Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
404 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 403 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

AN UPPER DISTURBANCE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS CAUSING
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS LAST
NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SOME AREAS HAVE PICKED UP
MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAIN AND SOME STORMS PRODUCED DAMAGE DUE TO
MICROBURSTS. MORNING TEMPS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 403 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS THE TIMING
AND LOCATION FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND ALSO ON
SATURDAY.

EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING TO DIMINISH NEAR TO SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE. IF ANY STORMS DO LINGER...THEY SHOULD BE OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS BEFORE CLEARING OUT BY AFTERNOON. EXPECT A DRY
DAY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM...IN THE 90S.
EXPECT HEAT INDICES TO BE NEAR 100 OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA BORDER.

BY TONIGHT THE NEXT...MORE POTENT UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH
THE AREA AND SET OFF THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN/NORTHWEST KANSAS.
EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE
EVENING BUT MORE LIKELY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE GUIDANCE HAS
DESCREPANCES ON THE TRACK OF THE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. THUS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT AN AREA FOR THE
FORECAST. HAVE CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...AND
WILL HOPE LATER FORECASTS HAVE A CHANCE TO BETTER REFINE THE
TRACK OF THE STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES PERSIST THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST HINTING THAT SOUTHERN KANSAS
WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. DESPITE THE CONSISTENT RAIN
CHANCES...IT WILL NOT RAIN ALL DAY AND NIGHT.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 403 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MORE
DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. EASTERN
KANSAS LOOKS TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP WITH THIS FORECAST
ISSUANCE...BUT EXPECT CHANGES AS THE TIME PERIOD NEARS. TUESDAY
LOOKS DRY BUT THUNDERSTORMS MAY AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF KANSAS TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1205 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

A CONVECTIVE LINE OF STORMS IS LOCATED ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH TOWARDS KICT AND KEWK.  ELEVATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG THIS LINE FROM KCNU TO KICT TO KHUT.
THINK THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL SLOWLY PROPAGATE TO THE SOUTHEAST AS
THE OVERNIGHT CONTINUES...SO WILL GO WITH VCTS AND A TEMPO TSRA FOR
THESE THREE TAF SITES UNTIL 09-10Z/THU.

WILL GO WILL VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE KRSL AND KSLN TAFS AS AIRMASS TO
THE NORTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES MORE STABLE.

ELEVATED SHOWER AND STORM CHANCE MAY INCREASE OVER SE KS EARLY ON
THU MORNING...AS WING OF THE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORT MAX LOCATED
OVER NE KS SWINGS SOUTHEAST INTO SE KS...AND MID LEVEL LIFT
INCREASES IN THIS AREA.  SO WILL GO WITH A VCTS FOR KCNU UNTIL
AROUND 12Z/THU UNTIL LIFT MOVES EAST-NORTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    95  71  89  70 /  10  30  30  30
HUTCHINSON      94  69  87  69 /  10  30  40  30
NEWTON          93  68  87  69 /  10  30  30  40
ELDORADO        94  69  88  69 /  10  30  30  40
WINFIELD-KWLD   97  71  91  71 /  20  30  30  40
RUSSELL         92  68  85  68 /  10  50  40  40
GREAT BEND      93  68  86  68 /  10  50  40  40
SALINA          92  68  87  68 /  10  40  40  40
MCPHERSON       92  68  86  68 /  10  30  40  40
COFFEYVILLE     97  72  90  71 /  30  30  30  40
CHANUTE         94  69  87  69 /  30  30  30  50
IOLA            92  67  86  69 /  30  30  40  50
PARSONS-KPPF    96  70  89  70 /  30  30  30  40

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-080930-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
430 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS
MORNING ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE. HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF BEING
STRONG WITH WINDS 50 TO 55 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND HIGH RAINFALL
RATES.

HEAT INDICES WILL BE NEAR 100 DEGREES ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS
NEAREST THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 50-55 MPH
AND SMALL HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

BILLINGS WRIGHT

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
218 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

KSZ100-070745-
LABETTE-
218 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN LABETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 245 AM CDT

* AT 215 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM CHETOPA TO 7 MILES EAST OF COFFEYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30
  MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CHETOPA.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

&&

LAT...LON 3699 9508 3699 9552 3723 9552 3724 9507
      3700 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0718Z 277DEG 48KT 3706 9507 3705 9546

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
314 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

KSZ068-083-070845-
HARVEY-SEDGWICK-
314 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 345 AM CDT

* AT 312 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HALSTEAD...OR
  15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SEDGWICK...MAIZE...VALLEY CENTER AND BENTLEY.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORM INTENSIFIES AND
BECOMES SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3790 9770 3808 9759 3795 9719 3772 9744
TIME...MOT...LOC 0814Z 307DEG 21KT 3794 9757

LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
449 AM CDT THU AUG 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DOUGLASS                37.52N 97.01W
08/07/2014                   BUTLER             KS   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE WAS BROKEN OFF AT THE BASE. TREE DIAMETER WAS
            17 INCHES. TREE WAS DYING AND APPEARS TO HAVE A HOLLOWED
            OUT PORTION OF THE TRUNK VIA PICTURE ON TWITTER.

&&

JMBW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
451 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

KSZ032-047-071015-
BARTON-RUSSELL-
451 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 515 AM CDT

* AT 449 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF GALATIA...OR 13
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GALATIA...SUSANK...MILBERGER AND RUSSELL AIRPORT.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORM INTENSIFIES AND
BECOMES SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3885 9860 3851 9871 3859 9903 3890 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0951Z 297DEG 32KT 3873 9898

LAWSON