Tornado Warning 18, NWS Wilmington, OH

073 
WWUS51 KILN 142307
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
707 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

OHC097-159-142317-
/O.CAN.KILN.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140514T2315Z/
MADISON OH-UNION OH-
707 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN UNION AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE TORNADO
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AND A TORNADO WATCH 
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN
AND SUBMITTING YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 4018 8336 4008 8321 3997 8347 4006 8351
      4009 8351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 219DEG 23KT 4012 8337

$$

BINAU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
350 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE
AIDED BY A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. AN UPPER TROUGH FOLLOWING THE
FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A FEW SHOWERS INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED NEAR THE I-71
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. A VERY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS ALONG AND
TO THE EAST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS RESULTED IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WARM SECTOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO RETROGRADE TOWARD THE WEST/NORTHEAST THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM WESTERN TN TO
NORTHWEST OHIO. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS THE
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALLOWS FOR BETTER DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER/SUSTAINED ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES NOT OUR OF THE QUESTION. TORNADO WATCH 155 IS
IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF OUR REGION UNTIL 9 PM EDT. A FLASH FLOOD
THREAT WILL EXIST AS WELL GIVEN MOIST SOILS...ELEVATED
CREEKS/STREAMS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
CONVECTION THAT MAY TRAIN IN THE MERIDIONAL TYPE FLOW. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH 2 PM
THURSDAY. FOR LATER OVERNIGHT...SHOWERS WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDER GIVEN A DECREASE IN OVERALL INSTABILITY. THE
WIDESPREAD PCPN WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED
STRONG 850 MB LLJ. LOWS WILL BE TRICKY GIVEN THE OSCILLATION OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HAVE LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 50S SW TO
THE LOWER 60S EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE
GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. S/WV AND
ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY...ALLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PUSH SLOWLY EAST AS A COLD
FRONT. SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WITH PCPN TAPERING OFF WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE AS DEEP
MOISTURE AND LIFT MOVE EAST. HAVE KEPT THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL
2 PM THURSDAY...BUT SOME LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY BE DROPPED EARLIER
AS TIMING OF HEAVIER RAINS BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED.
TEMPERATURES WILL EXHIBIT AND SOMEWHAT NON DIURNAL TREND GIVEN CAA
IN THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS. HIGHS EAST SHOULD OCCUR EARLY THEN
SLOWLY FALL OVER STABILIZE WHILE WESTERN AREAS COOL DURING THE
MORNING WITH PERHAPS A SLIGHT UPTICK IN THE AFTERNOON. HAVE HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MID 60S.

FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS A MID
LVL CLOSED CIRCULATION. EMBEDDED VORTICITY LOBES WILL ROTATE
AROUND THIS LOW WITH ONE APPROACHING OUR WESTERN ZONES BY FRIDAY
MORNING. BEFORE THIS OCCURS...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING WILL MOVE
ACROSS OUR AREA WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME PARTIAL CLEARING. CAA AND
PARTIAL CLEARING WILL ALLOW OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP INTO THE UPPER
30S TO THE LOWER 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE PRIMARY NORTH-TO-SOUTH AXIS OF MOISTURE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE ILN CWA BY 12Z FRIDAY MORNING.
THE MAIN AXIS OF THE TROUGH WILL BE ROTATING COUNTERCLOCKWISE
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW RIPPING THROUGH
UNDERNEATH. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA...STARTING
IN THE WESTERN CWA ON FRIDAY MORNING AND MOVING THROUGH THE REGION
DURING DIURNAL TIMING. THE MOTION OF THE OVERALL TROUGH IS VERY
SLOW...WHICH WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF RAIN AROUND FOR MOST OF THE
DAY. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP THE REGION IN A REGIME OF BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...WHICH WILL NOT BEGIN TO MODERATE UNTIL THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEKEND. WITH THE TROUGH STILL IN PLACE AND COOL AIR
ALOFT...INSTABILITY SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN (THOUGH MORE
SCATTERED IN NATURE) ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

AS THE TROUGH AXIS (AND MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER) SETTLES OVER
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE PATTERN OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WILL CHANGE FROM TROUGHING TO RIDGING THROUGH THE END OF THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH WEAK DISTURBANCES ARE INDICATED
IN THE MODELS IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON SUNDAY...CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS WILL BE UNLIKELY TO AFFECT THE MIDDLE OHIO
VALLEY.

WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN...WNW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEK...WHILE CHANGES OCCUR CLOSER TO THE SURFACE. INITIALLY ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY (WARMING SLIGHTLY THROUGH
TUESDAY)...BY WEDNESDAY A WARM FRONT SHOULD BE LIFTING
NORTH...ALLOWING FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING IN TEMPERATURES. AS
MOISTURE INCREASES...CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE TO THE S AND E OF THE TAFS WHEN
SUNSHINE HAS BEEN ABUNDANT. TO THE NW OF I-71...IFR ST DECK HAS
THE KDAY TAF SOCKED IN. BOUNDARY IS EXPECT TO BUCKLE TO THE N THIS
AFTN. THIS SHOULD ALLOW KCVG/KLUK AND KILN TO GO VFR.

ADDITIONAL CONVECTION SHOULD WORK INTO THE TAFS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL
KY AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE WAVE.

AS THE H5 TROF BEGINS TO LIFT OUT TONIGHT A STRONGER SFC LOW
DEVELOPS IN THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THIS LOW SWINGS THE FRONT EWD
TONIGHT. A MORE SOLID AREA OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT. IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS THE FRONT SWINGS THRU
LATE IN THE PERIOD...IFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE POST FRONTAL.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILING AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR OHZ026-034-
     035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR INZ050-058-
     059-066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HICKMAN
NEAR TERM...HICKMAN
SHORT TERM...HICKMAN
LONG TERM...HATZOS
AVIATION...SITES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
309 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-151000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
309 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO FORM ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS... WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
625 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E PIKE LAKE           39.16N 83.13W
05/14/2014                   PIKE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON CARL-PENN ROAD. ROOF BLOWN
            OFF GARAGE.

&&

SFH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
629 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSE PIKE LAKE         39.09N 83.17W
05/14/2014                   PIKE               OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON RED BRIDGE RD.

&&

SFH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
639 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0551 PM     TORNADO          2 E CEDARVILLE          39.75N 83.77W
05/14/2014                   GREENE             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 2 INJ *** SEVERE DAMAGE TO A RESIDENTIAL BUILDING AT
            BARBER AND WEIMER ROADS. REPORT OF 2 INJURIES.

&&

KURZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
641 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

OHZ055-056-064-065-142330-
FAIRFIELD OH-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-
641 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN PICKAWAY...
SOUTHWESTERN LICKING...EASTERN FRANKLIN AND NORTHERN FAIRFIELD
COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

AT 637 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM DUVALL TO LANCASTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...BALTIMORE...
PICKERINGTON...REYNOLDSBURG...EASTON...GAHANNA...BUCKEYE LAKE AND
PATASKALA.

ALSO...OBETZ...DUMONTVILLE...CARROLL...GROVEPORT...CANAL
WINCHESTER...PLEASANTVILLE...BLACKLICK ESTATES...BEXLEY...BRICE AND
THURSTON ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3993 8244 3992 8246 3987 8246 3968 8255
      3978 8307 4009 8289 4001 8240

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
642 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 WSW CHOCTAW LAKE      39.94N 83.57W
05/14/2014                   CLARK              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ON HOUSTON PIKE NORTH OF I-70

&&

JOHNF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
648 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 NNE ASHVILLE          39.77N 82.94W
05/14/2014                   PICKAWAY           OH   PUBLIC

            SLIGHT ROTATION APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. DUVALL ROAD
            SOUTH OF RICKENBACKER AIRPORT.

&&

JOHNF