River Flood Warning 157, NWS Indianapolis, IN

503 
WGUS83 KIND 221446
FLSIND
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1046 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

......The Flood Warning is no longer in effect for portions of the
following creek in Indiana...

  Buck Creek...


.Buck Creek in the Acton area crested slightly above flood stage this
morning and has now fallen below flood stage.  The creek will return
to more normal levels by Friday morning.

Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Be alert to flood debris on previously flooded roads. Keep children 
away from flooded areas. Recreational and agricultural interests 
should remain alert to changing river conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web. From
the blue menu bar on the left side of the page...click on rivers and 
lakes.

&&

INC097-221516-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0157.000000T0000Z-140522T1446Z/
/ACTI3.1.ER.140522T0845Z.140522T1100Z.140522T1225Z.NO/
1046 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Buck Creek at Acton.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  8:25 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.1 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3969 8597 3962 8597 3961 8591 3962 8591
      3963 8594 3969 8595             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
618 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 319 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

WEAK CONVECTION WILL LINGER OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF
CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH DAYBREAK. AFTER THAT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION AND PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY.
FURTHER OUT...THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP WILL BE IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM BRINGS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

ISSUED AT 319 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

CURRENT RADAR MOSAIC CONTINUES TO SHOW WEAK ADVECTION ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INDIANA. AS A RESULT...CARRIED
SLIGHT CHANCE/CHANCE POPS THROUGH DAY BREAK. AFTER THAT...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND THE REST OF
THE DAY WILL BE DRY. TEMPS WILL BE A BIT COOLER TODAY IN WAKE OF
COLD FRONT THAT JUST MOVED THROUGH THE AREA. ALLBLEND HANDLED THE
FRONT WELL...SO STUCK CLOSE TO GUIDANCE. THIS PUTS HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES...MID TO UPPER 70S OVER THE
CENTRAL COUNTIES...AND UPPER 70S OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

ISSUED AT 319 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PREVAIL FOR DURATION
OF SHORT TERM PERIOD...RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS. NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW AROUND UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS FOR
FRIDAY...BUT TEMPS WILL GRADUALLY REBOUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OFF IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ON FRIDAY...BUT WILL
CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ON SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE...OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL START OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 50S AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...AND THEN INCREASE INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 50S BY SATURDAY NIGHT.  STUCK CLOSE TO A MODEL BLEND
FOR TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

ISSUED AT 316 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

FOCUS FOR THE EXTENDED WILL BE ON TEMPERATURES AND POPS.

ONLY MAIN DIFFERENCE IN THE EXTENDED MODELS IS THAT THE 00Z GFS WAS
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE THE 12Z ECMWF AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS AS WELL
AS THE 00Z GEM WITH THE POSITIONING OF THE UPPER LOW AT 00Z
WEDNESDAY. WITH THE 00Z GFS BEING AN OUTLIER...WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE
OTHER MAJORITY.

AT ANY RATE...MODELS AGREE THAT AN UPPER RIDGE WILL SETTLE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE IN THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND AND MEMORIAL DAY ITSELF
BEFORE THE OHIO VALLEY PART OF THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES INTO THE OZARKS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING PER THE MAJORITY MODEL
BLEND. ANY IMPULSE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW AND EJECTING
NORTHEAST WILL INTERACT WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
FROM WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF...AND COULD TOUCH OFF A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS BY TUESDAY AND PERHAPS EARLIER. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL ALSO RESULT IN WARMING WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S PER REGIONAL ALLBLEND LOOKING GOOD
FOR SUNDAY AND MID 80S LOOKING REASONABLE BY MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 221200Z TAF ISSUANCE/...
ISSUED AT 618 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD SAVE AN HOUR OR TWO
OF MVFR FOG THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT HAS BEEN SLOW TO ADVANCE
SOUTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT. STILL...EXPECT THE FRONT TO REACH IND AND
HUF SHORTLY AFTER ISSUANCE TIME AND BMG AROUND 15Z. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS SHOULD PICK UP TO NEAR 10 KNOTS BEHIND THE FRONT AND
BECOME NORTH. THEN...WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...WITH DRIER AIR IN PLACE...DO NOT THINK FOG WILL BE AN
ISSUE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TDUD
NEAR TERM...TDUD
SHORT TERM...TDUD
LONG TERM....MK
AVIATION...MK

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
449 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-052>057-061>065-070>072-230900-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-LAWRENCE-
JACKSON-JENNINGS-
449 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION: HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

OUTLOOK: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.

DISCUSSION: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL PROVIDE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ051-060-067>069-230900-
VIGO-SULLIVAN-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-
449 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: RIVER FLOODING.

HAZARDS: RIVER FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF WHITE AND WABASH RIVERS.

TIMING: RIVER FLOODING ONGOING.

DISCUSSION: HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TONIGHT...BUT RIVER FLOODING IS STILL ONGOING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

OUTLOOK: THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. RIVER
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WABASH AND WHITE
RIVERS.

DISCUSSION: AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL PROVIDE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
406 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S DANA                39.79N  87.49W
05/21/2014                   VERMILLION         IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN. ALSO...MINOR STREET FLOODING.

&&

MKOCH