Flash Flood Warning 104, NWS Jackson, MS

050 
WGUS74 KJAN 200007
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
707 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

MSC101-200215-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0104.000000T0000Z-140820T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEWTON MS-
707 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN NEWTON COUNTY...

AT 706 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO FOUR 
INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST TWO HOURS. FLOODING HAS RECENTLY 
BEEN REPORTED BY LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT ALONG HIGHWAY 80 IN THE CITY 
OF NEWTON. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CONEHATTA

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE 
NEXT HOUR WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH POSSIBLE IN SOME SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 8892 3222 8896 3222 8915 3228 8931
      3231 8933 3248 8932 3242 8905 3234 8892
      3229 8891

$$

BYB

787 
WGUS74 KJAN 200103
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
803 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

MSC101-200112-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0104.000000T0000Z-140820T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEWTON MS-
803 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHERN NEWTON
COUNTY...

HEAVY RAIN ENDED A WHILE AGO ACROSS THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREA AND 
TEMPORARILY HIGH WATER LEVELS HAVE HAD TIME TO RECEDE. 

LAT...LON 3225 8892 3222 8896 3222 8915 3228 8931
      3231 8933 3248 8932 3242 8905 3234 8892
      3229 8891

$$

BYB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
346 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY

BIG STORY THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE BUILDING HEAT STRESS ACROSS THE
ARKLAMISS AS HEAT INDICES CLIMB NEAR 105F TOMORROW AND INTO THE
104-109F RANGE ON THURSDAY WITH DWINDLING RAIN CHANCES.

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY CONFINED
IN EAST MS WITH EVEN LESS ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL MS. COVERAGE HAS
BEEN HAMPERED AS COLUMN HEIGHT RISES HAVE BEGUN OVER THE REGION AND
WITH A LACK OF ANY FORCING MECHANISM.  RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN OVER
THE REGION TOMORROW AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS WILL ACT TO
INCREASE TEMPERATURES TO THE HIGHEST SEEN SO FAR THIS SUMMER AND
MAKE RAIN CHANCES QUITE MINIMAL TO NIL. HOWEVER FOR TOMORROW, THERE
COULD BE SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE FAR SOUTH OWING FROM
SEA-BREEZE ACTIVITY BUT THE REST OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN DRY. EVEN
LESS COVERAGE IS EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ON THE RISE.

TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S THROUGH MID WEEK
AND WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY MIXING OUT TO NEAR 70F; DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL BECOME A HAZARD. HAVE PLACED AN ELEVATED RISK OF HEAT
STRESS AS HEAT INDICES OF 105-109F RANGE LOOK TO OCCUR THURSDAY IN
THE DELTA. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR HEAT ADVISORY BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS
STILL LOOK TO DROP BELOW 75F EACH NIGHT. THIS PATTERN COULD PERSIST
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH DAILY HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AS
BOTH EC/GFS HOLD ON TO STRONG 594DM RIDGING. /ALLEN/

FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...

HOTTER AND DRIER THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BECOME
CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF OUR CWA WHILE THE LARGE MID LEVEL HIGH
STRENGTHENS AND BECOMES CENTERED OVER OUR CWA BY FRIDAY. A RATHER
MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH PWS OF 1.7-1.8 INCHES AND SURFACE
DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S. THE NORMAL AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE AROUND
92F AND TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT THURSDAY ABOVE NORMAL AT 95-97F AT
MOST SITES. MODEL CONSENSUS IS A LITTLE SLOWER IN BREAKING DOWN THE
LARGE RIDGE OVER OUR AREA UNTIL IT BEGINS SHIFTING EAST MONDAY. AS A
RESULT HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO MONDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 90S
EACH DAY WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH HUMIDITY TO RESULT IN HEAT INDEX
VALUES PEAKING AROUND 105 FOR SEVERAL HOURS EACH AFTERNOON. A HEAT
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED BY THE END OF THE WEEK IF GREATER HUMIDITY CAN
BE MAINTAINED INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS
EAST MONDAY OUR SOUTHERN ZONES WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS BY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE ALSO IN PART TO THE SEA BREEZE FRONT
PUSHING INTO THE AREA. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT MOST SITES
THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS AGAIN DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON...MUCH OF IT CURRENTLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 55
CORRIDOR. THIS COULD RESULT IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS
AND/OR VISIBILITIES IF CONVECTION IS OBSERVED WITHIN A TAF SITE'S
RESPECTED AERODROME. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING...WITH ANOTHER BOUT OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES
POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO LOW STRATUS AND/OR PATCHY
FOG. WINDS TODAY WILL BE WEST SOUTHWESTERLY BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS...AND
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO LIGHT TO CALM TONIGHT. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       74  95  74  97 /  16  14   5   6
MERIDIAN      72  95  72  97 /  16  13   5   5
VICKSBURG     72  95  72  96 /  16  13   5   6
HATTIESBURG   74  95  74  98 /  16  26   5  12
NATCHEZ       73  95  73  94 /  16  24   5  14
GREENVILLE    74  96  74  97 /  16   9   5   6
GREENWOOD     73  95  73  97 /  16  11   5   6

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

ALLEN/22/19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
248 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
202000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
248 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

EXCESSIVE HEAT
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR DANGEROUS AFTERNOON HEAT AND HUMIDITY
WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 105
DEGREES FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 109
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE DELTA REGION. HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND
105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BOTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 105 DEGREES FOR
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

19/CME

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*EXCESSIVE HEAT*
EXTREME...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 115
 DEGREES OR MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 105
 DEGREES FOR 5 CONSECUTIVE DAYS.
HIGH...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX 110 TO 114 DEGREES OR MAXIMUM HEAT
 INDEX GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 105 DEGREES FOR 4 CONSECUTIVE
 DAYS.
ELEVATED...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX 105 TO 109 DEGREES OR MAXIMUM HEAT
 INDEX GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 100 DEGREES FOR 4 CONSECUTIVE
 DAYS.
LIMITED...MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX NEAR 105 DEGREES FOR ONE TO THREE
 DAYS.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

MSZ039-192120-
NOXUBEE MS-
348 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM NORTHEAST OF MACON...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO
50 MPH WIND GUSTS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF PRAIRIE POINT AT 348
PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN NOXUBEE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3301 8833 3300 8835 3318 8855 3329 8842
      3329 8837 3324 8830
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 314DEG 14KT 3318 8839

BYB

MSZ045-192150-
NESHOBA MS-
421 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
421 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM JUST SOUTH OF PHILADELPHIA...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO
50 MPH WIND GUSTS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF BETHSAIDA AT 421
PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN NESHOBA COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3258 8912 3270 8922 3282 8906 3269 8891
      3258 8891
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 320DEG 14KT 3269 8907

BYB

MSZ051-192300-
NEWTON MS-
519 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
519 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...STRONG STORM NEAR HICKORY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS WAS LOCATED OVER HICKORY AT 519 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3222 8897 3228 8914 3245 8908 3242 8892
      3236 8892 3231 8891 3222 8892
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 287DEG 10KT 3234 8901

BYB

MSZ050-192300-
SCOTT MS-
523 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM JUST SOUTH OF MORTON...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO
50 MPH WIND GUSTS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF MORTON AT 522 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3227 8942 3222 8944 3222 8973 3236 8973
      3237 8974 3238 8974 3241 8972 3234 8939
      3233 8939
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 290DEG 7KT 3230 8966

BYB

LAZ024-026-MSZ060-192305-
ADAMS MS-CONCORDIA LA-CATAHOULA LA-
527 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
527 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...STRONG STORMS PUSHING THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 45 MPH WIND
GUSTS WAS LOCATED FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LARTO TO 9 MILES EAST OF
BLACK HAWK AT 526 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTY...AND SOUTHWESTERN CATAHOULA AND
SOUTHERN CONCORDIA PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3131 9201 3152 9202 3156 9199 3134 9136
      3131 9146 3122 9149 3121 9152 3123 9156
      3121 9158 3111 9162 3106 9157 3112 9173
      3119 9169 3122 9179 3129 9189 3128 9194
      3122 9192 3123 9200 3129 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 205DEG 10KT 3132 9201 3113 9148

BYB

LAZ009-MSZ040-041-192310-
SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-EAST CARROLL LA-
532 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
532 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS STRADDLING THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 45 MPH WIND GUSTS
WAS LOCATED FROM 8 MILES WEST OF LAKE PROVIDENCE TO 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF ONWARD AT 531 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHERN SHARKEY COUNTIES...AND
CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3273 9137 3275 9135 3286 9134 3289 9126
      3286 9095 3275 9073 3272 9074 3271 9069
      3265 9123
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 286DEG 7KT 3279 9131 3277 9097

BYB