Severe Thunderstorm Warning 210, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
140 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

.MARINE...

UPDATED TO SMALL CRAFT INNER BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS. THE
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS ELEVATED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  62  75  55  75 /  80  10   0   0
SSI  67  77  60  74 /  80  20   0   0
JAX  67  79  57  77 /  80  30   0   0
SGJ  69  80  60  77 /  80  80  10   0
GNV  66  78  57  78 /  80  30   0   0
OCF  68  80  58  79 /  80  70   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO
     FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

STRUBLE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
216 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-142300-
ALACHUA-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-APPLING-ATKINSON-
BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-
CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-
PIERCE-PUTNAM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-
WARE-WAYNE-
216 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
301 THROUGH 7 PM...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
301 THROUGH 7 PM...

THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 70 MPH...AS WELL AS LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER THE OFFSHORE COASTAL
WATERS.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES DUE
TO LONG PERIOD SWELLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
154 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

FLZ020-022-141830-
COLUMBIA-HAMILTON-
154 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COLUMBIA AND
HAMILTON COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 155 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF BELMONT TO 3 MILES SOUTH OF WINFIELD TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT
WHITE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND WHITE SPRINGS...WINFIELD...SUWANNEE VALLEY...LAKE
CITY...BELMONT...FORT WHITE...FIVE POINTS...COLUMBIA AND WATERTOWN
THROUGH 230 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3058 8246 3011 8245 3008 8251 3003 8253
      3001 8257 2998 8257 2994 8253 2991 8258
      2987 8259 2983 8264 2985 8273 2994 8280
      2997 8276 2999 8279 3006 8280 3023 8274
      3060 8288 3061 8287
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 274DEG 31KT 3057 8276 3022 8262
          2977 8278

SANDRIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

GAZ132-134-149-150-141845-
ATKINSON-BACON-COFFEE-WARE-
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WARE...
ATKINSON...BACON AND COFFEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL
VALID UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 200 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 7 MILES SOUTH OF BICKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
BICKLEY...NICHOLLS...NEW LACY AND ALMA THROUGH 245 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO
THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3169 8248 3166 8244 3164 8240 3163 8236
      3158 8229 3123 8257 3131 8276 3168 8255
      3168 8252 3171 8252
TIME...MOT...LOC 1800Z 209DEG 20KT 3133 8262

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

FLZ022-023-030-031-035-036-141900-
ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-UNION-
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRADFORD...
BAKER...ALACHUA...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST AND UNION COUNTIES FOR STRONG
WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

AT 221 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TAYLOR TO 3 MILES SOUTH OF OLUSTEE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEWBERRY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PROVIDENCE...PALESTINE COMMUNITY...
TRENTON...WATERTOWN...OLENO STATE PARK...LULU...LAKE CITY...
OLUSTEE...BELL AND FORT WHITE THROUGH 300 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 2982 8294 2997 8276 3007 8279 3018 8271
      3032 8274 3033 8269 3039 8265 3045 8266
      3052 8273 3060 8269 3057 8223 3053 8224
      3039 8220 3036 8217 3036 8205 2970 8210
      2955 8254 2961 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 270DEG 26KT 3056 8239 3015 8239
          2970 8269

SANDRIK

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