Alert archive / Florida / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

June 15, 2014Suwannee County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2014, 3:08 PM EDT for Suwannee County, Florida. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2014, 3:08 PM EDT (19:08 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Jacksonville, FL

County Suwannee County, FL

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 868 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 1:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 1:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
140 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

.NEAR TERM.../THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/T-STORMS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE AREA BENEATH WEAK UPPER TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS.
APPEARS EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY MAKE SOME INLAND PROGRESS THIS
AFTERNOON...PERHAPS TO I-95 CORRIDOR LATE IN THE DAY. VERY WEAK
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES LIGHT NORTHEAST ALOFT AS SHEAR AXIS PASSES...MAY
MEAN END TO PRECIP THREAT I-95 EASTWARD TOWARD SUNSET...WITH BETTER
CHANCES FURTHER INLAND. SHOULD SEE ACTIVITY WIND DOWN A FEW HOURS
AFTER SUNSET. STRONGER CELLS MAY BE CAPABLE OF HAIL AND STRONG WINDS
GIVEN DRIER AIR ALOFT AND -8C 500MB TEMPS.

.SHORT TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE TROUGH MOVES SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY...AS A SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. WHILE A FEW POP UP STORMS CAN
NOT BE RULED OUT MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...MUCH OF
THE DAY THERE SHOULD BE DRY. LITTLE BETTER CHANCES OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDAY MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE BOUNDARY TO
FOCUS ON. HAVE CONFINED POPS ON TUESDAY TO THE FAR SOUTH AND WEST.
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF COUPLED WITH A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE COULD
GET CONVECTION GOING THERE...AND EAST/WEST SEA BREEZE COLLISION
COULD GET CONVECTION GOING FAR SOUTH. EXPECT ANY CONVECTION TO
DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET EACH EVENING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EAST OF THE REGION...ALONG WITH AN
UPPER HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURES FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK. WITH THIS PATTERN OF SUBSIDENCE
CONVECTION WILL HAVE A HARDER TIME GETTING INITIATED. FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY...EXPECT MUCH OF THE REGION TO BE DRY. THE EXCEPTION
MAY BE FAR WEST WHERE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF COUPLED WITH THE WEST
COAST SEA BREEZE COULD AID IN CONVECTION THERE. BETTER CHANCES
RETURN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TOWARD THE WEEKEND...WITH A RETURN
TO DAILY AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SINK SOUTH DURING THE PERIOD...WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE FLATTENING OUT BY NEXT WEEKEND. THEREFORE...
BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TOWARD
THE WEEKEND...WITH A RETURN TO DAILY AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION.

NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED...EXCEPT LOWER CONDITIONS
VICINITY OF TSRA. CONDITIONS MAY FAVOR WET MICROBURSTS BENEATH
STRONGER TSRA THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND BECOME THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS PATTERN FAIRLY LIGHT FLOW IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE...WITH LOWER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS PERIOD.

RIP CURRENTS...LOW RISK THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  69  91  69  92 /  40  20  10  10
SSI  74  83  74  83 /  20  20  10  10
JAX  70  88  71  88 /  30  20  10  10
SGJ  72  84  73  84 /  20  20  20  10
GNV  69  89  69  88 /  40  20  20  20
OCF  69  89  69  89 /  30  30  30  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

WOLF/STRUBLE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 5:02 AM EDT, 10 hours 6 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
502 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-160915-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
502 AM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

...SCATTERED STORMS TODAY WITH ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED STORMS WILL HAVE ERRATIC STORM MOTION TODAY DUE TO LIGHT
STEERING FLOW. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE. THE MAIN
HAZARDS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...THEN BELOW NORMAL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

JDS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 1:54 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
154 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

FLZ040-151830-
MARION-
154 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 154 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES EAST OF CITRA...MOVING EAST AT 5
MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SPARR...
LOWELL...CITRA...ANTHONY...FORT MCCOY AND BURBANK THROUGH 230 PM EDT.
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2932 8221 2945 8208 2944 8206 2946 8206
      2947 8180 2918 8190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 287DEG 5KT 2940 8204

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 2:48 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
248 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

FLZ037-040-151930-
MARION-PUTNAM-
248 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUTNAM AND
MARION COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 330 PM
EDT...

AT 248 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER SALT SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.
THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND LAKE
DELANCY...SALT SPRINGS...WELAKA...FRUITLAND...GEORGETOWN...POMONA
PARK...LAKE COMO AND CRESCENT CITY THROUGH 330 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO
THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2947 8191 2957 8152 2951 8152 2948 8150
      2937 8149 2932 8167 2928 8164 2922 8164
      2922 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 276DEG 8KT 2937 8171

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:02 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

GAZ136-152-153-151945-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-WAYNE-
302 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WAYNE...
BRANTLEY AND GLYNN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID
UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 303 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER GARDI...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. THESE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND JESUP...
DOCTORTOWN...GARDI...BROADHURST...MOUNT PLEASANT...THALMANN...EVERETT
AND HORTENSE THROUGH 345 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN
DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3176 8191 3173 8190 3167 8184 3166 8181
      3158 8169 3149 8164 3148 8161 3142 8160
      3137 8153 3132 8150 3129 8151 3128 8201
      3130 8199 3134 8203 3180 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 001DEG 14KT 3154 8181

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:08 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
308 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

FLZ021-022-152000-
COLUMBIA-SUWANNEE-
308 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COLUMBIA AND
SUWANNEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 400 PM
EDT...

AT 308 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF HILDRETH...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT
AREAS AROUND GRADY...OBRIEN...BRANFORD...HILDRETH...ICHETUCKNEE
SPRING...COLUMBIA AND FORT WHITE THROUGH 400 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3009 8308 3015 8249 3002 8255 3001 8257
      2998 8257 2984 8264 2987 8275 2993 8279
      2991 8286 2993 8293 2995 8293 2996 8296
      2999 8297 3001 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 293DEG 8KT 3000 8282

STRUBLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Marion	36 min
Jun 15, 2:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Putnam	42 min
Jun 15, 3:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Gilchrist	50 min
Jun 15, 3:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Marion	52 min
Jun 15, 3:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Alachua, Gilchrist	38 min
Jun 15, 3:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Union	51 min
Jun 15, 3:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Alachua	49 min
Jun 15, 4:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Saint Johns	43 min
Jun 15, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Clay, Putnam, Saint Johns	33 min
Jun 15, 4:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Alachua	53 min
Jun 15, 4:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Columbia	40 min
Jun 15, 4:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Flagler, Putnam, Saint Johns	47 min
Jun 15, 5:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Nassau	46 min
Jun 15, 5:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Bradford, Clay	38 min
Jun 15, 5:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Clay	30 min
Jun 15, 3:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Wayne	43 min
Jun 15, 4:42 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Wayne	2 hr
Jun 15, 4:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Pierce	48 min
Jun 15, 5:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Bacon	51 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Florida, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.