River Flood Warning 47, NWS Jackson, MS

729 
WGUS84 KJAN 140035
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
735 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT SHUBUTA AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-150635-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140416T2145Z-140418T0936Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140416T2145Z.140417T0600Z.140417T1836Z.NO/
735 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN RISING ON MONDAY AND WILL CREST
  NEAR 26 FEET ON THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  13.7 SUN  7 PM  13.6  18.6  23.6  26.0  1 AM  4/17

&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             

$$

MSC023-150609-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-140415T0609Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.140409T1630Z.140411T2230Z.140414T0009Z.NO/
735 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT SHUBUTA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.4 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
  HEAVY RAIN ON MONDAY MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL RISES LATER ON THIS
  WEEK.
* IMPACT...AT 30 FEET...MINOR FLOODING...WATER FLOWING OVER RIGHT 
  BANK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
SHUBUTA        30  31.4 SUN  5 AM  29.1  28.7  29.2      FALLING

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             

$$

DL

909 
WGUS44 KJAN 141508
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1008 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-152108-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140415T1642Z-140418T1742Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.140415T1642Z.140417T0000Z.140418T0242Z.NO/
1008 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO COVER SEVERAL STREETS AND
  ROADS.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  13.7 MON 09 AM  22.8  28.1  28.4  30.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

110 
WGUS84 KJAN 150254
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0000Z-140417T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.140417T0000Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   7.1 MON 09 PM   8.4  10.5  12.4  13.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-160854-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140416T1251Z-140418T1914Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140416T1251Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0414Z.NO/
954 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  21.1 MON 09 PM  22.7  24.8  28.3  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

275 
WGUS84 KJAN 150745
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
245 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING 
BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-161345-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140415T2000Z-140418T1914Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T2000Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0414Z.NO/
245 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...THE RIVER IS OVERFLOWING ITS BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF THE CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  23.1 TUE 02 AM  27.8  28.3  22.2  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

041 
WGUS84 KJAN 151451
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-162051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140418T0300Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T1200Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW BANKS.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.7 TUE 09 AM  10.5  13.0  11.0  13.0 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-162050-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.140415T1602Z-140418T2349Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1602Z.140417T0600Z.140418T0849Z.NO/
951 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  24.6 TUE 09 AM  27.4  28.3  24.1  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

675 
WGUS84 KJAN 160235
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0049.140417T0600Z-140417T2100Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.140417T0600Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND FLOODING IS 
  BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG AND NEAR THE CREEK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL         13   9.9 TUE 09 PM  10.8  12.8  11.1  13.0 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-170835-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140419T0109Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140417T0600Z.140418T1009Z.NO/
935 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  26.2 TUE 09 PM  27.3  28.3  24.6  28.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

458 
WGUS84 KJAN 161448
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
948 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-172048-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140419T0652Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140418T0000Z.140418T1552Z.NO/
948 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  26.7 WED 09 AM  27.2  26.1  17.8  27.5 07 PM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

265 
WGUS84 KJAN 170212
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-180812-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140419T0916Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140418T0000Z.140418T1816Z.NO/
912 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  26.7 WED 08 PM  27.1  26.5  17.7  27.5 07 PM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

524 
WGUS84 KJAN 171322
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
822 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-181500-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140418T1500Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140416T1645Z.140418T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET AND FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO OVERFLOW BANKS FROM THE 
  CONFLUENCE OF CHUNKY RIVER AND OKATIBBEE CREEK TO APPROXIMATELY 3 
  MILES DOWNSTREAM.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  26.1 THU  8 AM  23.0  18.5  16.0      FALLING

&&

LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             

$$

DL

427 
WGUS84 KJAN 180129
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
829 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-180159-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140418T1500Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.140415T1625Z.140416T1645Z.140417T2210Z.NO/
829 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:10 PM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 18.6 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE     25  24.5 THU 08 PM  22.9  18.6  16.0   FALLING    


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
931 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

..PERIODS OF POTENT STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY EVENING...

.UPDATE...GOING FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE THIS MORNING. WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE DELTA LOOKS GOOD WHERE WE COULD SEE OCCASIONAL
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED WITH THIS UPDATE. /BK/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 450 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014/

SHORT TERM...THIS FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE FOCUSED ON THE
SEVERE/HEAVY RAIN EVENT WHICH WILL COME IN TWO PHASES. FIRST ROUND
WILL BE LATER TONIGHT WITH MORE ACTIVITY ON MONDAY (ESPECIALLY THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING).

TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
LOOK FOR A MIX OF LOWER CLOUDS ALONG WITH HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. HIGHS
WILL TOP OUT AROUND 80 DEGREES. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. STRONGER
WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NW DELTA AND A WIND ADV HAS BEEN ISSUED.

FOR THE ACTIVE PERIOD (AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
EVE)...FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT AND SHOW A SIMILAR
EVOLUTION TO WHAT HAS BEEN ADVERTISED WITH THE DUAL S/WV FEATURES
DRIVING THE EVENTS. WHAT IS NEW IS THE MODEL OUTPUT FROM THE VARIOUS
HI-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS. IT IS THIS DATA THAT IS HELPING
US SORT THROUGH THE LARGER PICTURE AND COME UP WITH A EVOLUTION TO
THE CONVECTION AND WHAT IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE. OVERALL...THIS WILL BE
A COMPLEX SITUATION AND THE SECOND EVENT FOR MONDAY WILL BE HIGHLY
DRIVEN BY WHAT HAS OCCURRED FROM THE FIRST EVENT AND MESOSCALE
EVOLUTION IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONG S/WV APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

THE FIRST EVENT...ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE STRONG CAP WILL KEEP
THE ARE QUIET UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THIS IS WHEN THE LEAD S/WV
COMBINES WITH THE NORTHWARD SURGING MOIST AXIS. FIGURING OUT WHAT
VALUE OF INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO UTILIZE IS A BIG
CHALLENGE. SOME OF THE GUID SUGGESTS THE W HALF WILL HAVE SBCAPE OF
600-1000 J/KG WHILE OTHERS ARE MORE TAME AND ONLY OFFER 200-600
J/KG. OBSERVED INSTABILITY ON THE LOW END OF THAT RANGE WILL KEEP
STORM MORE ON THE STRONG SIDE (I PREFER SOMETHING IN BETWEEN). WIND
SHEAR WILL BE ON THE HIGH SIDE WITH 0-1KM SRH OF 300-500 M2/S2 AND
SOLID DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 50 KTS. THE VARIOUS HI-RES MODELS INDICATE
A MIXED-MODE EVENT WITH SOME SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH SOME BOWING
CLUSTERS DEVELOPING JUST TO OUR W AND MOVING GENERALLY NE. THERE IS
ALSO INDICATIONS THAT A SE PUSHING LARGE BOWING FEATURE WILL MOVE
OUT OF AR AND INTERACT WITH THE NE EVOLVING CLUSTER. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES WITH A SECONDARY THREAT
OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL. I WOULD ALSO LIKE TO NOTE THAT A STRONG
TORNADO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IF ANY STORM CAN OCCUR IN AN AREA
OF HIGHER CAPE. AT THIS POINT CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS LOW
AND WILL NOT BE MENTIONED IN THE OFFICIAL OUTLOOK PRODUCTS. THE MAIN
TIME FOR THIS WILL BE FROM MIDNIGHT TO 8AM.

BEFORE THE SECOND ROUND GETS GOING...INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOME
BACKBUILDING REMAINS A POSSIBILITY. IT WILL BE DURING THIS TIME
WHERE SOME OF THE HIGHEST RAINFALL MAY OCCUR. MY BEST GUESS ON THIS
IS BETWEEN 6-10AM FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TO E-CENTRAL AND NE MS.

THE LEFT OVER SFC REGIME WILL LIKELY BE VERY COMPLEX WITH A COUPLE
SFC BOUNDARIES LINGERING OVER THE AREA. THESE WILL SERVE AS KEY
FOCUS POINTS FOR LATER IN THE DAY. THE ATMOSPHERE JUST TO OUR W WILL
BE ONE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND VERY JUICY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. IT
WILL NOT TAKE MUCH FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO RECOVER AND LITTLE SFC
HEATING WILL YIELD SBCAPE OF 2000-2500 J/KG. LITTLE TO NO CAP WILL
BE PRESENT AND WITH STEADILY INCREASING ASCENT FROM MIDDAY INTO THE
EVENING...LOOK FOR STORMS TO EASILY DEVELOP AND BECOME SEVERE.
INITIALLY THE MORE SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO A MORE
ORGANIZED CLUSTER OR CLUSTERS OF STORMS. ONE ELEMENT THAT HAS
CHANGED FROM PREV OUTLOOKS IS THAT SLIGHTLY BETTER LOW LEVEL SHEAR
LOOKS TO LINGER ACROSS THE SE/E PORTIONS DURING THE DAY. DUE TO
THIS...A LIMITED RISK OF TORNADOES WILL EXIST ON MONDAY FOR THOSE
AREAS. BY FAR...THE MAIN THREATS MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVE WILL BE FROM
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

THE HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING THREAT WILL ALSO LINGER INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS
MORE STORMS JUST ADD TO THE TOTALS FROM THE EARLIER EVENT. EVENT
TOTALS OF 1-3 INCHES SEEM TO FIT WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF
3-5 INCHES REMAIN POSSIBLE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW THE ELEVATED
FLOODING THREAT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...BUT WILL FEEL A MORE FOCUSED
AREA CAN NOW BE HIGHLIGHTED WHERE THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE MORE LIKELY.

LASTLY...MUCH MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT MON EVE
AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPS WILL DROP SOME 20-25 DEGREES QUICKLY WITH LOWS
ON THEIR WAY TO THE UPPER 30S NW TO MID 40S SE. /CME/

LONG TERM...TUESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...MODELS GENERALLY SHOW
SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE 925 MB TEMPS POURING SOUTH INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY TUESDAY MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...WHICH IS
ABOUT 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL. ANY LINGERING SHOWERS IN
EASTERN ZONES OF MS SHOULD EXIT QUICKLY AFTER DAYBREAK WITH A
MAJORITY OF THE CLOUDS TEMPORARILY EXITING AS WELL. HOWEVER...COLD
AIR ADVECTION IN THE LOWER PORTION OF THE TROPOSPHERE SHOULD DRIVE
PATCHY STRATOCU DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AND LIMIT
SUNSHINE A BIT. WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY AND BITING FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITH CONFIDENCE INCREASING ALL BUT PERHAPS SOUTHEAST MS
LOCATIONS NOT REACHING THE 60 MARK IN THE AFTERNOON.

THE UNSEASONABLY CHILLY DAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A COLD NIGHT AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AT THE SURFACE SLIDES DOWN INTO OUR REGION AND
SHUTS DOWN NORTHWEST WINDS GRADUALLY AND SKIES REMAIN CLEAR. THE
CONSENSUS OF MODEL OUTPUT STATISTIC TEMPERATURE EXPECTATIONS HAS
AGAIN TRENDED COLDER...WITH READINGS BY DAWN LIKELY RANGING FROM 30
TO 35 DEGREES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW
FOR FROST FORMATION IN MANY AREAS WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL
IMPACT ON TENDER EXPOSED VEGETATION. IF A FREEZE IS ACHIEVED AT THE
JACKSON AIRPORT IT WILL BE THE SECOND LATEST SPRING FREEZE ON
RECORD. IN THE BELOW CLIMATE SECTION MORE COMPREHENSIVE FREEZE
RECORD VERSUS FORECAST INFORMATION WILL BE GIVEN. WE WILL INCLUDE
MENTION OF THIS HAZARD IN GRAPHICS AND THE HWO.

CONDITIONS WILL THANKFULLY BE WARMING UP ON WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH IT
WILL PROBABLY TAKE UNTIL THURSDAY TO MAKE IT BACK CLOSE TO AVERAGE
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF APRIL. HIGHER CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SOME
DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGY AGAIN DIGS A BIT
BACK TO OUR WEST.

THE OPERATIONAL GFS MODEL AND A FAIR NUMBER OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
STILL SEEM TO BE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN RESOLVING THIS NEXT BATCH OF
INCOMING TROUGH ENERGY IN SIZABLE RAIN CHANCES OVER AN EXTENDED
PERIOD FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. CONVERSELY...THE MORE
TRUSTWORTHY LONG RANGE MODEL PERFORMER WHICH IS THE EUROPEAN MODEL
IS NOT IS NOT SO GUNG HO. PART OF THE REASON (BEYOND PAST
PERFORMANCE LOGIC) TO THINK THE EURO HAS THE RIGHT IDEA IS THAT THE
INCOMING TROUGH SEEMS TO BE LOOSELY LINKED TO A GLOBAL EQUATORIAL
OSCILLATION AND TRIGGERING A BULK OF CONVECTION AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE WAY TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF COAST. FOR NOW I CUT BACK
MEX (GFS-BASED) POPS ALTHOUGH STILL KEEP SOME SMALL CHANCES OF RAIN
IN PLAY.

BEYOND THE END OF THE WORK WEEK THE FORECAST LOOKS MORE MUDDLED INTO
NEXT WEEKEND WITH CONFLICTING MODEL SIGNALS. HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT
THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR NEXT WEEKEND TO COME AROUND WITH NO
PROSPECT OF INCLEMENT WEATHER. /BB/

&&

.CLIMATE...

STATION//4/16 FORECAST LOW//DAILY RECORD(DATE)//LATEST FREEZE

JAN    //       34        //     33 (1983)    //  4/25/1910
MEI    //       30        //     32 (2007)    //  4/25/1910
GLH    //       35        //     32 (1926)    //  4/16/1926
GWO    //       31        //     35 (2007)    //  4/15/2008
TVR    //       33        //     33 (2007)    //  4/21/1953
HBG    //       34        //     34 (1950)    //  4/15/1950

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR-VFR CEILINGS WILL BREAK UP TO VFR CONDITIONS BY
17Z. THE ISSUE FOR THE AFTERNOON WILL BE THE BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE NW SITES WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
AROUND 22KTS AND GUSTS TO 32KTS. WILL HAVE RESTRICTED CONDITIONS AND
STORM POTENTIAL AFTER 06Z. /17/CME/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       81  67  78  40 /   9  96  96  80
MERIDIAN      82  65  81  45 /   6  74  99  99
VICKSBURG     81  67  76  39 /  11  97  85  68
HATTIESBURG   82  66  83  46 /   6  62  83  88
NATCHEZ       80  68  77  39 /   9  93  83  70
GREENVILLE    79  65  75  36 /  12  95  83  59
GREENWOOD     82  65  76  37 /  12  97  88  71

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025-034-
     035-040-041.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

BK/17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
557 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>037-
040>044-047>050-053>056-059>065-072>074-141100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-
LAMAR-FORREST-
557 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT

SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO A RANGE OF 15 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
GUSTY INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS DELTA WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE HIGHEST.

CLUSTERS OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
THE AREA FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE MAIN RISK
WITH SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS AND TORNADOES.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND
GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE FOR LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR MONDAY INTO MONDAY
EVENING.

TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR ON MONDAY.

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND
GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE FOR LOCATIONS
NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR ON MONDAY.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-066-141100-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES-
557 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT

CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS GUSTS. A FEW TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND
GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE FOR LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR MONDAY INTO MONDAY
EVENING.

TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR ON MONDAY.

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND
GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE FOR LOCATIONS
NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR ON MONDAY.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
EXTREME...SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH OR GREATER OR WIND GUSTS 65 MPH
 OR GREATER.
HIGH...SUSTAINED WINDS 40-49 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 58-64 MPH.
ELEVATED...SUSTAINED WINDS 30-39 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 45-57 MPH.
LIMITED...SUSTAINED WINDS 20-29 MPH OR WIND GUSTS 30 TO 44 MPH.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!