Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Wilmington, NC

648 
WWUS52 KILM 200315
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1115 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCC047-155-SCC033-200400-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140620T0400Z/
ROBESON NC-COLUMBUS NC-DILLON SC-
1115 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN DILLON...NORTHWESTERN COLUMBUS AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ROBESON COUNTIES...

AT 1113 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MARIETTA...OR 16 MILES EAST OF DILLON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ORRUM...BARNESVILLE...BOARDMAN...FAIR BLUFF...EVERGREEN...CERRO
GORDO...CLARENDON...CHERRY GROVE...WHITEVILLE...TABOR CITY AND
CHADBOURN

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 800-697-3901...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3438 7865 3414 7887 3415 7890 3430 7907
      3428 7910 3441 7929 3450 7915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 305DEG 13KT 3439 7909

$$

KEEBLER

150 
WWUS52 KILM 200338
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1138 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCC047-155-SCC033-200400-
/O.CON.KILM.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140620T0400Z/
ROBESON NC-COLUMBUS NC-DILLON SC-
1138 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN DILLON...WEST CENTRAL COLUMBUS AND EXTREME SOUTH
CENTRAL ROBESON COUNTIES...

AT 1136 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FAIR BLUFF...OR 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MULLINS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CERRO
GORDO...CLARENDON...CHERRY GROVE...TABOR CITY AND CHADBOURN

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 800-697-3901...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3432 7871 3414 7887 3415 7890 3430 7907
      3428 7910 3435 7917 3440 7905
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 305DEG 13KT 3434 7900

$$

KEEBLER

584 
WWUS52 KILM 200354
SVSILM

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1154 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCC047-155-SCC033-200404-
/O.EXP.KILM.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140620T0400Z/
ROBESON NC-COLUMBUS NC-DILLON SC-
1154 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DILLON...WEST
CENTRAL COLUMBUS AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ROBESON COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 800-697-3901...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3432 7871 3414 7887 3415 7890 3430 7907
      3428 7910 3435 7917 3440 7905
TIME...MOT...LOC 0354Z 305DEG 13KT 3431 7895

$$

KEEBLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
728 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY AS AN
UPPER RIDGE HOLDS OVER THE AREA. WEAK LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
OVER THE CAROLINAS BY SUNDAY COULD BRING INCREASING THUNDERSTORMS
AND SLIGHTLY COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. UNSETTLED WEATHER AND
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK
UPPER TROUGH LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM THURSDAY...ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CURRENTLY
IMPACTING EXTREME NORTHERN ROBESON/BLADEN COUNTIES...AS STORMS
DRIFT SLOWLY SE. NOT EXPECTING STRONG OR SEVERE CONVECTION TO
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS GROUND COOLING TAKES PLACE...BUT
AT THE MOMENT GUSTS TO 40 MPH SEEMS REASONABLE IN AREAS FROM RED
SPRINGS TO RENNERT TO ST PAULS TO DUART...WHERE AN SPS ADDRESSES
THIS POTENTIAL HAZARD.

WARMTH ALOFT AND SUBSIDENCE OVER THE AREA FROM A CIRCULATION SEEN
IN VAPOR LOOPS EAST OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SHUT DOWN SHOWERS AND
TSTMS BY MIDDLE TO LATE EVENING...AND DO NOT EXPECT NOCTURNAL
ACTIVITY TO LINGER TO LATE EVENING.

DEBRIS CLOUDINESS APPEARS IMMINENT OVER OUR NW INTO THE CENTRAL
ZONES THROUGH EVENING AND WE WILL NEED TO TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT...BASED ON CLOUD COVER TRENDS INTO
LATE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM THURSDAY...500 MB RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE PERIOD...RESULTING IN MID-LEVEL FLOW
GENERALLY OUT OF THE NW. TIME-HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AFTER 18Z FRIDAY...WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING FROM 1.7 INCHES FRIDAY
MORNING TO GREATER THAN 2 INCHES BY SATURDAY NIGHT. FALLING 500 MB
HEIGHTS COUPLED WITH THE INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO A
GENERAL INCREASE IN SHOWER-TSTM COVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN NC
FRIDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO STALL SATURDAY NIGHT NEAR THE NC-SC
LINE AND MAY PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION BOTH DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 3 PM THURSDAY...MUCH OF THE PERIOD WILL BE UNSETTLED WITH
PLENTY OF DIURNAL CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON. A WEAK BROAD MID LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST SUN AND MON. ON SUN A DISSIPATING
SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL BE STALLED ACROSS THE CAPE FEAR REGION. WHAT
IS LEFT OF THE FRONT MAY PUSH A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH FOR MON AS WEAK
SURFACE WAVE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST. DEEP MOISTURE AND DIURNAL
HEATING PLUS PRESENCE OF THE BOUNDARY WILL GENERATE AFTERNOON
CONVECTION. POP WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER ON SUN GIVEN THE STRONGER
STATE OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND POSSIBILITY OF APPROACHING WEAK
SURFACE WAVE. WILL CARRY HIGH CHC POP SUN AND LOW CHC POP MON. DO
NOT SEE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT FORCING AND MARGINAL PARAMETERS.

PATTERN ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO MORE PROGRESSIVE FLOW BY MID WEEK
WITH 5H RIDGE OVER THE GULF COAST TRYING TO BUILD NORTH. DESPITE
BUILDING RIDGE ALOFT THINK CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE. ABUNDANT
MOISTURE AT THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND RELATIVELY WEAK NATURE OF RIDGE
WILL ALLOW DIURNAL CONVECTION. ONLY SMALL CHANGES TO INHERITED
FORECAST...MAINLY BUMP TO CHC POP FOR THU. HIGH WILL RUN NEAR TO
ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LOWS RUNNING ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE
CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 00Z...CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN OUR FORECAST AREA HAS BEEN VERY
LIMITED TODAY...WITH MOST OF THE TSTMS REMAINING WELL INLAND. THE
RADAR SHOWS A FEW STORMS THIS EVENING MOVING TOWARD OUR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN ZONES...BUT NONE OF THEM POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO
KLBT. THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD LEAD TO A WEAKENING TREND
AFTER 00Z...BUT WILL STILL MENTION VCTS FOR KLBT EARLY THIS EVENING.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AS SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10
KTS SHOULD LIMIT THE FOG THREAT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHWARD ON FRIDAY...BRINGING DEEPER MOISTURE AND PROVIDING A FOCUS
FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS/TSTMS. HAVE INTRODUCED VCTS FOR ALL TAF SITES
BY 18Z FRIDAY...AS THE INSTABILITY DEPICTED IN MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE TO INCREASED CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. WEST WINDS AOB
10 KTS IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHEST WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED AT KCRE/KMYR BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
AS A WEAK SFC TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE CAROLINAS. BRIEF PERIODS OF
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE IN TSTMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 7 PM THURSDAY...WITH BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE
AND AN APPROACHING WEAK SURFACE TROUGH PROGGED TO DROP SOUTH INTO
THE WATERS TONIGHT...WILL SEE A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE WATERS. AS A RESULT EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 KTS TO PERSIST
THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BE 2 TO 3 FT.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM THURSDAY...SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF
THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FROM FRIDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY
EVENING...DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY CIRCULATION AROUND BERMUDA HIGH
PRESSURE. GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY MODEST FRIDAY
BUT WILL STRENGTHEN UP SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. WINDS IN
THE 10-15 KNOT RANGE FRIDAY WILL INCREASE TO 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO
20 KNOTS ON SATURDAY.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 3 PM THURSDAY...SUN AND MON WILL BE MARKED BY ATYPICAL NORTH
TO NORTHEAST FLOW GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR. WEAK FRONT WILL STALL
ACROSS THE WATERS EARLY SUN THEN SHIFT SOUTH AS IT DISSIPATES SUN
INTO MON. SURFACE HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL TRANSITION OFFSHORE LATER
MON WITH REMAINS OF BOUNDARY LIFTING NORTH MON NIGHT INTO TUE AS
BERMUDA HIGH RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF AND TYPICAL SOUTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPS. GRADIENT WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD SO DIURNAL
SEA BREEZE WILL DOMINANT THE WIND FIELD ALONG THE COAST. SPEEDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEA BREEZE WILL BE A SOLID 15 KT WHILE REMAINDER
OF THE WATERS WILL BE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FT...MAINLY
DOMINATED BY WIND WAVE.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...COLBY
SHORT TERM...CRM
LONG TERM...III
AVIATION...BJR
MARINE...SGL/CRM/III

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
411 AM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-200815-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-
WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-
COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
411 AM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT INDICES COULD RISE TO NEAR 100 DEGREES FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...WITH SOME AREAS AS HIGH AS 102 DEGREES ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ250-252-254-256-200815-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
411 AM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

9

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
943 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     HAIL             WALLACE                 34.72N  79.84W
06/19/2014  E1.00 INCH       MARLBORO           SC   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON ROOSEVELT AVENUE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400245

REINHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
956 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S WHITE LAKE          34.63N  78.50W
06/19/2014                   BLADEN             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE OFF HIGHWAY 53 NEAR TALL PINE
            STREET. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400246

REINHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1005 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     HAIL             1 WNW WALLACE           34.72N  79.85W
06/19/2014  E1.00 INCH       MARLBORO           SC   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON DODGE STREET. TIME
            ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400247

REINHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1009 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNE WALLACE           34.76N  79.80W
06/19/2014                   MARLBORO           SC   PUBLIC

            PINE TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY 177. TIME
            ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400248

REINHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1014 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW WALLACE           34.72N  79.84W
06/19/2014                   MARLBORO           SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 9 AND OLD WIRE ROAD.
            TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400249

REINHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1039 PM EDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE WALLACE           34.74N  79.81W
06/19/2014                   MARLBORO           SC   PUBLIC

            PINE TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAY ON HIGHWAY 177 - AROUND
            2 MILES FROM SC HIGHWAY 9. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
            RADAR.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER ILM1400248

REINHART