Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Northern Indiana

057 
WGUS73 KIWX 221044
FFSIWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
644 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

INC001-179-OHC161-221300-
/O.CON.KIWX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140822T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IN-WELLS IN-VAN WERT OH-
644 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN VAN WERT...NORTHEASTERN WELLS AND NORTHERN ADAMS
COUNTIES...

AT 637 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA... 
HOWEVER RADAR ALSO INDICATED THAT OVER 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN 
IN THE AREA SINCE YESTERDAY... WITH OVER 2 INCHES FALLING IN A ABOUT 
TWO HOURS EARLY THIS MORNING. FLOODING FROM THIS HEAVY RAIN 
MAY PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DECATUR

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. 

&&

LAT...LON 4092 8522 4094 8499 4093 8490 4073 8457
      4072 8479 4063 8480

$$

TAYLOR

689 
WGUS73 KIWX 221304
FFSIWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
904 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

INC001-179-OHC161-221314-
/O.EXP.KIWX.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-140822T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IN-WELLS IN-VAN WERT OH-
904 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHWESTERN VAN WERT...
NORTHEASTERN WELLS AND NORTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA. THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...RUNOFF 
FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD SOME PONDING 
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS THIS MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION 
WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING.

LAT...LON 4092 8522 4094 8499 4093 8490 4073 8457
      4072 8479 4063 8480

$$

MARSILI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
446 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 310 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. WITH DAYTIME HEATING... THERE
IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AND
LINGERING INTO TONIGHT. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 80S WITH
LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 434 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...INCREASED FLASH FLOOD THREAT IN LOCALIZED AREAS NEXT 3 TO 6
HOURS...

MAIN FOCUS OF FORECAST WILL BE ON NEAR TERM WITH EXPANDING AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA
WITH POTENTIAL TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOWER MI AND NW
OHIO. BAND OF SLOW MOVING SHOWERS/STORMS WAS LOCATED FROM THE
CHICAGO SUBURBS INTO NW INDIANA SOUTHEAST INTO PORTIONS OF WEST
CENTRAL OHIO. LOTS OF BACKBUILDING HAS BEEN OCCURRING WITH CORFIDI
VECTORS SHOWING ONLY SLOW ESE MOVEMENT. HIGH RES MODELS EARLIER THIS
EVENING KEYED IN ON THIS AND ARE COMING TO FRUITION. EXPECTED THIS
TO CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS
MODELS SUGGEST 30 KT LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND WEAK
MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
EXITS. DISCUSSION HAS TAKEN PLACE REGARDING THE NEED FOR A
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HEAVIEST POCKETS OF RAINFALL HAVE BEEN
CONFINED TO NARROW BANDS BUT HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER THE SAME AREAS
IMPACTED YESTERDAY. GIVEN EVENT IS ONGOING...SEE NO MAJOR VALUE IN
HOISTING A WATCH WHEN POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IN MANY AREAS UNTIL MAYBE TONIGHT. EVEN THIS SCENARIO IS
UNCERTAIN WITH MANY QUESTIONS AS TO WHERE THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL
LIE AFTER BEING MODULATED SOUTHWARD FROM ONGOING CONVECTION. SPC 4KM
WRF 00Z ACTUALLY HAD A DECENT HANDLE ON CURRENT SETUP AND PUSHES
FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA. OTHER MODELS VARY FROM ADDITIONAL RAIN
LATER TODAY/TONIGHT TO NOTHING. WILL DEFER ANY WATCHES TO DAY SHIFT
AND HANDLE IMMEDIATE CONCERNS WITH ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS AS NEEDED.

WITH THE ABOVE CONCERNS...POPS HAVE BEEN LEFT IN THE SLGT CHC TO CHC
RANGE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON AMOUNT OF
CLOUD COVER REMAINING IN THE WAKE OF CURRENT CONVECTION. BEHIND ALL
THE CONVECTION A LOT OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WAS NOTED ACROSS NW
ILLINOIS AND EASTERN IOWA THAT COULD POSE AN ISSUE DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 434 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

UPR LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE MS VALLEY THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO EXPAND
NORTHWARD AND SHIFT EAST INTO THE WRN GRTLKS/LWR OH VALLEY ON SATURDAY.
ROUGHLY E-W ORIENTED SFC BOUNDARY WHICH HAS LINGERED OVER THE AREA
IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH INTO THE OH VALLEY BY SATURDAY AS WK
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPR MIDWEST DIMINISHES AND A NEW STRONGER
LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO GRDLY LESS
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR CONVECTION IN OUR AREA OVER THE WEEKEND
DESPITE CONSIDERABLE DIURNAL INSTABILITY. TEMPS SHOULD RESPOND TO
APCHG UPR RIDGE... RISING INTO THE U80S/L90S OVER SWRN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA AND M-U80S NE OVER THE WEEKEND.

RIDGE AXIS WILL PIVOT TO AN OH VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND LINE BY MONDAY
AS A STRONG SHRTWV EJECTS FROM THE ROCKIES TO ONTARIO... RESULTING
IN CONTD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/HUMIDITY ACROSS OUR AREA. TRAILING CDFNT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SAG INTO OUR AREA BY TUE BRINGING
A RENEWED TSTM POTENTIAL. FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL OVER THE AREA AS
IT ENCOUNTERS THE STRONG RIDGE IN PLACE... WITH A SECOND SHRTWV MOVG
EAST ACROSS THE GRTLKS WED-THU PUSHING THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE AREA
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AND ALLOWING TEMPS TO FALL BACK TO NORMAL
OR SLIGHTLY BLO BY THAT TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED
AT 130 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

STORMY 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR AT LEAST KSBN
AND LIKELY KFWA (JUST DELAYED AN HOUR OR 2) AS CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO EXPAND ACROSS FAR WESTERN INDIANA BACK INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS. A DEVELOPING LINE OF SHOWERS/STORMS WILL DRIFT EAST AND
IMPACT KSBN AROUND 7Z. A LARGER CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS LOCATED WEST
OF KJOT AND WORKING EAST AND SOMEWHAT SE. THIS MAY AFFECT KSBN BUT
THINK IMPACTS ON FWA COULD BE GREATER. HAVE HANDLED WITH TEMPO
GROUPS FOR NOW AND WILL MONITOR COVERAGE.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD DEVELOP JUST ABOUT ANY TIME THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD BUT WILL LEAVE ANY ADDITIONAL DETAILS OUT FOR NOW.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...MARSILI
SHORT TERM...FISHER
LONG TERM...JT
AVIATION...FISHER

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSIWX
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
540 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

INZ003-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ015-016-024-025-222145-
LA PORTE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-
ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-
BLACKFORD-JAY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...KNOX...
NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...
ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...
FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...PAULDING...
ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
540 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014 /440 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE US ROUTE 30 CORRIDOR...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX READINGS IN THE 90S EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ004>009-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-222145-
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-BERRIEN-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...
AUBURN...GARRETT...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...
DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...
HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...
NAPOLEON
540 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX READINGS IN THE 90S EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY THIS EVENING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-222145-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
540 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... AND AGAIN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
158 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

INZ023>027-032>034-220700-
ADAMS IN-BLACKFORD IN-GRANT IN-HUNTINGTON IN-JAY IN-MIAMI IN-WABASH
IN-WELLS IN-
158 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING BLACKFORD...JAY...GRANT...SOUTHERN
WELLS...SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS...SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI...SOUTHERN
HUNTINGTON AND SOUTHERN WABASH COUNTIES...

AT 152 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF THUNDERSTORM EXTENDING FROM WABASH TO EAST OF GAS
CITY...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL POSE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SEEING RAPID PONDING OF WATER AND LOCALIZED HIGH
WATER AS RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR OCCUR. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH ISOLATED SMALL HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  HARTFORD CITY...
  DUNKIRK...
  PORTLAND...
  MONTPELIER...
  PENNVILLE...
  REDKEY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 69 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 254 AND
281.

STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

LAT...LON 4039 8522 4040 8557 4050 8587 4058 8587
      4059 8611 4095 8593 4056 8480 4032 8480
      4032 8521
TIME...MOT...LOC 0554Z 294DEG 17KT 4055 8536

FISHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
325 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HARTFORD CITY           40.45N  85.37W
08/22/2014                   BLACKFORD          IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING IN HARTFORD CITY WITH
            POTENTIALLY A FOOT OR MORE OF WATER IN SOME AREAS.

&&

FISHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
416 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 AM     FLOOD            FORT WAYNE              41.08N  85.13W
08/22/2014                   ALLEN              IN   911 CALL CENTER

            FORT WAYNE POST REPORTED WATER PONDING ON PORTIONS OF
            INTERSTATE 69 NEAR MILE MARKER 304.

&&

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
454 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

INZ013-015-020-022-023-221000-
CASS IN-FULTON IN-MIAMI IN-PULASKI IN-WHITE IN-
454 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD WHITE...CASS...EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI AND SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

AT 452 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF
MONON TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROYAL CENTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND  HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  LOGANSPORT...
  MONTICELLO AND BROOKSTON...
  WALTON...
  LAKE CICOTT...
  FLETCHER...LUCERNE AND LEASES CORNER...
  REYNOLDS...BURNETTSVILLE AND METEA...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 198.

PEOPLE DRIVING THROUGH THE AREA SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

LAT...LON 4083 8710 4084 8700 4091 8698 4092 8694
      4094 8694 4091 8659 4092 8616 4058 8615
      4058 8637 4070 8638 4070 8653 4075 8653
      4075 8675 4073 8677 4058 8678 4058 8711
TIME...MOT...LOC 0853Z 300DEG 27KT 4089 8698 4078 8660

TAYLOR