Severe Thunderstorm Warning 207, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
140 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

.MARINE...

UPDATED TO SMALL CRAFT INNER BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS. THE
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS ELEVATED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  62  75  55  75 /  80  10   0   0
SSI  67  77  60  74 /  80  20   0   0
JAX  67  79  57  77 /  80  30   0   0
SGJ  69  80  60  77 /  80  80  10   0
GNV  66  78  57  78 /  80  30   0   0
OCF  68  80  58  79 /  80  70   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO
     FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

STRUBLE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
142 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-142300-
ALACHUA-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-APPLING-ATKINSON-
BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-
CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-
PIERCE-PUTNAM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-
WARE-WAYNE-
142 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
301 THROUGH 7 PM...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 547 GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
301 THROUGH 7 PM.

THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 70 MPH...AS WELL AS LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES DUE
TO LONG PERIOD SWELLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
100 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

FLZ020-021-141730-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-
100 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAMILTON AND
SUWANNEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 100 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTHWEST
OF BLUE SPRINGS TO 4 MILES WEST OF DOWLING PARK TO 17 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF LURAVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND DOWLING PARK...SUWANNEE RIVER STATION...
NEWBURN...LURAVILLE...BLUE SPRINGS...SUWANNEE RIVER STATION...WEST
LAKE...CROSSROADS AND JENNINGS THROUGH 130 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3064 8327 3060 8270 3052 8273 3045 8266
      3039 8265 3033 8269 3032 8279 2999 8279
      2997 8276 2988 8288 2989 8292 2995 8293
      3008 8308 3011 8323 3026 8326 3041 8318
      3042 8323 3047 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1700Z 258DEG 32KT 3062 8330 3026 8321
          2995 8325

SANDRIK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
114 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

GAZ162-163-141800-
CLINCH-ECHOLS-
114 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEST CLINCH
AND WEST ECHOLS COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 111 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST
OF MAYDAY TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STATENVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND STATENVILLE
AND MAYDAY THROUGH 200 PM EDT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH MINOR WIND DAMAGE. IF THE LINE INTENSIFIES
FURTHER THEN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3079 8314 3081 8311 3086 8309 3086 8302
      3088 8298 3118 8298 3119 8296 3118 8288
      3061 8296 3062 8313 3063 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 252DEG 19KT 3104 8327 3053 8335

SHASHY