Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Goodland, KS

June 14, 2014Sherman County, Kansas; Kit Carson County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2014, 6:26 PM MDT for Sherman County, Kansas; Kit Carson County, Colorado. It was in force for 64 min. 19 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2014, 6:26 PM MDT (00:26 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2014, 7:30 PM MDT
In force: 64 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Kit Carson County, CO, Sherman County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 14, 6:40 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	11 N Burlington, CO	TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. PIVOTS DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Jun 14, 6:43 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 50	8 Sw Bonny Reservoir, CO	PEA SIZE HAIL WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY FROM HAIL AND RAIN NORTH OF BURLINGTON NEAR MILE MARKER 203 ON HIGHWAY 85.
Jun 14, 6:59 PM MDT	HAIL 2.75	6 Ne Kanorado, KS	HAIL SIZE RANGED FROM GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE.
Jun 14, 7:00 PM MDT	HAIL 2	Kanorado, KS	2.00 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE FIRE CHIEF IN KANORADO. REPORT RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.
Jun 14, 7:02 PM MDT	HAIL 2.5	Kanorado, KS
Jun 14, 7:07 PM MDT	HAIL 2.75	Kanorado, KS
Jun 14, 7:12 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	11 N Kanorado, KS	GRAIN BINS LEVELED FROM WIND AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.
Jun 14, 7:12 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	12 Nw Ruleton, KS	GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS CAUSING BLOWING DUST AND VISIBILITY LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.
Jun 14, 7:15 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	16 Nw Goodland, KS	DELAYED REPORT OF SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL NEAR ROAD 76 AND ROAD 8. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Jun 14, 7:17 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 75	12 W Goodland, KS	ALSO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
Jun 14, 7:19 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	5 W Goodland, KS	MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE HAIL. SOME GOLF BALL SIZE. ALSO MEASURED 55 MPH WIND.
Jun 14, 7:20 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	2 W Goodland, KS	GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ON 24 WEST OF GOODLAND.
Jun 14, 7:21 PM MDT	HAIL 2.75	Goodland, KS	BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AT THE NWS OFFICE.
Jun 14, 7:24 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 60	13 N Edson, KS	60 MPH WIND GUST WITH VISIBILITY DOWN TO ABOUT 1 MILE IN BLOWING DUST.
Jun 14, 7:35 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	12 N Edson, KS	LATE REPORT. IRRIGATION PIVOT DAMAGED NEAR ROAD 28 AND ROAD 76. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Jun 14, 7:35 PM MDT	TSTM WND DMG	13 N Edson, KS	EIGHT INCH TREE LIMB DOWNED.
Jun 14, 7:35 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	11 N Edson, KS	ALSO ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE VISIBILITY FROM BLOWING DUST.
Jun 14, 7:35 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	13 N Edson, KS	ALSO ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE VISIBILITY FROM BLOWING DUST.
Jun 14, 7:39 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 80	13 N Edson, KS	0 VISIBILITY WITH RAIN AND HAIL IS WINDING DOWN BUT STILL 1.00 INCH TO ABOUT HALF DOLLAR SIZE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 14 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 14, 5:40 PM MDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	4 hr
Jun 14, 2:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -176 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1595 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

651 
WUUS53 KGLD 150026
SVRGLD
COC063-KSC181-150130-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0093.140615T0026Z-140615T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
626 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  NORTHERN SHERMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM MDT

* AT 621 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST
  OF STRATTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
           TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
           ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BURLINGTON...KANORADO...RULETON...GOODLAND AND EDSON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 35.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 434 AND
450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 211.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GOODLAND.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS RESULTING IN AREAS OF
NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DIRT. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL AND BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 268DEG 40KT 3942 10243

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

THEDE

5 follow-up statements

590 
WWUS53 KGLD 150042
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
642 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COC063-KSC181-150130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140615T0130Z/
KIT CARSON CO-SHERMAN KS-
642 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN AND
NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

AT 639 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST
OF KANORADO...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 75 MPH WIND GUSTS. IN ADDITION TO 
THE WIND AND HAIL BLOWING DUST WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE 
POSSIBLE. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KANORADO...RULETON...GOODLAND AND EDSON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 35.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 434 AND
450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 211.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 270DEG 50KT 3942 10213

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

THEDE

618 
WWUS53 KGLD 150100
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
700 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COC063-KSC181-150130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140615T0130Z/
KIT CARSON CO-SHERMAN KS-
700 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN AND
NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

AT 658 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HALE TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RULETON TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RULETON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RULETON...GOODLAND AND EDSON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 35.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 434 AND
450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 211.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 267DEG 39KT 3956 10194 3942 10190
          3928 10193

HAIL...2.75IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

THEDE

711 
WWUS53 KGLD 150108
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
708 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COC063-KSC181-150130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140615T0130Z/
KIT CARSON CO-SHERMAN KS-
708 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN AND
NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

AT 707 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF ST. FRANCIS TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
RULETON TO RULETON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOODLAND AND EDSON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 35.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 434 AND
450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 211.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 267DEG 39KT 3956 10181 3942 10177
          3928 10180

HAIL...2.75IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

THEDE

089 
WWUS53 KGLD 150119
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
719 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COC063-KSC181-150130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140615T0130Z/
KIT CARSON CO-SHERMAN KS-
719 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SHERMAN AND
NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

AT 716 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTH OF WHEELER TO 5 MILES NORTH OF GOODLAND
TO GOODLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND BASEBALL SIZE HAIL. VISIBILITIES NEAR 
ZERO IN BLOWING DUST. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDSON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 35.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 434 AND
450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 211.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS. PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD
MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 267DEG 39KT 3956 10165 3942 10162
          3928 10165

HAIL...2.75IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

THEDE

683 
WWUS53 KGLD 150135
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
735 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COC063-KSC181-150145-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140615T0130Z/
KIT CARSON CO-SHERMAN KS-
735 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHERMAN AND NORTHEASTERN KIT
CARSON COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE
WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT. 

LAT...LON 3957 10139 3928 10139 3927 10234 3957 10232
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 267DEG 39KT 3956 10166 3942 10163
          3928 10166

$$

THEDE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 5:16 PM MDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 5:16 PM MDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
516 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1257 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOW LOW STRATUS OR
CUMULUS OVER MOST OF NEBRASKA AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO...WITH THE MAIN TROUGH OVER UTAH.
AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WAS SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH INTO KANSAS
BEHIND A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH THAT HAD MOVED THROUGH THE WEST HALF
OF THE AREA. A DRY LINE WAS LOCATED FROM ROUGHLY LIMON TO OAKLEY
THEN SOUTH TO NEAR LEOTI.

AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL STALL NEAR
HIGHWAY 40. MEANWHILE THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA...BUT REMAIN NEAR THE KS/NE STATE LINE UNTIL THE
MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THIS EVENING. CINH DECLINES
AS THE FRONT MOVES IN AND HIGHER DEW POINTS POOL ALONG THE COLD
FRONT. WITH A 500MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE TRI-STATE
AREA FROM THE WEST...ANTICIPATE STORMS TO FORM OVER NORTHEAST
COLORADO FIRST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
SPREAD EAST...WITH STORMS FORMING ALONG THE DRY LINE BY MID
AFTERNOON. STORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE FROM EAST TO WEST THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE MAIN 500MB TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE
DUE TO SURFACE BASED CAPE OF 1000-3000J/KG AND 0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF
30-50KTS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...WITH LARGE HAIL OF 2 INCHES OR GREATER POSSIBLE NORTH OF
I-70. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 WHERE 0-1KM BULK
SHEAR IS AROUND 15KTS.

THIS EVENING THE MAIN 500MB TROUGH MOVES OVER THE AREA. AS IT DOES
SO STRONG/DEEP 700-300MB FRONTOGENESIS DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTH
HALF OF THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA...WITH HIGHER DEW POINTS POOLING ALONG
THE FRONT. SINCE THE BEST INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE ALONG
THE FRONT...ANTICIPATE STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG/BEHIND IT AS THE
MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. STORM COVERAGE WILL
PEAK BY MID EVENING AS DISCRETE STORMS MERGE INTO A LARGER SCALE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX. THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT.

ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTIVE WEATHER...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO
50 MPH WITH THE INITIAL FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING DUE TO RAPID
PRESSURE RISE ALONG THE FRONT AND THE COOLER AIR MIXING DOWN WINDS
APPROACHING 50KTS. DUE TO THE MORE SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER...WILL NOT BE
ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING.

SUNDAY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA BEHIND THE
500MB TROUGH. AT 850MB A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
AREA UNTIL MID AFTERNOON WHEN IT SHIFTS EAST. ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE RIDGE WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME...BECOMING BREEZY OVER EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

SUNDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BROAD RIDING AHEAD
OF THIS OVER THE SOUTHEAST US. SW FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES/FAR WESTERN PLAINS...AND THIS WILL HELP BRING VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS TO THE FORECAST AREA AT LEAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A WEAK EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITHING THE
FLOW THAT PASSES JUST NORTH OF THE CWA SUNDAY NIGHT AND COULD RESULT
IN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA
TRANSITION EASTWARD. THE DRY NATURE OF THE AIR MASS WITH PRECLUDE
BETTER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND EVENTUALLY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
END COMPLETING AS SUBSIDENCE QUICKLY MOVES OVER THE CWA BEHIND
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LOOKS LIKE ANY ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL BE WELL EAST OF OUR CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON AS VERY DRY CONDITIONS
SETTLE IN OVER OUR CWA (TD VALUES POSSIBLY MIXING TO MID TEENS OVER
EASTERN PARTS OF OUR CWA). DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY APPROACHING 100F.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT...FIRST PACIFIC NW TROUGH EJECTS ACROSS
NORTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GOOD FORCING ALONG WITH
INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SHEER COULD BRING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BACK TO OUR CWA BOTH DAYS. BETTER COVERAGE IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. MODELS ARE FAIRLY
CONSISTENT ON THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...THERE ARE JUST QUESTIONS
ON THE EVOLUTION AND FINER DETAILS.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY...THERE IS LESS CONSISTENCY BETWEEN MODELS ON THESE
PERIODS...THOUGH OVERALL PATTERN SEEMS TO FAVOR VERY LOW PRECIP
CHANCES AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WITH EITHER RIDING OR A RETURN TO SW
FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 512 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AT BOTH
KGLD AND KMCK. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW STORMS DEVELOPING IN
NORTHEAST COLORADO WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST INTO NORTHWEST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT IS VERY
UNSTABLE. STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
STORMS AND COULD IMPACT BOTH TERMINALS. IF A STORM HAPPENS TO GO
DIRECTLY OVER A TERMINAL IT COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. STORMS WILL
END AROUND MIDNIGHT. A SECONDARY CONCERN WILL BE PATCHY FOG AROUND
SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 237 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

CURRENT THOUGHTS FROM PREVIOUS COORDINATION WITH PARTNERS IS THAT
FUELS ARE STILL UNFAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH...SO UNLESS
SOMETHING CHANGES FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE NOT PLANNED. AT THE
SAME TIME IT IS WORTH MENTIONING THAT RH AND WIND WILL LIKELY REACH
CRITICAL CRITERIA FOR AT LEAST PART OF OUR FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOONS (ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70). A VERY DRY
AIR MASS IS PROGGED TO BE IN PLACE AND EVEN CONSERVATIVE MIXING
WOULD RESULT IN RH VALUES AROUND 10 PERCENT AND WINDS OCCASIONALLY
GUSTING TO 30 MPH. WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR FUELS...AS FORECAST
CONDITIONS BOTH DAYS WOULD NORMALLY REQUIRE A FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLIGHT.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...024
FIRE WEATHER...DR

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 10:44 AM MDT, 7 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1044 AM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-151215-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1044 AM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014 /1144 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE TRI-STATE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR
FROM 3 PM TO 11 PM CDT ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. LARGE
HAIL OF 2 INCHES OR MORE IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS. A FEW TORNADOES MAY ALSO DEVELOP...MAINLY
EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL
DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED BY PHONE OR
THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA.

JTL

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:03 PM MDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
603 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NNW FLAGLER           39.37N 103.09W
06/14/2014  E70 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED WIND GUST BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH. SMALL LIMBS
            DOWN.

&&

BRB

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:13 PM MDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
613 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W YUMA                40.12N 102.74W
06/14/2014  M60 MPH          YUMA               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTS NICKLE SIZE HAIL.

&&

DR

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:15 PM MDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
615 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND GST     16 N FLAGLER            39.53N 103.07W
06/14/2014  E60 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL
            COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

BRB

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:20 PM MDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
620 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     DUST STORM       STRATTON                39.30N 102.60W
06/14/2014                   KIT CARSON         CO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1/2 MILE OR LESS VISIBILITY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF STRATTON
            FROM THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS.

&&

ALW

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:21 PM MDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
621 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND GST     17 N VONA               39.55N 102.74W
06/14/2014  M62 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   MESONET

&&

024

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:22 PM MDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
622 PM MDT SAT JUN 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     TSTM WND GST     17 N VONA               39.55N 102.74W
06/14/2014  M73 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   MESONET

&&

024

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 6:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman	57 min
Jun 14, 6:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	50 min
Jun 14, 7:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Logan, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace	57 min
Jun 14, 7:44 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	61 min
Jun 14, 8:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Gove, Logan, Sheridan	61 min
Jun 14, 8:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Logan, Rawlins, Thomas	59 min
Jun 14, 8:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham, Norton	54 min
Jun 14, 9:11 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Norton	49 min
Jun 14, 9:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham	31 min
Jun 14, 9:30 PM MDT	High Wind Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Logan, Norton and 5 more	116 min
Jun 14, 6:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Yuma	46 min
Jun 14, 7:16 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Cheyenne	14 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.